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  1. #1

    Widestrides NFL Picks Week 9

    Just Leans and open for discussion now. Final picks later.

    Season 45-35 (56.3%)

    Last Week 3-7. Ugh! Panthers' Mare misses a 31 yarder to sink two of my picks.

    Texans -10.5. Browns have scored 10 and 6 in their last two games. I don't see them getting much more against the stout Texans D in the loud Dome. Texans 2nd home game. Browns 2nd long distance road game. But hey, that's why you get 10.5. 31-13 Texans.

    Texans over 41. I think the Texans offense is rolling even without Andre Johnson. True they only got 24 last week, but Jax is a very good D. Cleveland not bad either, but this is second in a row at home for Texans and second in a row on the road for Brownies. Browns just need to score 13. Texans are good for at least 28. 31-13 Texans.

    Bills -1. Jets D is not what it used to be. DL and safeties are suspect. LBs and corners are very good. Bills D not very good either, but at home, Bills O should have more success than an erratic Sanchez. Bills 27-20.

    Bills over 44. See above.

    Chiefs -4. Trap? Chiefs feeling it now. Fins are good, but they could also get behind and go into the tank. Arrowhead will be tough and it could be colder by then. KC 27-10.

    Niners -3. I see some -3s. Might not play -3.5. Trap? Skins bounce back or roll over? Another long road trip for SF, but they have won them all. Niners D should throttle the SKins O with Beck at QB and minus Hightower, Moss and Cooley. Bills shut them out. Niner D much better than Bills D. SF 24-13.

    Seahawks +12. I think the Seahawks D will keep it close and T-Jack may be able to put up 17-20 to get the cover, even if it is late garbage score. 31-20 Dallas is a cover for the Hawks.

    Bengals +3. Will Tenny wake up and grab this one? They need it more than Cinci. Second one in a row at home for Tenny and second one in a row on the road for Bengals. I might pass, but Bengals D will keep them in it to the end, so getting 3 points seems safe. 20-17 somebody.

    Bengals/Titans under 42. See above.

    NY/NE over 50.5. I see it at 51 and even 50.5! At that I would consider over as I also think Eli will fare well against the Pats' pass defense. But it may be in a mop-up, garbage time way. New England 34-24.

    Chargers if +7 or at least more than +5.5. SD at home gotta get up for the Pack and shake off last two implosions. But, maybe they are just idiots and will always do that kind of stuff. Pack 30-27.

    Chargers over 50.5. Rodgers and Rivers will trade scores back and forth. If Rivers can get some TDs instead of FGs, then it will sail over and Chargers could even cover. Green Bay 30-27.

    Steelers but maybe only at -3. Baltimore's OL is horrible and Flacco looks like he is sedated. Steelers 20-13.

    Balt/Pitt under 42. 20-17 tops. Baltimore's OL is horrible. And Baltimore's D is very good. Steelers 20-13.

    Bears +9. Like me some Peppers, Briggs and Urlacher to get after Vick and McCoy. 27-24. Not sure who wins!

  2. #2
    Locking in:

    KC -4
    SF -Pittsburgh -3
    Jets/Bills over 44
    Giants/Pats over 50.5
    Packers/Chargers over 50.5
    Bears +9

    Having second thoughts about:

    Houston over 40.5? Not sure Browns will contribute.

    Bills -1.5 vs Jets? I like the over better as I don't trust the Bills D.

    Bengals +3? Tenny needs it more and Bengals winning, but not convincingly.

    GL
    Last edited by widestrides; 11-04-2011 at 03:16 PM.

  3. #3
    Locking in:
    Seattle +11.5. Heading down at some books.
    Cinci +3. Also heading down at some books.
    Bengals/Titans under 42. Heading down to 41.5 and maybe lower.

    Updated card so far:
    KC -4
    SF -3
    Seattle +11.5
    Cinci +3
    Pittsburgh -3
    Jets/Bills over 44
    Bengals/Titans under 42
    Giants/Pats over 50.5
    Packers/Chargers over 50.5
    Bears +9

    GL

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Sep 2010
    Posts
    1,589
    I like it.
    It's been weird I've seen a number of people on washington (which I think would be a wasted pick) and miami.
    I'm on KC and SF from the get go. They should do quite well.

  5. #5
    Adding:
    Houston -10.5
    Ravens/Steelers under 42

    Final Card
    KC -4
    SF -3
    Houston -10.5
    Seattle +11.5
    Cinci +3
    Pittsburgh -3
    Jets/Bills over 44
    Bengals/Titans under 42
    Giants/Pats over 50.5
    Ravens/Steelers under 42
    Packers/Chargers over 50.5
    Bears +9

    GL

  6. #6
    6-5 with Bears to go. Pitt and under and an 8-3 record was in the bag until the Steelers went prevent and let the Ravens walk down the field! Argh!

    Jets/Bills and Giants/Pats didn't start scoring till the second half!

    The Giants win over the Pats makes up for it all. That was almost as sweet as the Super Bowl win. And almost identical! Back-foot Eli comes through again!

    Go Bears!

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Sep 2010
    Posts
    1,589
    yeah tough week but that giants win was huge!
    I'm hoping chicago steps up tomorrow.

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Posts
    2,153
    Pitt's D couldnt get off the field on third down all game. I saw that drive comming. It sure hurt as a steelers fan. GL tonight.

    I guess I look at this too much cause I dont think it works that well,
    I dont understand why Vegas moves a line to encourage more money on that side when its already getting hammered.
    example Bears getting 61% of the money and their number is getting bigger. this encourages more bets to be placed on Chicago. when I see this so 1 sided I think its a trap.

  9. #9
    Yeah Bears! Great weekend for Giants fans!

    7-5 (58%) on the week.

    52-40 (56.5%) on the Season.

    Steeler collapse and over really cost me a great week. Win some, lose some.

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