Tommy Gold NBA 2009/2010 Playoffs Picks

[TommyGold]

NBA PLAYOFFS (31-18-1, +11.04u) 2010.04.30 last 2 picks:

Los Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder: Los Angeles Lakers PK -107 (1.93) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Los Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder: Under 194.5 -106 (1.94) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

* One unit each always.

[TommyGold]

4-0 FULL MOON SWEEP!!!





NBA PLAYOFFS (35-18-1, +14.73u) 2010.04.30 results recap:

Atlanta Hawks @ Milwaukee Bucks: Atlanta Hawks -1.5 -110 (1.91) 2BetDSI (69-83: WIN)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder: Los Angeles Lakers PK -107 (1.93) BetPhoenix (94-95: WIN)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Oklahoma City Thunder: Under 194.5 -106 (1.94) BetPhoenix (94-95: WIN)
Denver Nuggets @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz -6 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (112-104: WIN)

NBA 2010.04.30 finished 4-0 and +3.69 units won/4 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 385-282-9, +70.22 units won (667 units risked) NEW MILESTONE ACHIEVED!!!

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-73, +0.31 units won (117 units risked)


Very nice playoffs so far! :D



NBA PLAYOFFS (35-18-1, +14.73u) 2010.05.01 only pick:

Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Today we will have the first game of a semi final. Many people will follow this particularly series with interest, as everyone still waiting to see if the Cavaliers can be really a contenders while they have LeBron James. This will be probably the biggest chance for the Cavaliers, as they will lose LeBron for free agency next year. For the Cavaliers now will start the true test to their capabilities, has they had faced before only the Bulls.

The Cavaliers and the Celtics are both aware that they are not playing at their best. Both teams can play better, as we saw in the regular season. If the Celtics were happy due to a bad coaching from their last opponent, the Cavs didn't ensure their qualification as easy as we though. So, despite some favoritism for the Cavaliers today, this series will never be a surprise, as any result is possible and acceptable. The Cavs knows that now it's playoffs time, and probably their best chance for the upcoming years. But the Celtics, even with a poor regular season, are always strong when they arrive to the playoffs, as they got one of the most experienced rosters. They got big talent for the past and the present, that can help them facing big games.

Both teams play with muscle, and are strong in the paint. We can't expect today a fast game, as both teams will play as smart as they can. In the big battle in the paint, probably the winner will be the strongest at that position, as it is the key for the series. In the games between these teams in the regular season, all games went over, however it was different situation. Both teams had lot's of free throws, due to same lack of permeation. At this point, none of the teams will repeat that game, as they will not offer free throws to the opponent, will have to be stronger and solid than before. In the regular season, a loss is just.... a loss. Now, a loss is a step forward to the end of the season. We should expect a playoff game (as it is) between these teams, and that makes always both teams more concentrate in the defense than offense.

Pick: Under 191.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker


* One unit each always.



NBA PLAYOFFS (35-18-1, +14.73u) 2010.05.02 first pick:

Milwaukee Bucks @ Atlanta Hawks

The bucks were adventurers enough to put the Hawks in a a bad position. However, they doesn't have the roster and the talent that the Hawks got, and that only works to give us, NBA fans, more games to watch. But when the Hawks were in the position of "win or go home", they didn't had more pity of the Bucks, and are making them pay for that audacity. Their talent is much bigger, they have their best players playing, deep bench, and are strong in the paint, where the Bucks are defalcated with the Bogut injury.

There isn't much to say about this game. As we saw in the last game, where the Hawks went to Milwaukee showing that they have not more patient for the Bucks, the Hawks won 83-69. A really underscored game, that's due to a big defense game from the Hawks. The Hawks got the bench and the players to control in the paint, and have also good shooters to score easily. They know that they have all the edge and will use it, after all, it will be a game 7, so they can't give any space to the Bucks, just like they did in the last game.

That wasn't hard for them to do, and at this point, when they have to win to get the qualification, there is no other way. The Bucks were happy and a worthy opponent. They never letdown their arms, they fought while they could, taking the edge when the Hawks faced them with extra-confidence. The team got some talents, like the great rookie Jennings, but stills orphan of their biggest two players, Redd, the scorer, and Bogut, their big men.

Their chances are now weak, as they doesn't have big men to hold an angry Hawks in the paint, and will face now a big defense, so they will have no open spaces as in previous games. They will be totally trailed by the Hawks, as there is no more space to child games.

Pick: Atlanta Hawks -9.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

* One unit each always.

[TommyGold]

NBA PLAYOFFS (35-19-1, +13.73u) 2010.05.02 last pick:

Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers: Under 198.5 -103 (1.97) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

* One unit each always. The teams will try to dominate each other in the paint and that will be the key in this series, so we will have a very physical and "slow" game.



