CFB to date:
Sides 30-23-3
Totals 5-4
Wow, there are just so many I like again this week . And to tell you the truth, if I didn't post so early I would have had 2 more wins to my credit as the lines have moved in my favor...but it's too hard waiting so here goes.......
Georgia +2.5 vs Tennessee - Georgia has been playing just well enough to win (5-0) and now they get pts at home vs Tennessee? First real road test for Tennessee who have enjoyed 4 home games out of 5. This will be their 2nd in a row on the road. Georgia 'D' is tough, pitching 2 shutouts so far and only given up a total of 34 pts in 5 games.
Oregon +5 @ California - I think this is going to be a really close game. Oregon will be a lot tougher test than Minnesota and Arizona St were for Cal, and of course Arizona St pretty much gave the game away with 5 TO's (2 returned for TD's). Oregon does put the ball on the ground alot though as they have fumbled 11 times in only 4 games but only losing 5 of those. Cal has also fumbled a bit with 8 and losing 4 of those, so TO's could definitely play a part in the outcome. The Ducks already have 2 big road wins , at Arizona St and Fresno St so they've shown they can play tough on the road.
Texas Tech -4 vs Missouri - Tough to figure Missou (5-0) as they have not really played anybody. Colorado actually played them pretty tough last week, they moved the ball well and just screwed up once they got in range. Colorado actually out-yarded them by about 20 yds. Now they hit the road for only the 2nd time to face a deadly Texas Tech team that just beat a pretty good A&M team on the road by this same spread. Could be a shootout but I just don't think the Tigers are all that great and it will probably show this week.
Clemson -16.5 @ Wake Forest - 5-0 Wake Forest in for a rude awakening I'm afraid after feasting on some pretty lousy teams. A couple things stand out here. Wake gave up 305 yds passing to Duke who led 10-0 at the half. Wake Forest needed a TD with a minute left to pull out the 1 pt win at home vs a team that's been shutout in 3 out of 4 games this year! Also, starting QB Mauck and leading rusher Micah Andrews are both out for the year.
Baylor +5 @ Colorado - Colorado is looking a lot better last 2 games but still shooting themselves in the foot too often, and at 0-5 have no business being 5 pt favorites. Baylor playing really tough defense this year. In their 3 losses they led TCU 7-0 at halftime, lost to Wash St 17-15 on last second FG and lost to Army in OT. Held Kansas St to 3 pts in last weeks 17-3 win.
Purdue +11 @ Iowa - For the life of me I can't figure out why Iowa gets so much respect. They haven't beat anybody! They've beat Montana, Syracuse, Iowa St and Illinois....big freakin' deal. Last weeks +7 vs Ohio St was ridiculous. This line might be even more so.
Texas -5.5 vs Oklahoma - Sooners aren't quite back yet to the level of the Longhorns I don't think. Oregon torched them for 500 yds and Texas has a much better 'D'.
Pittsburgh -7 @ Syracuse - Pittsburgh back focused after that Michigan St waxing and has faced much better competition so far. Throw out Michigan St and Pitt has only given up 13, 15, 6 and 3 pts. while posting 38, 33, 51 and 45 themselves.
Washington +21 @ USC - I've given up on going with USC and these big lines...their offense just isn't as potent this year. And especially with Jarrett out again...they really missed him last week I think. Washington has been a nice little surprise this year and I won with them last week as road underdogs at Arizona. Their one loss this year was at Oklahoma by 17 and it was actually tied 13 all at halftime. USC hasn't scored more than 28 in the last 3 games so 21 sound pretty good.
Florida +2 vs LSU - Not sure what Florida has done to warrant being dogs in this game. LSU has lost their only road game this year which also happened to be their only decent opponent so far, while Florida has quality wins over Tennessee and Alabama.
BYU -27.5 vs San Diego St - San Diego St (0-4) is extremely banged up right now and have only managed 32 first downs and 17 total pts in the last 3 games combined, and losing to San Jose St by 21 last week. BYU clicking on all cylinders right now and won big for me last week as a road dog at TCU. This should be a rout.
Auburn -15.5 vs Arkansas - How on earth Arkansas won that game against Alabama is beyond me. Alabama held edges of 361-269 total yds, 3-1 TO's, 20-15 first downs and almost 19 minutes time of possession. Unfortunately Alabama also had the edge in penalties 11-5....lol! Besides that win, Arkansas has got blown out by USC, edged Vanderbilt and beat a pathetic Utah St team. Auburn had a tougher than expected time of it last week at South Carolina but still managed a nice 7 pt win on the road. Auburn has only given up 41 total pts in 5 games with 17 of those coming last week. I think they roll here.
Wisconsin -21 vs Northwestern - Yep, after going with (and getting burned by) Northwestern 3 times in a row I've finally learned my lesson. They are bumbling idiots that continuously fuck themselves with stupid mistakes. This is also Northwestern's 3rd (tough) road game in a row and 4th out of 6. Wisconsin is rounding into form I believe. This could be covered by halftime (he said confidently).
