Announcement

**shawnl2000** · 12-14-2003, 09:55 AM

Oh.oh. oh...Santa Clause is coming to TOWN!!!!......

8 out of 16 games ...Nottt...Baddd!!!

**Expert Picks** · 12-16-2003, 04:08 PM

See How I Did..... +2.4 Units.... 9-6-1

See How I Did..... +2.4 Units.... 9-6-1

Tennessee (L -1.1)
New England (W +1.0)
Pittsburgh (L -1.1)
Tampa Bay (W +1.0)
Dallas (W +1.0)
San Francisco (P +0.0)
Indianapolis (W +1.0)
Minnessota (L -1.1)
St Louis (L -1.1)
Kansas City (W +1.0)
Cleveland (W +1.0)
Baltimore (L -1.1)
Arizona (W +1.0)
Green Bay (W +1.0)
Ny Giants (L -1.1)
Philidelphia (W +1.0)
------------------------------
Total = +2.4 Units
Record = 9-6-1

See you next week! Good Luck!

**Expert Picks** · 12-21-2003, 03:40 AM

12/21/03 - Expert Picks Power Ratings

12/21/03 - Expert Picks Power Ratings

Today's System Picks:

Miami @ Buffalo
Buffalo -2.0 -110 (L -1.1)

Baltimore @ Cleveland
Cleveland +3.0 +100 (L -1.0)

Washington @ Chicago
Washington +4.5 -110 (W +1.0)

Cincinnati @ St. Louis
Cincinnati +7.0 -110 (L -1.1)

Detroit @ Carolina
Detroit +9.5 -110 (W +1.0)

New Orleans @ Jacksonville
New Orleans +2.5 +105 (W +1.05)

NY Giants @ Dallas
NY Giants +11.0 -110 (L -1.1)

Tennessee @ Houston
Tennessee -6.0 -110 (L -1.1)

San Diego @ Pittsburgh
San Diego +6.0 +100 (L -1.0)

San Francisco @ Philadelphia
Philadelphia -7.0 -110 (L -1.1)

Arizona @ Seattle
Seattle -13.5 -110 (W +1.0)

Denver @ Indianapolis
Denver +6.0 -110 (W +1.0)

Green Bay @ Oakland
Green Bay -5.0 -110 (W +1.0)

All Picks Recorded As One Unit
Total = -1.45
Record = 6-7-1

Thread Total = +.95

**shawnl2000** · 12-21-2003, 08:54 AM

They are Looking much better than last week... to be PERFACT!!

Considered Changing these PICKS

RAMS - 7 over Cincy
JAXS simply over New Orleans
Colts easily run over Broncos

Good Luck!

**chamilun** · 12-21-2003, 10:45 AM

not to ruin your cornflakes, but I have tested every power rating scheme known to man, and they all come out at 50% or less every time over the long hall. this goes for football and basketball (nba). massey, sagarin, checked them all. power ratings may be useful in college basketball (54%), but thats about it.

luck to all

**Expert Picks** · 12-21-2003, 09:22 PM

not to ruin your cornflakes, but I have tested every power rating scheme known to man, and they all come out at 50% or less every time

Hehehe.... but....

1. I do not play all of these picks... not even close. On my site I pick two for free post to the site, and members have access to the ratings picks and the rest of my selections, which may contradict the ratings picks.

(BTW I passed for the member picks today and posted Seattle and Denver to the free picks area.)

2. I do not know of a single handicapper, that is worth a damn, that does not occasionally use some sort of power ratings.... Even if only to get a good statistical starting point or to evaluate a line.

3. You have tested every one? How do you know? - I ask because a good rating system can and does peg winners, especially when played on the ML.

The issue here is that even though good power ratings can pick the winner over 60% of the time, they will often peg winners with too much chalk. This can lead to a high percentage of wins, with little or no profit.

For everyone's info... I post these picks to let readers and my friends see what my ratings are picking for the day. It is your job as an informed gambler to be well informend. This means that if you know how an injury will affect a game, and the picks don't look right, then fade them all or that one.

Good Luck!

**chamilun** · 12-23-2003, 12:25 AM

2. I do not know of a single handicapper, that is worth a damn, that does not occasionally use some sort of power ratings.... Even if only to get a good statistical starting point or to evaluate a line.

3. You have tested every one? How do you know? - I ask because a good rating system can and does peg winners, especially when played on the ML.

The issue here is that even though good power ratings can pick the winner over 60% of the time.........

Point 2 is correct. a little moody,though.

