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New Handicapping Article from Buck Churchill of BetWWTS.com

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  • New Handicapping Article from Buck Churchill of BetWWTS.com

    Don't forget to Check out their Fantastic Bowl Specials Too!!

    Where the Buck Stops “Let’s Go Bowling”
    By By Buck Churchill, Chief Bet Manager of BetWWTS.com

    This is my absolute favorite time of the year as the holidays are finally here. You’ve spent time decorating the tree, buying gifts and overdoing holiday parties with colleagues, friends and family; now it’s time to relax and enjoy another big part of the holidays – college football bowl games.

    With an unprecedented 28 games this year, there are more bowl games to bet than ever before. Here at the BetWWTS.com sportsbook, our odds makers have been busy developing betting lines and balancing the action since the match ups were announced. Bowl games can be very difficult to handicap as teams have weeks off to game plan and get healthy. Teams that have been nicked up all year suddenly have all of their starters back; teams ending the season with some controversy right their ship; and amnesia comes into play with teams recording a loss their last time out trying to forget about the past. I’ve looked at the Bowl games from all the statistical angles, here are some things to look for in a few of the match ups.

    Two wide-open offenses battle each other in the Mazda Tangerine Bowl when Clemson takes on Texas Tech and quarterback Kliff Kingsbury. Both teams finished with fairly even records ATS, with Clemson going 5-6-1 and Texas Tech finishing 7-6 overall. Although Texas Tech is listed as 4 ½ point favorites at BetWWTS.com, the statistic that could have the most affect on the outcome of this game is the turnover margin, where Tech finished -15 for the season.

    This year’s Las Vegas Bowl pits an improved New Mexico against a disappointing UCLA team. The Bruins are favored by 10 ½ points at the moment, but after finishing the season 6-6 ATS and firing head coach Bob Toledo, UCLA has many questions heading into the game versus the Lobos who went 7-5 ATS for the year.

    The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will have one of the most distinct home field advantages this Bowl season when they play the inaugural ConAgra Foods Hawaii Bowl against Tulane. In year’s past, teams that have traveled to Hawaii for bowl games seem to suffer from what can only be called the “Aloha hangover” and play uninspired football. Tulane will try to combat recent history and remain a good ATS bet (8-3 overall).

    The Insight Bowl was one of the most difficult games to come up with a betting line for at BetWWTS.com. Oregon State and Pittsburgh are comparable on both sides of the ball, with the Beavers having a better record ATS going 6-5 versus Pitt’s 5-7 ATS record. Both give up an average of 293 yards per game and the defenses rank 10 and 11 in the nation. Right now we have Oregon State listed as a 2 ½ point favorite, but by the time this game kicks off, this game could easily be a pick ‘em.

    The Continental Tire Bowl features a match up that makes the bowl season so exciting. West Virginia and Virginia are separated by less than 300 miles, but they’ve only faced each other 22 times. The Mountaineers are an impressive 9-2 ATS while the Cavaliers have a 7-6 ATS record. West Virginia is a 5 point favorite, but emotions will be running high in this game and the young upstart Cavaliers could pull off the upset.

    Two teams with run-oriented offenses meet in this year’s Alamo Bowl when Colorado plays Wisconsin. The Buffalos have gone 8-5 ATS while Wisconsin went 7-5 ATS this year, although Colorado posted a 7-2 ATS record on the turf. All the stats point to a very tight game and Wisconsin actually has a huge advantage in turnover margin finishing +14. The 7 ½ points that Colorado is giving could prove to be too much, especially if running back Chris Brown misses the game.

    Talk about your home field advantage. Boise State gets to play Iowa State in the Crucial.com Humanitarian Bowl on the blue turf at their home stadium. Boise State led the nation in scoring this season averaging 46 points per game while gaining 520 yards and went 9-3 ATS this year. Iowa State is no slouch either, going 8-4 ATS and beating Orange Bowl bound Iowa on the road. Boise State is 11 ½ point favorites, but Seneca Wallace could easily take this game over and lead the Cyclones to a huge upset.

    Two underachieving teams face off when Fresno State meets Georgia Tech in this year’s Silicon Valley Bowl. Both teams have losing records ATS, with the Bulldogs going 5-8 and Yellow Jackets finishing 5-7 against the number. Georgia Tech lost star running back Tony Hollings earlier this season and closed the season losing 51-7 to SEC champion and in-state rival Georgia. Despite injuries and some key losses, we have Tech giving Fresno 3 ½ points in this game; which should be a good battle of two evenly matched teams.

    The Bowl committees put together some terrific match ups this year, so you should enjoy watching what could be one of the most exciting Bowl seasons ever. If you happen to be lucky enough to attend one of the Bowl games, take it all in; enjoy the tailgating, the big game atmosphere and some exceptional football being played. Whether you’re enjoying the games with a few friends over some drinks or with family members nestled around the Christmas tree, make the most of the bowl season. And from all of us at BetWWTS.com, may you and yours have a happy and healthy holiday season.

    Don't forget to Check out their Fantastic Bowl Specials Too!!
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