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Tampa -4 over the Falcons definitely looks like a good bet to me this week. I'm expecting the Tampa defense to dominate after last week's loss to Carolina. Atlanta's offense relies heavily on the passing game with Vick injured and Doug Johnson at QB but the Tampa defense is 1st in the league defending against the pass, giving up only 105 yards per game this year, so i'm expecting Johnson to have a very rough day passing the ball. Johnson threw 2 interceptions last week playing against the Redskins and i'm expecting he'll throw a couple more against the much superior Tampa defense. I doubt Warrick Dunn will be able to run on the Tampa defense like Stephen Davis did last week. Moreover, Tampa should be able to score on the Atlanta defense, their giving up 419 yards a game so far this year and their ranked 24th in the league vs the rush(their giving up 137 ypg) and 29th in the league vs the pass (their giving up 282 ypg) so Brad Johnson should be able to put up some points on them. B. Johnson and the Bucs had a huge game against the Falcons last year, he threw for 4 TD passes as the Bucs won 34- 10 and that was with Michael Vick in the lineup. The Bucs should cover the -4 line fairly easily, they'll definitely be hungry after last week's overtime loss.
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