Point 3. I tested 11, all widely recognized and respected. The only 11 that are run by actual mathamatics people.

over 60% of the time? incorrect. the best cappers are at 58% or less over the long haul. and ML bets? my friend, baptism by fire is no fun

how do I know these things? because Ive been running stat plays for 5 years on the inet. that may not mean much to you, but experience is all that matters. ever.

i wish you the best. dont want you to lose, but ignorance is the quickest path to keeping the antiguan economy thriving.

luck to all

**chamilun** · 12-23-2003, 12:30 AM

and why do some peoples profiles have nothing in the location section.? that is the real issue.

luck to all

**Expert Picks** · 12-23-2003, 12:14 PM

-chamilun-

Thanks for getting into it with me on this one, I love a good conflict in opinion.

My point here is that we are all out to beat the books, one way or another.

I am up for the month and up for the year. I always use power ratings in my systems and my picks. And for me it works, year after year.

If you don't like to use them or find them to be of no help, that is fine. I hope what you are doing works for you. I would love to hear about any systems that you use, especially if it has been working for so long.

(By the way, I developed my ratings using my own math and my own system, one that is different for every sport I bet on, and one I have not seen used by my friends in the industry)

And yes you are right, I do own a website.

I also work directly with several sportsbooks on a daily basis.

I am of the opinion that even though I offer paid help, and work directly with some books, that that fact alone doesn't make my picks or my methods bad.

I will continue to post this thread with the power picks, and we can watch together to see how they do.

If you like hockey, check the hockey forum. I have been posting my strait power picks in there as well. I personally have seen more profit in hockey for the last 3 years than any other sport that I bet on.

Any way.... Good luck to you....

**Expert Picks** · 12-28-2003, 02:47 PM

12/28/03 -- Expert Picks Power Rating Picks

12/28/03 -- Expert Picks Power Rating Picks

Sorry about the late post on this one... I was called to the office this morning and didn't get home untill now.

System Picks:

St. Louis @ Detroit
Detroit +13.0 -110

Cleveland @ Cincinnati
Cleveland +9.0 -110

Tampa Bay @ Tennessee
Tampa Bay +5.0 -110

Jacksonville @ Atlanta
Jacksonville +3.0 -110

NY Jets @ Miami
NY Jets +4.0 -110

Dallas @ New Orleans
New Orleans +1.5 -110

Chicago @ Kansas City
Kansas City -7.5 -110

Indianapolis @ Houston
Indianapolis -9.0 -110

Carolina @ NY Giants
NY Giants +5.0 -110

Minnessota @ Arizona
Minnessota -7.0 -110

Denver @ Green Bay
Denver +10.0 -110

Oakland @ San Diego
Oakland +4.0 -110

Pittsburgh @ Baltimore
Baltimore -8.0 -110

Picks Recorded As One Unit
Good Luck!

**chamilun** · 12-29-2003, 01:08 PM

keep it up.

luck to all

**Expert Picks** · 01-02-2004, 11:58 PM

12/28/03 -- Expert Picks Power Rating Picks

12/28/03 -- Expert Picks Power Rating Picks

See How I Did....

Detroit +13.0 -110 (W +1.0)
Cleveland +9.0 -110 (W +1.0)
Tampa Bay +5.0 -110 (L -1.1)
Jacksonville +3.0 -110 (L -1.1)
NY Jets +4.0 -110 (W +1.0)
New Orleans +1.5 -110 (W +1.0)
Kansas City -7.5 -110 (W +1.0)
Indianapolis -9.0 -110 (L -1.0)
NY Giants +5.0 -110 (L -1.1)
Minnessota -7.0 -110 (L -1.1)
Denver +10.0 -110 (L -1.1)
Oakland +4.0 -110 (L -1.1)
Baltimore -8.0 -110 (L -1.1)

Picks Recorded As One Unit
Today's Total = -3.7
Record = 5-8-0

Thread Total = -2.75

**Expert Picks** · 01-03-2004, 12:12 AM

Saturday January 3rd 2004.... NFL Playoffs

Saturday January 3rd 2004.... NFL Playoffs

Expert Picks Power Ranking Selections

Dallas @ Carolina
Dallas +3.0 -110 (L -1.1)

Tennessee @ Baltimore
Baltimore +1.5 -110 (L-1.1)

All Picks Recorded At One Unit
Today's Total = -2.2
Thread Total = -4.95

**Expert Picks** · 01-04-2004, 05:28 AM

12/4/2004 -- Expert Picks Power Ratings

12/4/2004 -- Expert Picks Power Ratings

Well.... Not much help yesterday with the rankings.

Though my rankings give the following selections, I am fading the Seattle Pick. I think Favre and Pacs are going to kill Seattle... and I Live in Seattle! Who's with me?

So.... Power Grid Selections:

Denver @ Indianapolis
Denver +3.0 -110

Seattle @ Green Bay
Seattle +7.5 -110

(Go Green Bay!!!)

All Picks Recorded At One Unit
GOOD LUCK!!!!

.... and go Green Bay!

Announcement

NFL Power Ratings Picks....

NFL Power Ratings Picks....

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment