Boston College at Clemson
Clemson will host Boston College this Saturday night at Memorial Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM EST with the Tigers currently favored by 16 and a total of 46. The ACC Network will televise the game.
BC comes into this game undefeated at 4-0. Their first three games came against weak opposition as they beat Colgate, UMASS and Temple. But last week they knocked off a decent Missouri team 41-34 in OT.
Clemson comes into this game 2-2. They lost to Georgia in week 1 and lost last week to NC State. Their wins came against South Carolina State and Georgia Tech. While it’s still early, one thing is clear. They miss Trevor Lawrence. He really opened up this offense which to date has struggled.
Head to Head History
head-to-head history (lined games):
10/31/2020 Boston College 28 +26.5 at Clemson 34
10/26/2019 Boston College 7 +35.0 at Clemson 59
11/10/2018 Clemson 27 -19.0 at Boston College 7
9/23/2017 Boston College 7 +33.0 at Clemson 34
10/ 7/2016 Clemson 56 -17.0 at Boston College 10
10/17/2015 Boston College 17 +16.5 at Clemson 34
10/18/2014 Clemson 17 - 5.0 at Boston College 13
10/12/2013 Boston College 14 +24.0 at Clemson 24
9/29/2012 Clemson 45 - 7.0 at Boston College 31
10/ 8/2011 Boston College 14 +21.0 at Clemson 36
10/30/2010 Clemson 10 - 7.0 at Boston College 16
9/19/2009 Boston College 7 + 7.0 at Clemson 25
11/ 1/2008 Clemson 27 + 3.5 at Boston College 21
11/17/2007 Boston College 20 + 7.0 at Clemson 17
9/ 9/2006 Clemson 33 - 1.0 at Boston College 34
9/24/2005 Boston College 16 + 3.5 at Clemson 13
average outcome:
Boston College 16.4 Clemson 30.7
margin = 14.31
time-weighted average outcome:
Boston College 13.7 Clemson 38.2
margin = 24.49
average result when the home team is Clemson
Boston College 14.4 Clemson 30.7
margin = 16.22
average result when the home team is Boston College
Clemson 30.7 Boston College 18.9
margin = -11.86
43.75 % of games went Over
33.33 % went Over at Clemson
average total points per game = 47.06
time-weighted average total = 51.97
the home team covered 43.75 % of the time
the road team covered 56.25 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = -3.63
the favorite covered 43.75 % of the time
the underdog covered 56.25 % of the time
Ave ATS differential = -1.00
the favorite won SU 68.75 % of the time
Boston College covered 50.00 % of the time
Clemson covered 50.00 % of the time
Clemson covered 44.44 % of the time at home
Clemson covered 44.44 % of the time as home favorites
Our Pick
Prior to 2015 and Clemson seemingly in the national title game every year, this series was actually close and competitive. There’s a whole bunch of games decided by a TD or less and even some straight up BC wins. Then of course last season was a 34-27 Clemson win.
It looks to us as though Clemson has returned to their pre 2015 form without Lawrence. Meanwhile, Boston College is running the ball well and putting some points on the board. Sure, some questionable opponents. But last weeks win over Missouri proved they can also do it against teams with a pulse.
There’s always the chance that this is the week Clemson puts it all together and explodes offensively. But that certainly doesn’t look likely based on what we’ve seen so far.
The +16 points were getting with BC could loom large here.