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Dragon1952 - CFB Week 4 .....Thursday-Saturday

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  • Dragon1952 - CFB Week 4 .....Thursday-Saturday

    Cashed in on the Saints and under last night. Nice ending to the NFL but time to move on!
    CFB todate:
    Sides 22-14-2
    Totals 4-4

    Lot's of good games this week!


    Thursday

    Auburn -13.5 at S. Carolina - South Carolina kinda banged up (including leading rusher Boyd) and dealing with suspensions (QB Mitchell) and giving up some yds on the ground. Auburn should be able to run and shouldn't give up many points. Carolina has only scored 15 vs Miss. St. and was shutout vs Georgia. Auburn handled them easily LY 48-7.
    BYU +5 at TCU - BYU's only 2 losses by 3 at Arizona and in 2OT's at Boston College. TCU not setting the world on fire with 17-7 win over Baylor and 12-3 over Texas Tech (4 FG's, no TD's). BYU starting QB John Beck will hopefully be ready but if not backup Jason Beck looked great in 38-0 win over Utah St.

    Saturday
    Ohio State -7 at Iowa - Iowa 4-0 but hasn't really played anybody and barely squeaked by some marginal competition (Syracuse in 2OT's and at home vs Iowa St). Huge step up in competition this week against an Ohio State team ranked #1 with all wins so far by 17+ against much better competition. Ohio St. won LY's matchup 31-6. Just not sold on an Iowa team that only managed a 7-5 record LY. Maybe not a runaway but 7 pts should be no problem.
    Northwestern +18 at Penn State - Man, do I dare take Northwestern yet again? They should have won at Nevada outright in my opinion. Too many turnovers (5). If they hold onto the ball this should be no problem. What on earth has Penn State done to warrant being an 18 pt favorite? They've got blown out by the only good teams they've faced so far. Northwestern beat Penn State in '03 and '04 and only lost by 5 LY.
    Wisconsin -11 at Indiana - Indiana has virtually no running game and gets pounded on the ground themselves. They've been out-rushed 244 to 76 vs S. Illinois and 257 to 0 (as in zero!) vs UConn the last 2 games. Wisconsin should be good for 300. Wisconsin played Michigan pretty tough for awhile. Indiana ought to be a tad easier.
    Houston +16 at Miami Fla. - This line is inflated by a few just because it's Miami. Houston has an awesome offense and has to be fired up at 4-0 on the year. Miami has to be hanging their heads a little and now have to regroup without leading receiver Jenkins who is out for a few weeks. I really think Houston can hang pretty good in this one.
    Clemson -34.5 vs Louisiana Tech - Nebraska beat this team by 39 and racked up almost 600 yds total offense. Texas A&M just ripped them by 31 and racked up almost 500 yds. North Carolina is a lot better team than this one and Clemson just beat them by 45. This one should be similar.
    Kansas St. +2.5 at Baylor - This is the kind of team Kansas St. beats up on with regularity. It looks like Baylor has a pretty good defense this year and Kansas St usually does too (held Louisville to only 24 pts) so this ought to be a pretty low scoring game. I'm surprised Baylor is favored.
    USC -17 at Washington St. - It's hard to figure Washington St at this point. They got clobbered at Auburn by 26 and then beat 3 lousy teams, barely squeaking by Baylor (last second FG) at home. USC doesn't seem to be quite as prolific scoring wise so far but they have won every game by at least 17. USC has pounded Washington St the past 3 yrs by scores of 43-16, 42-12 and 55-13 so I'm going to give it a shot and hope for the status quo.
    California -9.5 at Oregon St. - Cal has looked unstoppable since their opening game disaster at Tennessee winning by scores of 42-17 (Minnesota), 42-16 (Portland St) and 49-21 (Arizona St). All of those were home games though. Now they travel up the road a ways to chow down on some Beaver roadkill who have beat up on two nobodies and got shellacked by Boise St. Go Bears!
    Alabama +13 at Florida - Alabama has a pretty good defense as usual. If Kentucky can stay within 19 and Tennessee within 1 of Florida you'd think Alabama could hang by 13. Florida's got a bit of revenge though as Alabama gave them an old fashioned butt-kicking LY by the score of 31-3! Ouch!
    Georgia -17.5 at Mississippi - If Wake Forest can whoop Ole Miss in their own backyard by 24 then I can't believe Georgia (who should have had a wake up call last week) can't win by at least the same. This one ought to be about 34-6.
    Virginia Tech -9 vs Georgia Tech - First road game for G.T. after 4 home games to start the season. The party's over as the Hokies have won all of their games so far by double digits. Virginia Tech has beaten up on Georgia Tech the past 2 years by scores of 34-20 in '04 and a 51-7 ass-whoopin' last year!

    Wow, that's a lot of games!

  • #2
    Thursday
    BYU +5 at TCU - BYU's only 2 losses by 3 at Arizona and in 2OT's at Boston College. TCU not setting the world on fire with 17-7 win over Baylor and 12-3 over Texas Tech (4 FG's, no TD's). BYU starting QB John Beck will hopefully be ready but if not backup Jason Beck looked great in 38-0 win over Utah St.
    Update:

    Looks like BYU starting QB John Beck will play tonite at TCU. The line has gone to BYU +6.5! I don't quite understand and I'm going with BYU.

