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Now that the GOW picks are in I can finally post this 
I'm a Giants fan. Have been since I was a child. So, people won't be surprised in me picking the Giants +3.
However, as a Giants fan I do believe at times I can be more skeptical and critical of my team when I am uncertain of their ability. I tend to shy away from betting them in most cases and will go with either other games or a total.
But again, I'm betting the Giants +3.
Why? Homerism? My money has no loyalty but to my pocket. Blinded by favoritism? I try to be objective else I'll move to the total or elsewhere.
The Giants seem like favorites here and in the books though not being favored. Too small a sample size for this site.
Pickem at espn had 55% on the pats SU. Thespread has only 57% on giants +3. Big money is still coming in. Popularity means nothing.
Offensively the Giants have more explosive ability with better wide receivers than the pats. The Patriots posses the best tight end in the league this year and though hobbled would be a mistake to believe he's not a huge factor.
The trick is the defense of the Giants is much more in balance against the offense of the Pats whereas the scale is tilted much into the Giant's favor with the porous pass D of the patriots.
'But Bellichik will have 2 weeks to fix that.' He had all season to fix it. He had two weeks and then lost to the steelers. Coughlin has 2 weeks to improve his D which already this season proved to be too much for the pats holding Tom Brady to zero points the 1st half. Those 2 weeks may make it more of a struggle but the team won't turn it around enough.
The giants played the hardest defense in the league. What happened? 316yds, 2TD's 0 ints. Brady played a tough defense and what happened? 239yds 0tds 2 ints.
The Patriots offense is so good though. Right? Yes, they are good but the week before the giants faced a team that was as good and arguably better. What happened? They stifled that offense to a shadow of what it was. Both wins in the backyards of those teams and even the win against the pats regular season was in new england.
The Giants look to be playing great football and the pats are getting by. The Patriot's defense did gain some momentum last week with a great strip in the endzone of Lee Evans and Wilfork having his best game of the season. But that is not the norm whereas the Giants stripping the ball from Williams and then recovering sounds like something their defense is continually capable of.
Minimize turnovers. Brady doesn't throw as many picks as Eli. In fact, the patriot's silver lining on D is that they have 3 more INT's on the season than do the Giant's D.
Pressure. Get in Brady's face and he becomes human. Bump the receivers to throw them off timing and Brady has no where to go with the ball.
Play to strengths. Bradshaw and Nicks did Not play the regular season game. The run game is different with Bradshaw and the offense much more dynamic with both.
IF the Giants play the way they have the last couple weeks and do not let the hype go to their heads then I do not see how the Patriots can stop them.
Giants +3
Giants ML
total... so tough was leaning under but ended up with over 53.5
teaser giants +10 over 46.5
Good luck to you in your choices. Have a safe and enjoyable Super Bowl.
I listed a some good props in Taxman's thread.
I'm a Giants fan. Have been since I was a child. So, people won't be surprised in me picking the Giants +3.
However, as a Giants fan I do believe at times I can be more skeptical and critical of my team when I am uncertain of their ability. I tend to shy away from betting them in most cases and will go with either other games or a total.
But again, I'm betting the Giants +3.
Why? Homerism? My money has no loyalty but to my pocket. Blinded by favoritism? I try to be objective else I'll move to the total or elsewhere.
The Giants seem like favorites here and in the books though not being favored. Too small a sample size for this site.
Pickem at espn had 55% on the pats SU. Thespread has only 57% on giants +3. Big money is still coming in. Popularity means nothing.
Offensively the Giants have more explosive ability with better wide receivers than the pats. The Patriots posses the best tight end in the league this year and though hobbled would be a mistake to believe he's not a huge factor.
The trick is the defense of the Giants is much more in balance against the offense of the Pats whereas the scale is tilted much into the Giant's favor with the porous pass D of the patriots.
'But Bellichik will have 2 weeks to fix that.' He had all season to fix it. He had two weeks and then lost to the steelers. Coughlin has 2 weeks to improve his D which already this season proved to be too much for the pats holding Tom Brady to zero points the 1st half. Those 2 weeks may make it more of a struggle but the team won't turn it around enough.
The giants played the hardest defense in the league. What happened? 316yds, 2TD's 0 ints. Brady played a tough defense and what happened? 239yds 0tds 2 ints.
The Patriots offense is so good though. Right? Yes, they are good but the week before the giants faced a team that was as good and arguably better. What happened? They stifled that offense to a shadow of what it was. Both wins in the backyards of those teams and even the win against the pats regular season was in new england.
The Giants look to be playing great football and the pats are getting by. The Patriot's defense did gain some momentum last week with a great strip in the endzone of Lee Evans and Wilfork having his best game of the season. But that is not the norm whereas the Giants stripping the ball from Williams and then recovering sounds like something their defense is continually capable of.
Minimize turnovers. Brady doesn't throw as many picks as Eli. In fact, the patriot's silver lining on D is that they have 3 more INT's on the season than do the Giant's D.
Pressure. Get in Brady's face and he becomes human. Bump the receivers to throw them off timing and Brady has no where to go with the ball.
Play to strengths. Bradshaw and Nicks did Not play the regular season game. The run game is different with Bradshaw and the offense much more dynamic with both.
IF the Giants play the way they have the last couple weeks and do not let the hype go to their heads then I do not see how the Patriots can stop them.
Giants +3
Giants ML
total... so tough was leaning under but ended up with over 53.5
teaser giants +10 over 46.5
Good luck to you in your choices. Have a safe and enjoyable Super Bowl.
I listed a some good props in Taxman's thread.
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