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Great weekend last weekend now let's see about this Divisional Playoff Weekend.
Some very very good matchups this weekend with higher spreads than I would have thought in the playoffs. It's an extremely difficult weekend to cap but here's my thoughts.
Saints -3 @ 49er's O/U 47
The 9'ers are a time of possession run the clock and get any points they can kind of team. They will work on wearing down the saint defense and keeping the saints offense on ice.
The saints are a big play machine. They respond 'you going to kill the clock and get 3? We'll score 7 and let you run it out.'
I don’t expect 7 on each possession nor do I expect 3 on each SF possession. I do though expect a slower paced game dictated by the san fran offense and defense resulting in a lower than 47 point score. I also expect more 7's from the saints than from the 9'ers and as a result saints win and cover.
Broncos @ Patriots -13.5 O/U 50
Ok, the Tebow show enters New England. Had them to win last week because Tebow has shown he can make the big play, they were at home for the playoffs!, steelers injuries were troublesome, steelers not scoring much on the road, broncos D playing well.
2 of those things apply with Tebow capable of creating a big play and their D playing well. The rest is not. The big play is diminished by the lack of Eric Decker. Eddie Royal will have to step up big. The Defense won't be enough.
It won't happen. I keep thinking maybe there will be a backdoor cover but Belichek will not let off the gas. He'll come out slow, maybe it'll be close at the half. Then the broncos will get torched.
I hate the points especially in the playoffs but I don't believe in the broncos on the road.
Texans @ Ravens -7.5 O/U 36
Texans have never beaten the ravens. The ravens are undefeated at home this year.
But, they don't have to beat them just cover the spread. Ravens are 3-5 ATS at home this year.
Foster and Tate will run the ball, Daniels will open the middle of the field and Andre Johnson will be there for the big play.
The houston D I do believe can get pressure on Flacco, cause him to make mistakes and slow down Ray Rice just enough.
Still, there will be some scoring in this game I think just enough to cover.
I'm taking the points with the hook in favor.
Giants @ Packers -8 O/U 52.5
Both teams can score and both have weak secondaries so I'm looking at the over.
It'll be sunny and cold in green bay but I don't expect that to slow these teams down especially in the second half.
Giants may lean on the run a little more but if the play is there, and with the weak secondary of the packers it'll be there then eli will go for it. They may have to if they get down.
Packers rested several starters week 17. That means they haven't played since week 16. That offense is a well oiled machine but will that timing suffer from lack of use? Maybe a little hiccup at first but it should kick in.
I simply expect this to come down to the 4th quarter. Close game or backdoor cover. It's over 7 take the points.
Good Luck!
Some very very good matchups this weekend with higher spreads than I would have thought in the playoffs. It's an extremely difficult weekend to cap but here's my thoughts.
Saints -3 @ 49er's O/U 47
The 9'ers are a time of possession run the clock and get any points they can kind of team. They will work on wearing down the saint defense and keeping the saints offense on ice.
The saints are a big play machine. They respond 'you going to kill the clock and get 3? We'll score 7 and let you run it out.'
I don’t expect 7 on each possession nor do I expect 3 on each SF possession. I do though expect a slower paced game dictated by the san fran offense and defense resulting in a lower than 47 point score. I also expect more 7's from the saints than from the 9'ers and as a result saints win and cover.
Broncos @ Patriots -13.5 O/U 50
Ok, the Tebow show enters New England. Had them to win last week because Tebow has shown he can make the big play, they were at home for the playoffs!, steelers injuries were troublesome, steelers not scoring much on the road, broncos D playing well.
2 of those things apply with Tebow capable of creating a big play and their D playing well. The rest is not. The big play is diminished by the lack of Eric Decker. Eddie Royal will have to step up big. The Defense won't be enough.
It won't happen. I keep thinking maybe there will be a backdoor cover but Belichek will not let off the gas. He'll come out slow, maybe it'll be close at the half. Then the broncos will get torched.
I hate the points especially in the playoffs but I don't believe in the broncos on the road.
Texans @ Ravens -7.5 O/U 36
Texans have never beaten the ravens. The ravens are undefeated at home this year.
But, they don't have to beat them just cover the spread. Ravens are 3-5 ATS at home this year.
Foster and Tate will run the ball, Daniels will open the middle of the field and Andre Johnson will be there for the big play.
The houston D I do believe can get pressure on Flacco, cause him to make mistakes and slow down Ray Rice just enough.
Still, there will be some scoring in this game I think just enough to cover.
I'm taking the points with the hook in favor.
Giants @ Packers -8 O/U 52.5
Both teams can score and both have weak secondaries so I'm looking at the over.
It'll be sunny and cold in green bay but I don't expect that to slow these teams down especially in the second half.
Giants may lean on the run a little more but if the play is there, and with the weak secondary of the packers it'll be there then eli will go for it. They may have to if they get down.
Packers rested several starters week 17. That means they haven't played since week 16. That offense is a well oiled machine but will that timing suffer from lack of use? Maybe a little hiccup at first but it should kick in.
I simply expect this to come down to the 4th quarter. Close game or backdoor cover. It's over 7 take the points.
Good Luck!
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