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Indians @ Reds preview and pick

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  • Indians @ Reds preview and pick

    7.10pm ET
    Cleveland (38 - 39) at Cincinnati (42 - 36)
    Kazuhito Tadano (R) vs. Aaron Harang (R)

    With two strong offensive lineup's tonight we'll recommend a play Over the total of 9.5.

    The Over is hitting at 62% (31-19) in Cleveland's night games this season and 60% (30-20) for Cincinnati.

    The Indians have scored at least five runs in 9 of their last 11 games, averaging 5.9 rpg during this stretch. Meantime the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs through their last ten games and have scored at least four runs in eight of those contests.

    Against right-handed starters Cleveland are averaging 5.6 runs per game while Cincinnati are scoring 5.0 rpg.

    Kazuhito Tadano gets his first career start tonight following a brief bullpen stint. He has appeared in seven games this season and has a 5.40 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and .325 BAA...hardly the kind of numbers that inspire confidence for him to get the nod as a starter. And if he gets in trouble early he'll have to hand it over to arguably the worst bullpen in the majors. On the road this season the Indians pen have blown 67% of their saves and have a bloated 7.04 ERA.

    Aaron Harang heads to the hill for the Reds and tonight is his second start since coming off the disabled list with a strained ligament in his right elbow. Overall this season he is 4-2 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.67 WHIP.

    These teams have met three times this season and those games saw total runs of 18, 15 and 11 runs scored. We're forecasting another double-digit total tonight and will recommend the Over with confidence.

    Recommended Play: Over 9.5 -115
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