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I have played this trend for the last 5 seasons.
Here is an interesting trend regarding Week 1 totals:
Since 1995, 10-32-2 O with a total of 45 or more (19 of those games were U by at least 10 points!).
Since 2001, 6-26-1 O with a total of 45 or more (16 of those games were U by at least 10 points!).
Since 2006, 3-11 O with a total of 45 or more (7 of those games were U by at least 10 points!).
The public is playing the 'team' without consideration to actual game time the teams have played during pre-season. There will be rust and that is why so many of the games go U by 10+ points.
5 years ago (2006) 4-0
CIN/KC 48.5 (23-10)
DEN/STL 45.5 (18-10)
SEA/DET bet at 45 closed at 44 (9-6)
IND/NYG 47.5 (26-21)
4 years ago (2007) 2-0
U 46.5 NO/IND (23-20)
U 45 AZ/SF (20-17)
3 years ago (2008) 1-0
U 48.5 DAL/CLE (28-10)
2 years ago (2009) 2-2
U49 DET/NO (45-27)
U46 SF/AZ (20-16)
U46 CHI/GB (21-15)
U47 BUF/NE (25-24)
Last year (2010) 2-1
U48 MIN/NO (14-9)
U46.5 IND/HOU (34-24)
U47.5 GB/PHI (27-20)
2011
U47 NO/GB
U45.5 NE/MIA
Here is an interesting trend regarding Week 1 totals:
Since 1995, 10-32-2 O with a total of 45 or more (19 of those games were U by at least 10 points!).
Since 2001, 6-26-1 O with a total of 45 or more (16 of those games were U by at least 10 points!).
Since 2006, 3-11 O with a total of 45 or more (7 of those games were U by at least 10 points!).
The public is playing the 'team' without consideration to actual game time the teams have played during pre-season. There will be rust and that is why so many of the games go U by 10+ points.
5 years ago (2006) 4-0
CIN/KC 48.5 (23-10)
DEN/STL 45.5 (18-10)
SEA/DET bet at 45 closed at 44 (9-6)
IND/NYG 47.5 (26-21)
4 years ago (2007) 2-0
U 46.5 NO/IND (23-20)
U 45 AZ/SF (20-17)
3 years ago (2008) 1-0
U 48.5 DAL/CLE (28-10)
2 years ago (2009) 2-2
U49 DET/NO (45-27)
U46 SF/AZ (20-16)
U46 CHI/GB (21-15)
U47 BUF/NE (25-24)
Last year (2010) 2-1
U48 MIN/NO (14-9)
U46.5 IND/HOU (34-24)
U47.5 GB/PHI (27-20)
2011
U47 NO/GB
U45.5 NE/MIA