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"Mock Hilton Contest"........Week #12.........Post Your 5 Picks Here.
I predict that New York Jets will be the team most taken. Stale Line Hunter Widestrides having nothing to do with them though. Shrewd move, will it pay off with a Buffalo cover?
I have a special treat this week: not only did I summarize the group selections, but I also ranked them by past performances of the entrants! I gave points for each game above (and lost points for BELOW) 28 selections and added up the points for the selected teams. I also did the same thing for people with >60% so far, yielding the selections of this contest's 2014 elite. Enjoy!
The executive summary is that the Chargers were a wildly popular selection, and everyone liked the Patriots. The Cowboys, Vikings, and Texans weren't consensus picks but emerged as a favorite of the elite. The Seahawks and Eagles also curried substantial favor but weren't as popular with the 60% class. Of course, the Jets drew attention as well given the line situation.
It was pointed out today that nothing has pushed all season?? If true...wow! So much for the value of 1/2 a point, eh?
May the odds by in your favor this weekend!
I predict that New York Jets will be the team most taken. Stale Line Hunter Widestrides having nothing to do with them though. Shrewd move, will it pay off with a Buffalo cover?
Ha! I even took 3 *bad* lines - Rams, Saints and Packers. Actually considered taking the Bills bad line figuring everyone would be on the Jets, but can't trust Kyle Orton and not that many took the Jets after all.
Thanks for the work BlackCat . Im comforted knowing I was not the only one astonished by the Giants at only +3.5 . Still scratching my head but just couldnt check off that Dallas pick but I see many others had no problem doing it ! GL to all .
My computerized-based line generation for the Cowboy game was Cowboys -4.5. It seems the line is settling there right now. I wouldn't consider -4.5 vs -3.5 a very substantive difference.
In generating the line, I considered that the Giants would have been favorites early in the season but considerable underdogs late in the season because the Giants have dropped off considerably. I have lines ranging from 3 to 8.5 for their recent performance and 0 to 3.5 considering the overall season. The Venn puts it between 3.5 and 4.5 which is largely where it has fluctuated this week.
Ha! I even took 3 *bad* lines - Rams, Saints and Packers. Actually considered taking the Bills bad line figuring everyone would be on the Jets, but can't trust Kyle Orton and not that many took the Jets after all.
GL!
Good Lord Widestrides!! Looking for anything to bring confidence in Orton & specifically his record in a dome I found he has 98.4 QB rating on turf, thats encouraging but Bills off the chaos of the days leading up to this, little or no practice....exciting stuff. On another note I do officially regret my pick on Broncos -7....wish I'd done something else, Miami D may cause Manning some problems today and his receiving core is less than healthy....oh well whats done is done.
BlackCat what does "I also ranked them by past performances of the entrants! I gave points for each game above (and lost points for BELOW) 28 selections" translate to in more layman's terms? What does it mean??? Past performances...of the entrants, like, how well they've done selecting that particular team or....what?
And whatever it means why is "28 selections" a level of something upon which it's based?
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