NBA PLAYOFFS (35-19-1, +13.73u) 2010.05.01 results recap:

Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Under 191.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (101-93: LOSS)

NBA 2010.05.01 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 385-283-9, +69.22 units won (668 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-73, +0.31 units won (117 units risked)

[TommyGold]

NBA PLAYOFFS (35-19-1, +13.73u) 2010.05.03 final 3 picks:

Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Under 193 -110 (1.91) The Greek

San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns -3.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek

San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns Over 204.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

* One unit each always.


Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers

The first game in this NBA playoffs series went over, but just by 2.5 points. Even with the value we had for the under, we also had a weird third quarter, when LeBron remembered that perhaps would be good to the Cavaliers if he could hit every shot he try. So, we had an abnormal number of points in the third quarter, when the Cavaliers had their bounce back. So, during the most of the game, it was as I expected, and today, the game will not be so different from the last one. Probably it wont be needed a bounce back supported by LeBron, probably the only player in the field able to do so alone. And both teams will have to improve their defense to the point guards.

The Celtics probably lost their chance to steal the home advantage that the Cavaliers have in the last game. The game was a hard game, where the Celtics had some edge while Rondo was able to get penetrations and make some layups. In the first part of the game, the Celtics were able to make a strong defense, with Perkins and Garnett getting most of the rebounds.

The Cavaliers needed LeBron to get a bounce back, as they were trailing by 11 at the halftime. They needed some boost to get a better offense and a better defense, and in the second part of the game, they were able to do so, with a great third quarter where they were able to score 36 points. Today, they have to control the game sooner, as that kind of bounce backs doesn't happen every day.

For today's game, we can expect a kind of game like the fourth quarter, that ended with a total of 37 points. With a balanced game, both teams will work hard to get a strong defense, instead the last game, where there was a lead by 11 games that made the Celtics relax to much. The Cavaliers know that they need to implement their defense when the game starts and not at the halftime. Another thing that both teams will improve, is their defense to the point guards, as they will have to stop them better than in the last game.

Pick: Under 193 -110 (1.91) The Greek



NBA PLAYOFFS (36-20-1, +13.68u) 2010.05.02 results recap:

Milwaukee Bucks @ Atlanta Hawks: Atlanta Hawks -9.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (95-74: WIN)
Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers: Under 198.5 -103 (1.97) BetPhoenix (104-99: LOSS)

NBA 2010.05.01 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 386-284-9, +69.17 units won (670 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-73, +0.31 units won (117 units risked)

[TommyGold]

3-0 FULL MOON SWEEP!!!





NBA PLAYOFFS (39-20-1, +16.45u) 2010.05.02 results recap:

Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Under 193 -110 (1.91) The Greek (86-104: WIN)
San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns -3.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek (111-102: WIN)
San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns Over 204.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (111-102: WIN)

NBA 2010.05.03 finished 3-0 and +2.77 units won/3 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 389-284-9, +71.94 units won (673 units risked) New Season High!

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-73, +0.31 units won (117 units risked)



NBA PLAYOFFS (39-20-1, +16.45u) 2010.05.04 final 4 picks:

Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic: Orlando Magic -9 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers: Utah Jazz +6 JazzSports -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers: Utah Jazz ML +245 2BetDSI, Bet Jamaica

Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers: Under 199 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker, Under 200.5 -118 (1.85) Goalwin

* One unit each always.



Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic:

Orlando is now in their best moment of the season. They are healthy, as they had the biggest number of days without a game since the beginning of the season. They were able to pack up the Bobcats in 4 games, and are just waiting for the next opponents in their path to the final.

The Hawks had extra work to knock out the Bucks. Even with their best to players out, the Bucks had taken the series to game 7, giving lot's of work to the Hawks. Their offense is not working properly, as they had some problems against the Bucks, where they were able to control in the paint.

However, they will face now the best defensive player in NBA, Howard, and that edge will be no longer in Hawks side. Their defense will have huge problems, like we saw during the regular season against Orlando. There is no doubt that this team have talent, however, is a little bit young and with lack of experience in this wanderings.

The fact that they needed a game 7, two days ago, to grant their presence in todays game, is not good. They didn't prepare properly the game for tonight, and didn't had enough rest. At Orlando, this team can only try to study the Magics, as they have no chance to face a strong an rested Magics in Orlando, right now.

The Magics are without afraid of any one. They know that if they want to be champions, as they wish, they have to knock out any team. Their edge in the paint is huge, and as we saw against Bobcats, they have no pity to have a double digit win. They know that a big win today is the perfect start to this series.

