Below you’ll find the score predictions from our model for the divisional round of the NFL playoffs. You’ll see that there are 3 sets of score predictions for each game. One uses full season data, one uses data from the last 4 games and the last prediction uses data from the last 7 games.
This time of year, we’d suggest weighing the last prediction the strongest. It’s only looking at the more recent games which shows a teams current form.
One word of caution however. The model does NOT factor in 50 MPH winds and -30 below wind chill factors!
1st score using full season data 2nd score using last 4 games data 3rd score using last 7 games data Houston 45.0 14 Baltimore -9.0 29 Houston 45.0 17 Baltimore -9.0 25 Houston 45.0 12 Baltimore -9.0 35 Green Bay 50.5 18 San Francisco -10.0 26 Green Bay 50.5 31 San Francisco -10.0 17 Green Bay 50.5 26 San Francisco -10.0 28 Tampa Bay 48.5 19 Detroit -6.0 25 Tampa Bay 48.5 11 Detroit -6.0 16 Tampa Bay 48.5 19 Detroit -6.0 23 Kansas City 46.5 19 Buffalo -2.5 18 Kansas City 46.5 17 Buffalo -2.5 13 Kansas City 46.5 17 Buffalo -2.5 20