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Taxman's Conference Championship Statistical Analysis

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  • Taxman's Conference Championship Statistical Analysis

    Digging in the way back machine for this scenario:

    Since 1978, 17 times in the divisional round, the dog of 7 points or more won SU. The following week in the championship round back on the road, that team is 3-12 SU, 5-10 ATS.
    The 79 Rams and 08 Cardinals were the only two teams that hosted the championship game.


    17 CC SU ATS
    79 Houston L L Rams were home, n/a
    83 Seattle L L
    84 Chicago L L
    86 Washington L L
    87 Minnesota L L
    93 Kansas City L L
    95 Green Bay L L
    95 Indianapolis L W
    96 Jacksonville L L
    3 Carolina W W
    5 Pittsburgh W W
    7 New York Giants W W
    7 San Diego L W
    8 Arizona AZ was home
    9 New York Jets L L
    10 New York Jets L L


    3-12 SU 5-10 ATS


    ROAD TEAMS IN CHAMPIONSHIP GAME
    AFC 11-22 SU 13-20 ATS 0-5 SU 1-4 ATS L5 2 WERE FAVORITES AND BOTH WON DOGS OF 7.5+ 1-9SU, 4-6 ATS
    NFC 11-22 SU 15-18 ATS 10 WERE FAVORITES GOING 5-5 SU/ATS


    AFC DOGS 9-22 SU 11-20 ATS
    NFC DOGS 6-17 SU 10-13 ATS


    Right now, I'm leaning Baltimore +8 (Rice will be able to run against Pats D) and SF -2.5.
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