    Auburn -13.5 at S. Carolina - South Carolina kinda banged up (including leading rusher Boyd) and dealing with suspensions (QB Mitchell) and giving up some yds on the ground. Auburn should be able to run and shouldn't give up many points. Carolina has only scored 15 vs Miss. St. and was shutout vs Georgia. Auburn handled them easily LY 48-7.
    BYU +5 at TCU - BYU's only 2 losses by 3 at Arizona and in 2OT's at Boston College. TCU not setting the world on fire with 17-7 win over Baylor and 12-3 over Texas Tech (4 FG's, no TD's). BYU starting QB John Beck will hopefully be ready but if not backup Jason Beck looked great in 38-0 win over Utah St.

    Update: Line has gone to Aub -14 (at -115). I just don't think S. Carolina can score enough to keep up in this game!

    Comment


    • #3
      1-1 Thursday night...

      BYU +5 WON
      AUB -14 LOST


      sides 23-15-2 on the CFB season
      totals 4-4

      UPDATE FOR SATURDAY -

      Northwestern line is now +19.5. I can't believe people are betting Penn St like that
      Houston slightly up to +16.5 now at -105 odds. The line was inflated as it is
      Clemson down a pt to -33.5...more dumbasses
      Kansas St went from +2.5 dog to -1.5 favorite...somebody finally woke up anyway
      USC down slightly to -16.5
      Alabama way up to +15.5 now...a 2.5 pt swing and a 43.5 swing from last years game!?!?
      Georgia up slightly to -18
      Virginia Tech up a pt to -10
      No change to Ohio St, Cal and Wisconsin


      adding

      Michigan St -26 vs Illinois - Was a little worried about this one at first wondering how Michigan St would react to that tough loss last week but my feeling is that they will take it out on Illinois vs pouting. In Illinois' only road game of the year so far they got waxed by Rutgers 33-0. Michigan St won LY's matchup 61-14 and that was at Illinois!
      Michigan -10 at Minnesota - Revenge game for Michigan after losing the jug last year at home. This has been a close game for the past few years but Michigan winning every game by double digits this year and Minny has been beating up on the wimps and losing to the decent teams. Minnesota won't be able to run in this one, just like everyone else who's faced Michigan so far.
      Washington +3.5 at Arizona - Washington is surprising people this year and Arizona is still getting way too much respect in my humble opinion. Arizona has a halfway decent defense but can't score much as in 3pts vs LSU, 3 pts vs USC and only 16 pts vs BYU. Only 2nd road game for the Huskies though but this should be a very close Arizona win or an outright win for the Huskies.
      Notre Dame -14 vs Purdue - The Irish should be able to light up the scoreboard vs Purdue....everybody else is. Most of Purdue's offensive stats coming against inferior competition. Big step up here and on the road and Notre Dame should be fired up after great comeback win last week.
      Missouri/Colorado OV 38 - Colorado has been playing pretty darn good 'D' and so does Mo. but I feel Missouri should score close to 30 themselves in this one and Colorado 'O' should be getting the hang of it by now.

      Comment


      • #4
        Adding uno mas -

        Toledo +16.5 at Pittsburgh - Toledo can put pts on the board and Pittsburgh wins over Virginia and Cincinnati set up by numerous mistakes, i.e. interceptions returned for TD's , fumbles, miscues. When they finally played a team that made them work for their pts they looked very pedestrian. Toledo had 6 TO's in their first 2 games but none in their last 2. If they hang onto the ball again and play like they did against Kansas and Iowa St they should be fine in this one.

        Comment


        • #5
          Saturday
          Ohio State -7 at Iowa WON
          Wisconsin -11 at Indiana WON
          Houston +16 at Miami Fla. WON
          Clemson -34.5 vs Louisiana Tech WON
          California -9.5 at Oregon St. WON
          Missouri/Colorado OV 38 WON
          Michigan -10 at Minnesota WON
          Washington +3.5 at Arizona WON
          Notre Dame -14 vs Purdue PUSH
          Georgia -17.5 at Mississippi LOST- 2nd pathetic 'O' performance in a row by Georgia
          Alabama +13 at Florida LOST - A win for some as line went to +15.5
          Toledo +16.5 at Pittsburgh LOST - Toledo reverts back to their former selfs with 4 TO's.
          Northwestern +18 at Penn State LOST - OK...that's it for Northwestern. They hung in there for awhile but 0 pts in 2nd half.
          Virginia Tech -9 vs Georgia Tech LOST - V.T. couldn't recover from 1st Q 21 pt deficit and gave G.T. lots of short fields. Unbelievable.
          Michigan St -26 vs Illinois LOST - I was wrong. Michigan St still pouting over loss to Notre Dame. Absolutely pathetic loss to pathetic foe.
          Kansas St. +2.5 at Baylor LOST - Baylor only scored 17 but only 3 for K. St ???
          USC -17 at Washington St. LOST - I've come to the conclusion that USC offense is mediocre at best TY

          8-8-1

          Year
          sides 30-23-3
          totals 5-4

          Comment

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