They can't give any hopes to the Hawks, they have to smash them as soon as they can, to avoid the NBA banner "Where everything can happen". The team is completely healthy, have rested 7 days and had a week to prepare this game. There is no excuses, as they have all the edge in the paint, and even behind the arc.

Their accuracy is much better, specially at home, and are highly moralized. Howard will be able to control the game in the paint, and Jameer and Carter will be able to hold the opponent guards. We can expect an huge edge for the Magics, with a great defense and a well organized offensive, and will easily put down the Hawks today.

Pick: Orlando Magic -9 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

[TommyGold]

Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers

Both teams showed toughness on their defensive rebounds and the game will be harder and tougher on this chapter. Besides, Lakers will not have such a good accuracy on this game and Kobe doesn't always solve [Lakers problems], a bit like the Utah Jazz in Denver on Game 2.

The Jazz learned in Game 1 what they had to learn to pull off a win on this game. Bynum is hurt so Milssap will be in charge. Deron will dominate Fisher, Kobe will not play so well like he did on Game 1, and Gasol will have an interesting game against Boozer, but the later can play harder...

Picks: Utah Jazz +6 JazzSports -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers: Utah Jazz ML +245 2BetDSI, Bet Jamaica

Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers: Under 199 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker, Under 200.5 -118 (1.85) Goalwin

[TommyGold]

NBA PLAYOFFS (40-22-1, +15.36u) 2010.05.05 final 2 picks:

San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns -2.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns: Over 205.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

* One unit each always.



NBA PLAYOFFS (40-22-1, +15.36u) 2010.05.04 results recap:

Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic: Orlando Magic -9 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (114-71: WIN)
Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers: Utah Jazz +6 JazzSports -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (111-103: LOSS)
Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers: Under 199 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (111-103: LOSS)

NBA 2010.05.04 finished 1-2 and -1.09 units lost/3 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 390-286-9, +70.85 units won (676 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)
Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers: Utah Jazz ML +245 2BetDSI (111-103: LOSS)

[TommyGold]

NBA PLAYOFFS (42-22-1, +17.26u) 2010.05.05 results recap:

San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns -2.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (110-102: WIN)
San Antonio Spurs @ Phoenix Suns: Over 205.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (110-102: WIN)

NBA 2010.05.05 finished 2-0, +1.9 units won/2 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 392-286-9, +72.75 units won (678 units risked) New Season High!

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)



NBA PLAYOFFS (42-22-1, +17.26u) 2010.05.06 only pick:

Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic

Once again, the Magics will host the Hawks. In the first match, the Magics were able to get a blowout win. They won last game 114-71, while their biggest lead during the game was by 46 points. This show how big his the gap between these teams. If in the first quarter the Hawks were able keep the result close, they only were able to repeat it in the last quarter, when the Magics granted their win and made same changes. The Magics didn't like how the first quarter ran, with only 2 points lead in the end of it. So, they woke up and for the rest of the game with a great defense and offense.

After the first quarter, when they were leading by 2, they went to the halftime with 20 points lead, allowing only 10 points in the second quarter. The differences between both teams are evident, and for those who thinks that the Hawks will be able tonight to fight back, just remember that the Magics didn't played any game for fun this season. Even with their playoff spot granted, while other teams were resting players, the Magics played with their best. Even against a team like Bobcats in the playoffs, where they could be more generous and give up one game, they gived 4-0. So, nobody should expect the Magics to rest and get a lower pace, every good win is like a tonic for them, they will be able to do it better in the next game.

The Hawks have huge problems in the paint, allowing 56 points while scoring only 36. There is no way for the Hawks be able to hold Howard, and that will be always an edge for the Magics. In the paint, only a miracle day could give advantage for the Hawks. Another big problem, is their offense, While they have huge problems defending in Orlando, they have also big problems in offense, with 10 points in second quarter and 11 points in the third quarter. With so much problems, it's normal to made more faults than suffering, giving again another edge for the Magics.

It's hard to see another result than another blowout win for the Magics. They have the edge everywhere. Almost the double of the point in the paint (as long as the rebounds), better offense and defense. And if it's enough, they have also the moral edge, as the Magics now that they are able to win by many, and will try to do it. The Hawks already in Milwaukee huge problems playing on the road. And if it happened in Milwaukee, when they lost by 18 and 7 points both game... In Orlando will be worst for sure.

Pick: Orlando Magic -9.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

* One unit each always.

