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Pick posted at 12:58 EST 6/16/2014
SDG/SEA UNDER 7.0 runs @ -115 is the play for 1.0% of one's bankroll.
This is not as intuitive a proposition as it seems on its face. The Sportsbook industry norm of 7.5 runs scored per MLB matchup would show this game @-145 so one needs to have sufficient justification to take the UNDER here.
The first point of validation is that both teams offensively are playing even poorer than normal.
8 of the Mariners' last 10 games have gone UNDER the posted o/u total. More telling is that 7 of their last 10 games have had posted o/u totals of 7 runs or less... 3 of those had a posted o/u total of 6.5 total runs scored with two of those three games going UNDER and of the remaining 4 games where the posted o/u total was 7.0 total runs scored, we see that 2 of those 4 went UNDER the posted 7.0 total.
The 3 remaining games had 2 posted at 7.5 runs and one game @ 8.0 runs... all 3 games went UNDER.
In 6 of the 7 games that went UNDER, the Mariners' poor offensive play would serve as the assignable cause.
Now the Mariners offense is forced to go up against the Padres' Tyson Ross who has pitched well all season as well as having pitched well recently.
The CLINCHER for the UNDER bettor in this game is not Tyson Ross BUT INSTEAD the Mariners' bullpen. The Padres are just awful offensively so expect the Mariners to quickly go to a well-rested bullpen of capable relievers if Starting Pitcher, Chris Young falters.
Since UNDER 7.5 Runs @ -145 would be justified then UNDER 7.0 runs @ -115 is justified.
Pinny now has the UNDER @ -103 and 5 Dimes has it @ -107.
The Greek is now showing the UNDER @ -110. I myself bet the UNDER @ -115.
Take the UNDER @ -115 for 1.0% of one's bankroll
SDG/SEA UNDER 7.0 runs @ -115 is the play for 1.0% of one's bankroll.
This is not as intuitive a proposition as it seems on its face. The Sportsbook industry norm of 7.5 runs scored per MLB matchup would show this game @-145 so one needs to have sufficient justification to take the UNDER here.
The first point of validation is that both teams offensively are playing even poorer than normal.
8 of the Mariners' last 10 games have gone UNDER the posted o/u total. More telling is that 7 of their last 10 games have had posted o/u totals of 7 runs or less... 3 of those had a posted o/u total of 6.5 total runs scored with two of those three games going UNDER and of the remaining 4 games where the posted o/u total was 7.0 total runs scored, we see that 2 of those 4 went UNDER the posted 7.0 total.
The 3 remaining games had 2 posted at 7.5 runs and one game @ 8.0 runs... all 3 games went UNDER.
In 6 of the 7 games that went UNDER, the Mariners' poor offensive play would serve as the assignable cause.
Now the Mariners offense is forced to go up against the Padres' Tyson Ross who has pitched well all season as well as having pitched well recently.
The CLINCHER for the UNDER bettor in this game is not Tyson Ross BUT INSTEAD the Mariners' bullpen. The Padres are just awful offensively so expect the Mariners to quickly go to a well-rested bullpen of capable relievers if Starting Pitcher, Chris Young falters.
Since UNDER 7.5 Runs @ -145 would be justified then UNDER 7.0 runs @ -115 is justified.
Pinny now has the UNDER @ -103 and 5 Dimes has it @ -107.
The Greek is now showing the UNDER @ -110. I myself bet the UNDER @ -115.
Take the UNDER @ -115 for 1.0% of one's bankroll