Ticktape, the fact that "you're not sure" is precisely why decent numbers can still be found. All I'm saying is this: You'd have to construct a very elaborate and intricate set of circumstances for Gore to pull this off. Compared to sports betting where a fumble here and there changes things, where a team leads huge in yards but loses the game etc, etc......this IS simple. I used to work for a polling firm, and I can tell you that if you collect the correct info., as I have, and do a state by state this is hail mary time for Gore.......4th down from his own 20 and down by 8 points. Sure the election is 2 weeks away but in actuality if the numbers hold where they are for just the next 7 days, you can break out the champagne in the Bush camp. And that you can take to the bank!
Announcement
Collapse
No announcement yet.
Limits on Election??
Collapse
X
-
Scott,
Only 60,and 76 were remotley close,a better stat is since 1854,who won Calif.,won election,and Gore is up 5 on polls,polls are off 4 to Dem side.so Gore is up 1% with 3 weeks.close one.take Nader out its over.Nader has 4.9%.
I prefer the French Open Mens Final
Im just glad Pat Buchannan beat scuzball Don Trump,that was the real race.
Comment
-
CW... Don't give Florida to Bush so fast. The older voters will go for Gore to protect their SS. They represent 1 out of 3 voters here, and could make the difference. If the blacks show up, Gore wins FL.Patience and Money Management - The Key to Winning!
Comment
-
Railbird, 3 weeks huh?? Furthemore, that's got to be one of the more incomprehensible posts in recent memory. Perhaps Scott can translate.
Jeff K, I take it you're in Florida. If Bush loses Florida, he will lose this election BIG. I know what you're saying, but I don't see it happenning. I'm not a bandwagoner. I called this election 6 months ago, check my previous posts if you care to. Everyone it seems,is calling this a really close election, as if they had a vested interest in it being close. I don't see it that way. If the election were held today Gore would lose by at least 2-1 in electoral votes. The problem for Gore is that few of his leads are secure. There are too many "battleground states" for him at this stage. He's going to even have to come back and /or pump money into Oregon, Wash, and Calif. with only 13 days left. If these were solid for him, then it would still be uphill but more do-able. For Bush, I grant you that Florida should not be as close. But beyond that where are the problems. He's got insurmountable leads in 20+ states. By that I mean at least 10% leads. That's in Alabama, Alaska, Ari, Col, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Miss, Montana, Nebraska, NCarolina, N.Dakota, Ohio, Okl, S.Carol, Texas, Utah, Wyoming. That's 145 electoral votes in the bag. I will eat a live bug if he loses even one on the above list. So he's looking for an additional 125 to be elected. That's all.
Comment
-
Chester...Have no clue what it means. I think he's telling me I'm wrong. You are dead nuts right on. Bush is the winner by a bigger margin than even you project. The VP is in trouble in his own state and now even California is on the table.
Bush/Chaney -145
House stays Rep -145
Senate stays Rep -220
(that will get a few out of the closet)
Scotty
Comment
-
Sorry for the delay in getting involved in this one guys. So that there is no confusion, we will happily take 5 dimes on the US Presidential Election.
chestrockwells - I don't know where you got $500 from, it certainly wasn't from me.
We will also be offering odds on How many States will George Bush win, as well as How many college votes will George Bush get.
Call now for all the latest odds.
Gregg Rathbone
Trading Controller
Superbook
1-877 9 VICTORY www.superbook.com
Comment
-
Everyone that thinks this election is over already is DEAD WRONG. At this point, it is a statistical dead heat. Two polls released yesterday have different winners! There are millions of people that haven't made up their mind yet. Many who say they are voting for Nader will change their mind when they get in the booth and most of them will end up supporting Gore. Anyone that has followed elections in the past knows that the polls aren't worth a sh!t when it's a close race. The ONLY ones that have any validity are exit polls...
Comment
Comment