[TommyGold]

NBA PLAYOFFS (43-22-1, +18.21u) 2010.05.06 results recap:

Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic: Orlando Magic -9.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (112-98: WIN)

NBA 2010.05.06 finished 1-0 and +0.95 units won/1 unit risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 393-286-9 (57,879%), +73.7 units won (679 units risked) New Season High!

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)



NBA PLAYOFFS (43-22-1 (66.15%), +18.21u) 2010.05.07 first 3 picks: *

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Boston Celtics PK -110 (1.91) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Under 193 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs: Under 206 -110 (1.91) 5Dimes, BetUS

* One unit each always. Dunno if will take any side on the late game.



Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics

If there were any questions, it would be more probable a 2-0 for the Celtics than for the Cavaliers. It seems that will happen the same from last season: the Cavs being a big contenders, with high expectations, but unable to reach the title. We should give the credits that the Celtics deserve. If in game one, they allowed a good bounce back when they were winning by more than 10 points, in the second game they didn't accept any appeal from the Cavs and won by 18 points.

At this point, the Cavs already lost the home advantage, something that they needed an entire regular season to achieve. With some lack of team work and chemistry, specially due to a bad coaching in the final part of the regular season, the team isn't producing as much as they can. That 2 weeks they played without their best players, losing the mechanism that they acquired during months, are taking an huge cost. Cleveland needs to improve, a lot, or at least a streak of a really bad days from the Celtics, to get to the conference finals. The Cavaliers are struggling a lot, with lots of problem to overtake the Celtics defense. If there wasn't LeBron, the team weren't able to win the first game. With a poor offense, without dominating the rebounds and with less 3 points made, the team even with the big edge in the free throws, are having big problems.

The Celtics will only lost home games against the Cavaliers when the Cavs start to play at their best or when the Celtics will have a bad day. At this point, there is no way to see the Cavs going to win at Boston, even with the odds making the Cavs the favorites. The Celtics are dominating in the paint, as they are much more aggressive, and are making a great defensive games. They have the edge there, and with several good offensive players as well, have the edge against the Cavaliers. About LeBron, they are making lots of faults on them to try to stop him, as he his the only Cavaliers players that the Celtics have difficulties to stop. But they can deal with it well if they can stop the rest of the team as they did in the last games.

Picks: Boston Celtics PK -110 (1.91) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix & Under 193 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

[TommyGold]

NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 393-288-9, +71.7 units won (681 units risked)
NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)



NBA PLAYOFFS (43-24-2, +16.21u) 2010.05.08 first 2 picks: *

Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks: Orlando Magic -2.5 -105 (1.95) The Greek

Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks: Under 194.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) The Greek

* One unit each always. Dunno if will have anything on the late game.



NBA PLAYOFFS (43-24-2, +16.21u) 2010.05.07 results recap:

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Boston Celtics PK -110 (1.91) 5Dimes (95-124: LOSS)
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Under 193 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (95-124: LOSS)
Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs: Under 206 -110 (1.91) 5Dimes (96-110: PUSH/VOID)

NBA 2010.05.07 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 393-288-9, +71.7 units won (681 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)

[TommyGold]

NBA PLAYOFFS (43-24-2, +16.21u) 2010.05.08 last pick: *

Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz -4.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

* One unit each always.

[TommyGold]

NBA PLAYOFFS (45-25-2, +17.11u) 2010.05.08 results recap:

Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks: Orlando Magic -2.5 -105 (1.95) The Greek (75-105: WIN)
Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks: Under 194.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (75-105: WIN)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz -4.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (110-111: LOSS)

NBA 2010.05.08 finished 2-1 and +0.9 units won/3 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 395-289-9, +72.6 units won (684 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)



NBA PLAYOFFS (45-25-2, +17.11u) 2010.05.09 first 2 picks: *

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Under 197 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs -3.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

* One unit each always. Dunno if will have anything else on NBA for today.



Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics

In the last game, the Boston were crushed at home. That crush started really early, making no sense for any under bet as both teams were just scoring and without any defense implementation. With a win by 29 points, where most of the difference was gain during the first quarter, the Cavs ended with a superb accuracy, and didn't had even to force any defense, as it wasn't necessary for the win. The key was aggressiveness from the Cavs, with a big entrance in the game, where they finish the first quarter with a 19 point lead.

Even without a high pace, both team were able to easily score, as the Cavs only wanted to increase the gap, taking the edge due to a bad defense and moral from the Celtics that seemed to accept the defeat only with a few minutes in the game. Even the Celtics had enough space to score their points, as they never had a big run and weren't able to stop the Cavs. With this, the Cavs didn't tried to stop the Celtics, as they never had their win at risk.

