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  1. #51
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    I think the best live dog of the sweet 16 is Utah +6 over duke.

    Favs- wiscy and zags look good in a ml parlay.

  2. #52
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    I'm going to take that back. I still do like Utah but might tease that number up a bit. Still looking at it.

    The best dog I see is Notre dame actually at +2. Probably will buy it to 3 and be my largest wager of the sweet 16. More to come on that one.

  3. #53
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    Anyone think ucla can beat zaga? I think the zags are clicking now and will win at least one more game if they are on. I really hate Alford and son so I might be swayed.

  4. #54
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    Two I like in the next round are Zona against Xavier and The Sooners against st. I again new to the BB scene so take these with a grain of salt. (got great news from my surgery last week with no signs of the cancer) I am a winner either way.

    RR84

  5. #55
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    I like the following today,
    Notre Dame +2 (will buy the 1/2 to 2) - I might just play the ML here at EVEN odds. ND finished 3rd in a pretty tough conference (54th toughest schedule), Wichy St 1st in a pretty bad one
    (94th toughest schedule).
    ND beat Louis by 12, Duke by 10 and NC by 8 down the stretch. 4 of ND's 5 losses came by a combined 16 pts. The only
    game they were not in was a blowout @ Duke.
    ND was 7-2 vs top 25 teams and 11-4 vs top 50. Wich St only played 5 top 50 teams and went 3-2 (2-2 vs top 25)
    Sagarin ratings actually have ND very slightly ahead in every formula. I'm picking ND by 4.
    North Carolina +6 - This team was a little inconsistent but they played the 2nd toughest schedule and hung pretty good in
    most of the top 25 games (13). Wiscy hasn't really blown out many top teams....Okla by 13 was about the biggest, GT, Mich St x 2
    were all close and then losses to Duke and Maryland. And then Ore was close again by 7. In the last 2 games they've given up 15 of 31
    from 3 pt range for nearly 50%, and given up about 10ppg over their season avg. Unless they come up with a defensive gem I think
    this one is pretty close. I'll guess Wiscy by 3 or 4 but an outright NC win is possible.
    Arizona -11 - (buy the 1/2 pt) - Arizona has been on fire the last 3 games with a 28 pt win over Oregon in the conference championship
    and then 21 and 15 pts wins in their 2 tournament games so far. They also hold a 115-65 rebounding advantage over those 3 games. Arizona
    head coach Sean Miller was head coach at Xavier for 5 yrs and has familiarity with the staff and program there to add to Arizona's advantage.
    Hopefully it won't come down to Arizona jumping up to a healthy 2nd H lead and then deciding not to embarrass Xavier giving them the backdoor
    then I think I'm OK. I'll venture a guess and say Ari by 16.
    Kentucky -13 - The defensive pressure WV exerts may result in less shots for the opposition but the shots they do give up result
    in a very high scoring percentage. Plus, I think Kentucky finds a way around the pressure anyway. In addition, WV has given them extra
    motivation now in bulletin board material predicting a win. All chances of Kentucky potentially letting up late in the game with a large lead
    just went out the window. Kentucky by 18.

  6. #56
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    Great write up Dragon- I agree with every game except the ND game.

    I think Wichita Senior leadership will be the key here-combine that with suffocating Defense I see the Shockers winning this by 8.

    That KY-WV game will be a foul festival-KY is great at getting to the line and shoot very well as a team from the charity stripe- Your dead on about the bulletin board material WV has provided KY. I really do not think WV will score 46 points tonight.

    WI-NC This Wisky team is loaded and might get back their leading point guard for the game-NC has no way to stop Kaminsky down low-No Way. This is the best Wisconsin team I have ever seen in all my years.

    AZ-On fire for sure.....

  7. #57
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    I rolled with N Dame +3 ob the buy.

    Like Wiscy SU and will parlay them Oklaholma +7 (Buying +5).

    Wiscy
    Okie +7

    (-135 odds on parlay)

    Rolling with Xavier +12 too for the night game. Zona should win but this could be a closer one than most expect.

  8. #58
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    Also, I like UK to smash WV.

    So...

    UK -13
    Xavier +12
    Wiscy pk/Okie +7
    Notre Dame +3

    GL guys

  9. #59
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    Acually got UK -12, bought down from -12.5. 13 and 12.5's now I see.

  10. #60
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    Just got Wichy St +7 in game to hedge my various ND bets...this should work out :^ )

  11. #61
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    Michigan State - 2 vs OK- Two teams that play contrasting styles State by 15

    Duke -5.5 vs Utah- Duke all day long-those big's for the utes will not effect Duke at all

  12. #62
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    Jesus H...what a meltdown by NC.....73-70 and they get 2 FT's and miss both, then it all goes to hell.

  13. #63
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    I wonder how that WV rookie that popped off is feeling at HT....ha ha.