Sides 30-23-3
Totals 5-4
Wow, there are just so many I like again this week . And to tell you the truth, if I didn't post so early I would have had 2 more wins to my credit as the lines have moved in my favor...but it's too hard waiting so here goes.......
Georgia +2.5 vs Tennessee - Georgia has been playing just well enough to win (5-0) and now they get pts at home vs Tennessee? First real road test for Tennessee who have enjoyed 4 home games out of 5. This will be their 2nd in a row on the road. Georgia 'D' is tough, pitching 2 shutouts so far and only given up a total of 34 pts in 5 games.
Oregon +5 @ California - I think this is going to be a really close game. Oregon will be a lot tougher test than Minnesota and Arizona St were for Cal, and of course Arizona St pretty much gave the game away with 5 TO's (2 returned for TD's). Oregon does put the ball on the ground alot though as they have fumbled 11 times in only 4 games but only losing 5 of those. Cal has also fumbled a bit with 8 and losing 4 of those, so TO's could definitely play a part in the outcome. The Ducks already have 2 big road wins , at Arizona St and Fresno St so they've shown they can play tough on the road.
Texas Tech -4 vs Missouri - Tough to figure Missou (5-0) as they have not really played anybody. Colorado actually played them pretty tough last week, they moved the ball well and just screwed up once they got in range. Colorado actually out-yarded them by about 20 yds. Now they hit the road for only the 2nd time to face a deadly Texas Tech team that just beat a pretty good A&M team on the road by this same spread. Could be a shootout but I just don't think the Tigers are all that great and it will probably show this week.
Clemson -16.5 @ Wake Forest - 5-0 Wake Forest in for a rude awakening I'm afraid after feasting on some pretty lousy teams. A couple things stand out here. Wake gave up 305 yds passing to Duke who led 10-0 at the half. Wake Forest needed a TD with a minute left to pull out the 1 pt win at home vs a team that's been shutout in 3 out of 4 games this year! Also, starting QB Mauck and leading rusher Micah Andrews are both out for the year.
Baylor +5 @ Colorado - Colorado is looking a lot better last 2 games but still shooting themselves in the foot too often, and at 0-5 have no business being 5 pt favorites. Baylor playing really tough defense this year. In their 3 losses they led TCU 7-0 at halftime, lost to Wash St 17-15 on last second FG and lost to Army in OT. Held Kansas St to 3 pts in last weeks 17-3 win.
Purdue +11 @ Iowa - For the life of me I can't figure out why Iowa gets so much respect. They haven't beat anybody! They've beat Montana, Syracuse, Iowa St and Illinois....big freakin' deal. Last weeks +7 vs Ohio St was ridiculous. This line might be even more so.
Texas -5.5 vs Oklahoma - Sooners aren't quite back yet to the level of the Longhorns I don't think. Oregon torched them for 500 yds and Texas has a much better 'D'.
Pittsburgh -7 @ Syracuse - Pittsburgh back focused after that Michigan St waxing and has faced much better competition so far. Throw out Michigan St and Pitt has only given up 13, 15, 6 and 3 pts. while posting 38, 33, 51 and 45 themselves.
Washington +21 @ USC - I've given up on going with USC and these big lines...their offense just isn't as potent this year. And especially with Jarrett out again...they really missed him last week I think. Washington has been a nice little surprise this year and I won with them last week as road underdogs at Arizona. Their one loss this year was at Oklahoma by 17 and it was actually tied 13 all at halftime. USC hasn't scored more than 28 in the last 3 games so 21 sound pretty good.
Florida +2 vs LSU - Not sure what Florida has done to warrant being dogs in this game. LSU has lost their only road game this year which also happened to be their only decent opponent so far, while Florida has quality wins over Tennessee and Alabama.
BYU -27.5 vs San Diego St - San Diego St (0-4) is extremely banged up right now and have only managed 32 first downs and 17 total pts in the last 3 games combined, and losing to San Jose St by 21 last week. BYU clicking on all cylinders right now and won big for me last week as a road dog at TCU. This should be a rout.
Auburn -15.5 vs Arkansas - How on earth Arkansas won that game against Alabama is beyond me. Alabama held edges of 361-269 total yds, 3-1 TO's, 20-15 first downs and almost 19 minutes time of possession. Unfortunately Alabama also had the edge in penalties 11-5....lol! Besides that win, Arkansas has got blown out by USC, edged Vanderbilt and beat a pathetic Utah St team. Auburn had a tougher than expected time of it last week at South Carolina but still managed a nice 7 pt win on the road. Auburn has only given up 41 total pts in 5 games with 17 of those coming last week. I think they roll here.
Wisconsin -21 vs Northwestern - Yep, after going with (and getting burned by) Northwestern 3 times in a row I've finally learned my lesson. They are bumbling idiots that continuously fuck themselves with stupid mistakes. This is also Northwestern's 3rd (tough) road game in a row and 4th out of 6. Wisconsin is rounding into form I believe. This could be covered by halftime (he said confidently).
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