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Min -5.5 / 43.5
Tough spot for Tampa Bay having to travel on a short week after that heartbreaking division loss last Sunday to New Orleans.
Minnesota playing a consecutive home game where they are 4-0 and having won by 3 in OT, 11, 23 and 7.
Nothing really stands out to me looking at Minnesota but Ponder has completed 67% of his passes thanks to having Percy
Harvin to dump off to, and they have a great rushing game averaging 132ypg with Peterson leading the way. The defense/
special teams have scored 3 TD's and Harvin is averaging 35 yds per KO return, with rookie PK Walsh hitting on 16/17 FG's and
all 3 from 50+
Tampa Bay has now lost 4 out of their last 5 games including both on the road, by 6 to Dallas and by 7 to the NY Giants.
Dallas held them to just 166 yds of offense and the Viking defense might have good luck there also with Jared Allen causing havoc
for Josh Freeman. Freeman does have a couple very large targets though with Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams with his jumping
ability, but he is only completing 55.6% of his attempts so far so it may be hit and miss there.
The Buc defense has held opponents to just 76 ypg rushing on average but that may be because their pass defense has been so
porous that opponents have opted to go that route. They are giving up an average of 323 ypg through the air and a 66% completion
rate.
With Adrian Peterson at RB, the porous Buc defense and a very good Viking defense I think the road team is in for a tough night.
I already played a 6.5 pt teaser when the line was -6.5/42.5 so I have Min PK and OV 36 but I'll also make a play on Min -5.5
and stay away from that current total of 43.5 being a little leery of the fact that Minny has given up a total of just 34 pts over their
last 3 home games.
Min -5.5 / 43.5
Tough spot for Tampa Bay having to travel on a short week after that heartbreaking division loss last Sunday to New Orleans.
Minnesota playing a consecutive home game where they are 4-0 and having won by 3 in OT, 11, 23 and 7.
Nothing really stands out to me looking at Minnesota but Ponder has completed 67% of his passes thanks to having Percy
Harvin to dump off to, and they have a great rushing game averaging 132ypg with Peterson leading the way. The defense/
special teams have scored 3 TD's and Harvin is averaging 35 yds per KO return, with rookie PK Walsh hitting on 16/17 FG's and
all 3 from 50+
Tampa Bay has now lost 4 out of their last 5 games including both on the road, by 6 to Dallas and by 7 to the NY Giants.
Dallas held them to just 166 yds of offense and the Viking defense might have good luck there also with Jared Allen causing havoc
for Josh Freeman. Freeman does have a couple very large targets though with Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams with his jumping
ability, but he is only completing 55.6% of his attempts so far so it may be hit and miss there.
The Buc defense has held opponents to just 76 ypg rushing on average but that may be because their pass defense has been so
porous that opponents have opted to go that route. They are giving up an average of 323 ypg through the air and a 66% completion
rate.
With Adrian Peterson at RB, the porous Buc defense and a very good Viking defense I think the road team is in for a tough night.
I already played a 6.5 pt teaser when the line was -6.5/42.5 so I have Min PK and OV 36 but I'll also make a play on Min -5.5
and stay away from that current total of 43.5 being a little leery of the fact that Minny has given up a total of just 34 pts over their
last 3 home games.