  14. #64
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    All Arizona has to do is concentrate on Stainbrook.......either they are being stubborn or arrogant or what but they need to deal with him.

  15. #65
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    Quote Originally Posted by Carpet View Post
    Great write up Dragon- I agree with every game except the ND game.

    I think Wichita Senior leadership will be the key here-combine that with suffocating Defense I see the Shockers winning this by 8.

    That KY-WV game will be a foul festival-KY is great at getting to the line and shoot very well as a team from the charity stripe- Your dead on about the bulletin board material WV has provided KY. I really do not think WV will score 46 points tonight.

    WI-NC This Wisky team is loaded and might get back their leading point guard for the game-NC has no way to stop Kaminsky down low-No Way. This is the best Wisconsin team I have ever seen in all my years.

    AZ-On fire for sure.....

    Good prediction on wv. They might not get to 35 !

  16. #66
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    ha ha....seriously.they wish they had 46. I think Kentucky has made their point though. No reason to keep throwing up 3 pointers now.

  17. #67
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    3-0 for me with okie +7 pending tonight to finish out my parlay. I should quit while I'm ahead and call it a good tourney.

    Is there value with Notre dame +11.5after everyone watched uk dominate? I think so.
    I'm seeing 11.5 but it was to 12.5 overnight.

    I'm going with--
    Notre dame + teaser with wiscy + teased

    5.5 or 6 points.

    Will wait to see what happens with the lines. Hoping to get 12 with nd and 2 with wiscy by the time it shakes out.

  18. #68
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    Tonight.

    Talked myself into ucla. Hope to get +9 by tip. One larger dog is going to bark and win su. Ucla or Utah???

  19. #69
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    Only fav I like tonight is Louisville. But doubt I will at them at that price. Will be a close one. Coaching edge to ortino big time.

  20. #70
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    I like Duke today quite a bit and this will be my biggest bet so far.
    Duke -5.5 - If I counted right Utah was just 2-7 vs tournament teams during the regular season. They had a 1 pt OT win vs Wichita St early on and then split with UCLA.
    They lost twice to Arizona, by 18 away and by 6 at home, the only team they played this year that faintly resembles Duke.
    Utah has given up an avg of just 57 ppg, but against the 9 tournament teams they faced, plus the 2 games in the tourny so far, they held only 3 of the 11
    under 57 points (San Diego St, UCLA, Stephen Austin). The other 8 games the avg points given up was 65.
    Utah has scored an avg of nearly 72 ppg which is deceiving also. Against the 11 tournament teams they were held to 60 points or less in 8 of them.
    Utah and San Diego St are kind of similar....good defense and mediocre/inconsistent offense. Utah is like a better SD St, although Utah lost @ SD St 49-53
    early in the year. Duke just destroyed SD St by 19 and torched that supposedly good defense shooting 54.5% and 43% from 3 pt range.
    Duke obviously plays a tougher schedule (#19 vs #41 for Utah), Duke was 7-2 vs top 25 and 11-4 vs top 50, Utah was 2-3 and 7-7. Utah probably had their
    best game of the year offensively vs GT and I doubt they duplicate that in consecutive games.
    I think Duke wins by double-digits, say 74-62

  21. #71
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    Also like,
    UCLA/Gonz OV 144 - Gonzaga avg 80 ppg this year and has avg'd 85 over their last 5 games including the 2 tourny wins. UCLA has avg's 72 ppg and
    has played Gonzaga already this year losing 87-74. I think Gonzaga hits 80 so I just need UCLA to get 64.
    As for the -9 line, I do like Gonzaga at -4 on a 5 pt teaser but will wait for in-game betting to play with the lines.

    In the other games, NC State has already beaten Louis on the road. I'm staying away but NC State scares the heck out of me and if I had to choose I'd
    take them plus the pts.
    Mich St/Okla....I don't have a freakin' clue on this game.

  22. #72
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    Final Plays--

    UCLA +9 over Zaga
    Okie +7 to finish the parlay from yesterday although do like them +2 as well today.

    PARLAY--
    Louisville pk ML/Utah +10 (buying 5)....+128 odds on parlay

  23. #73
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    Quote Originally Posted by woodee12 View Post
    Also, I like UK to smash WV.

    So...

    UK -13
    Xavier +12
    Wiscy pk/Okie +7
    Notre Dame +3

    GL guys

    Nice job Woodee!

    I have hit a rough patch. I like the Sooners tonight to stop the bleeding.

  24. #74
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    Love the Duke pick Dragon.

    I like Michigan State in this one-the one thing that concerns me is MSU's Free Throw Shooting- If this game comes down to FT's it would favor OU-But aside from that Dawson is a beast when he wants to play and IZZO has this team playing really well.

  25. #75
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    UCLA/Gon 3 1/2min scoring drought....Christ!

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