Chiefs at Giants: Week 3 Sunday Night Football Betting Preview

Game Details: Kansas City Chiefs (0-2) at New York Giants (0-2)
Date: Saturday, September 21, 2025
Time: 8:20 PM ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
TV: NBC
Spread: Chiefs -6
Total: 45 (MyBookie)

Bottom Line Up Front

This Week 3 Sunday Night Football matchup presents an interesting betting opportunity with two winless teams desperate for their first win. While the Chiefs enter as road favorites, the Giants have shown surprising offensive life and possess significant value as home underdogs.

Current Form Analysis

Kansas City Chiefs (0-2)

The defending AFC champions find themselves in uncharted territory, experiencing their first 0-2 start during the Patrick Mahomes era. Their struggles have been multifaceted – the quarterback has completed just 58.8% of his passes through two weeks while averaging only 6.5 yards per attempt. The team’s offensive struggles have been particularly pronounced on third downs, where they converted just 4 of 12 attempts against Philadelphia in Week 2.

Most concerning for Kansas City has been their red zone efficiency. A critical goal-line turnover against the Eagles – where a pass bounced off the hands of their star tight end – exemplified their current struggles in crucial moments. The offensive line has also failed to provide adequate protection, allowing 4 sacks and 18 quarterback hits through the first two games.

New York Giants (0-2)

Despite their winless record, the Giants showed dramatic offensive improvement in Week 2’s 40-37 overtime loss to Dallas. Russell Wilson delivered perhaps his finest performance in recent years, throwing for 450 yards and three touchdowns. The aerial attack found new life through the connection between Wilson and receiver Malik Nabers, who recorded 167 receiving yards and two touchdowns on nine catches.

However, New York’s defensive vulnerabilities remain glaring. They’ve surrendered 177.5 rushing yards per game – the worst mark in the NFL through two weeks. Their red zone defense has been equally problematic, allowing touchdowns on 85.7% of opponent possessions inside the 20-yard line.

Key Betting Trends

Against the Spread Performance

• Chiefs: 1-5 ATS in their last six games
• Giants: 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs Chiefs
• Giants: 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall
• Chiefs: 0-4 ATS in their last four games against NFC opponents

Historical Context

The Giants have dominated this matchup from a betting perspective, winning each of their seven previous home games against Kansas City. Additionally, home teams have covered the spread in four of the Giants’ last five contests.

Total Trends

• Under: 5-2 in Chiefs’ last seven games vs NFC East opponents
• Under: 13-7 in Giants’ last 20 games
• Under: Each of the Giants’ last 11 home openers have gone under
• Under: Each of the Chiefs’ last four Week 3 road games have gone under

Matchup Analysis

Offensive Advantages

Kansas City’s rushing attack should find success against a Giants defense that has struggled mightily against the run. The Chiefs’ dual-threat capability, particularly with their quarterback’s mobility (123 rushing yards, 2 TDs), could exploit this weakness effectively.

For New York, their newfound aerial success presents an intriguing counter. Wilson’s ability to stretch the field vertically, combined with the explosive playmaking ability of their receiving corps, could challenge a Chiefs secondary that has been tested early this season.

Defensive Considerations

The Giants’ pass rush, featuring multiple talented edge rushers, should generate pressure against a Kansas City offensive line that has shown vulnerability. This unit’s ability to disrupt timing could be crucial in limiting the Chiefs’ offensive efficiency.

Kansas City’s defense has shown marked improvement over recent seasons and successfully limited Philadelphia’s potent rushing attack in Week 2. Their secondary depth and experience should provide a stern test for New York’s passing game.

Injury Impact

The potential return of the Giants’ starting left tackle would significantly bolster their pass protection, particularly important given Wilson’s recent success when given time to throw. For Kansas City, the status of their rookie receiver remains questionable but could provide a crucial deep threat if available.

Betting Recommendation

Primary Play: New York Giants +6

The value lies heavily with the home underdog. Kansas City’s current struggles appear genuine rather than merely early-season growing pains. Their offensive line issues, combined with red zone inefficiency, suggest these problems may persist against a motivated Giants team playing at home under the lights.

New York’s offensive explosion in Week 2, while against a weaker Dallas defense, demonstrated the ceiling of this unit when functioning properly. The historical trend of this matchup heavily favoring the Giants at home adds additional confidence to this position.

Secondary Play: Under 45

Both teams’ recent tendencies point toward lower-scoring affairs. The Chiefs have struggled to generate consistent offense, while the Giants’ defensive issues may be somewhat mitigated by Kansas City’s current limitations. The historical under trend in similar situations supports this position.

Final Prediction: Giants 24, Chiefs 21

Expect a competitive, lower-scoring affair where New York’s home field advantage and Kansas City’s current struggles combine to produce an upset win for the Giants in a game that stays under the posted total.