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is winning ....at least two straight....does the linesmaker adjust? Look at these situations. These are stats for 2001, 2002, and 2003...
1 - After winning 2 or more games SU - and next game is vs. a division foe - 60-78 ATS.
BUT if they are at home and favored and playin a division foe they're only 22-35 ATS.
2 - After winning 3 or more games in a row SU - and next game is vs a division foe - as a fav or underdog, home or away they are 27-40 ATS.
In fact if they've won 3 straight SU and are a road fav vs ANY team they're just 17-30.
It seems that it pays to go against teams in several situations that have won two or more games SU.
How about winning streaks against the spread?....
3 - After winning 2 or more ATS vs division foe, and favored at home - 15-27 ATS.
4 - After winning 3 or more ATS vs ANT opponent, as a favorite - 37-52 ATS.
5 - After winning 3 or more ATS vs ANY opponent, as a homedog - 11-3 ATS.
These results tell me it still pays to bet the underdog in the NFL. Not across the board of course but in many situations especially against teams that are racking up wins either straight up or ATS. Situations where they must play a motivated team like a one in their division are especially good except if they're a HOMEDOG. Betting against homedogs as a general rule doesn't seem like a good idea. You would think the homedog angle would be washed by the linesmakers but for some reason it continues to hold up.
1 - After winning 2 or more games SU - and next game is vs. a division foe - 60-78 ATS.
BUT if they are at home and favored and playin a division foe they're only 22-35 ATS.
2 - After winning 3 or more games in a row SU - and next game is vs a division foe - as a fav or underdog, home or away they are 27-40 ATS.
In fact if they've won 3 straight SU and are a road fav vs ANY team they're just 17-30.
It seems that it pays to go against teams in several situations that have won two or more games SU.
How about winning streaks against the spread?....
3 - After winning 2 or more ATS vs division foe, and favored at home - 15-27 ATS.
4 - After winning 3 or more ATS vs ANT opponent, as a favorite - 37-52 ATS.
5 - After winning 3 or more ATS vs ANY opponent, as a homedog - 11-3 ATS.
These results tell me it still pays to bet the underdog in the NFL. Not across the board of course but in many situations especially against teams that are racking up wins either straight up or ATS. Situations where they must play a motivated team like a one in their division are especially good except if they're a HOMEDOG. Betting against homedogs as a general rule doesn't seem like a good idea. You would think the homedog angle would be washed by the linesmakers but for some reason it continues to hold up.
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