Today, it's unlikely to have another game like the last one. Big speeches have been heard by the Celtics, as they played the game with no ambition, like a regular season game, where they accepted the defeat to early. No champion can have this kind of mind. They can't allow the Cavs to play as they want, and need to be cohesive in defense, as they were in the first games in Cleveland.

The Celtics need to use their edge in the paint and even more, need to be aggressive in the defense. They can stop the Cavs team, unless LeBron, but if they shutdown the rest of the team they can fight for the win. The Cavs finally had a game that can give them a great boost and the return for their best shape. They were with a lack of mental confidence and chemistry lately, had big problems at home against the Celtics, winning one game with a bounce back and having a defeat in the another.

Today, the Cavs will probably enter the game less aggressive than the last game, as they already recover the lead in the series. A typical playoff game seems probable, with both teams with lots of cautions, weighted attacks, and big attentions in defense. It's unlikely to see one team gain early a big lead, so both team will play with defense.

Pick: Under 197 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

[TommyGold]

NBA PLAYOFFS (46-26-2, +17.02u) 2010.05.10 final 2 picks: *

Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks: Under 192 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix, -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz -3 -110 (1.91) The Greek

* One unit each always.



NBA PLAYOFFS (46-26-2, +17.02u) 2010.05.09 results recap:

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Boston Celtics: Under 197 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (97-87: WIN)
Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs -3.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (101-107: LOSS)

NBA 2010.05.09 finished 1-1 and -0.09 units lost/2 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 396-290-9, +72.51 units won (686 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)

[TommyGold]

NBA PLAYOFFS (47-27-2, +16.97u) 2010.05.11 first pick: *


Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Today we will have match 5 between the Celtics and the Cavaliers. In the previous 4 matches, we had 2 overs and 2 unders. It seems balanced?

No, only the unders were the kind of games as we should expect and easy bets. The first over, was due to a bounce back, and was lost by few points. In that game, the Cavs had a great third quarter with lots of points in their bounce back, in order to grant the win.

The other over was an abnormal game. There is no chance to see another game as that one, even thinking that the bookies are giving a big spread for the Cavs.

What happened in that game, was that since the first quarter, the Cavs were winning by 20 points, giving them an early win, where they just had to manage the game, with a good offense and without bother with defense. The Celtics were always behind the game, even scoring almost 100 points, had a big loss. It wasn't the typical playoff game, and between these 2 teams in playoffs, probably just happen once in a 100 games.

With the series tie, the Celtics will try to make an early lead as they did in the first two games in Cleveland. They were able to surprise the Cavs with a strong power in the paint. As they saw in the last game, their biggest chances is with a big defense, and the Celtics are the kind of team that can easily defend, due to big and experience players. At the road, they always try to use it, and in the playoffs, the defense have a special role. They will have to give the game a low pace, try to hold LeBron somehow, even with free throws, as he is the only player that the Celtics aren't able to stop.

The rest of the team, Doc Rivers can mount the team in the best way to stop the Cavs, holding them without spaces to shot. At Cleveland, there isn't much space to errors for the Celtics, if they want to win. They already won one game at Cleveland, knowing that a good defense is the key. In both games they won this series, they hold the Cavs for 86 and 87 points in each game, curiously both unders in this series.

The Cavs needed a great LeBron to win first game, and an absolutely aggressive mode to win the first game at Boston. However, the team can keep the same performance twice in a row, as the Celtics rapidly adjust to the Cavs game. The Cavs need to be smarter, find more faster a way to overcome Boston Celtics. At home, their defense is strong, and knowing that they will have big problems with the Celtics defense, it's vital to have a good defense as well.

This series is arriving to a determination part, where a mistake can ruin everything. At this point, Rondo it's a huge problem to the Cavaliers, and they will have to adjust a better defense, as they have to stop win without removing any defense to any other player of the Big Three. This game will be very tactical, where a bad read of the game, a late timeout or a bad 2 minutes for one player can throw all the season away.

Pick: Under 194.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek


* One unit each always.



NBA PLAYOFFS (47-27-2, +16.97u) 2010.05.10 results recap:

Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks: Under 192 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (84-98: WIN)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz -3 -110 (1.91) The Greek (96-111: LOSS)

NBA 2010.05.10 finished 1-1 and -0.05 units lost/2 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 397-291-9, +72.46 units won (688 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)

[TommyGold]

NBA PLAYOFFS (47-28-2, +15.97u) 2010.05.11 results recap:

Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Under 194.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek (88-120: LOSS)

NBA 2010.05.11 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked on HDP & OU.
NBA 2009/2010 HDP & OU Record: 397-292-9, +71.46 units won (689 units risked)

NBA 2009/2010 Moneylines Record: 44-74, -0.69 units lost (118 units risked)