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Winning Points best bets for tonight
Boston College* over Virginia Tech by 1 (Thursday)
Once upon a time Tech won many close games like this through special teams, but
so far this season they have had two extra points, a field goal and a punt of their
own blocked. With the running game also struggling, they are not the same
Hokies. BOSTON COLLEGE 20-19.
Air Force* over Colorado State by 6 (Thursday)
Both teams are trying to sort through OL injuries, no matter how many times the
Rams have seen this option attack in the past, a short practice week calls for a difficult
transition. AIR FORCE 23-17
Point Wise
THURSDAY
CLEMSON 66 - Temple 3 - (7:30 - @ Charlotte) -- One of largest lines ever, &
Owls in off pair of covers, but just 11 FDs & 50 RYs vs Kent. Obviously, the
Tigers can name their score, & with LW's scare fresh in their minds, have to
see all out assault early & often. Proctor, Spiller, Davis. Even with GT up next.
Virginia Tech 27 - BOSTON COLLEGE 19 - (7:30 - ESPN) -- Tough sledding for
these 2 of late, losing SU as 6½ & 8½ pt chalks. Normally dominant BC has a
1,357-1,114 yd deficit in last 3 outings: OT, OT, 2-pt loss. Yet to top 172 RYs,
while Tech has held last 3 foes to 12, 12, & 11 FDs. Hokes are Thursday kings.
AIR FORCE 31 - Colorado State 20 - (8:00 - CSTV) -- Falcons couldn't stay
with Navy, overland, but note a 290-66 RYpg edge entering that one, as well as
plus 60½ pts ATS. Two straight wins for Rams, who rank #5 containing the
run, with QB Hanie in off a 23-of-28 showing, & WR Morton a force. We pass.
BOSTON COLLEGE (+3) over Virginia Tech: Hokies were exposed by Georgia Tech and are painfully a different program when someone not named Vick is under center. Eagles have covered three straight at home and are 8-2 in their past 10 as dogs.
TOMORROW
Pitt (-9 1/2) over CENTRAL FLORIDA: This is no Orlando vacation for the Panthers, who need to gear up for Rutgers. You can bet Pitt quarterback Tyler Palko knows the Knights allow 265.4 yards per game through the air.
Lenny Del Genio's 15* NLCS Total of the Year: Lenny Del Genio has not missed a total in this postseason! Now the Legend uses his immense knowledge to get you the total in the Mets-Cardinals. Get the skinny from a Vegas icon and win big!
Game: St Louis Cardinals at New York Mets Oct 11 2006 8:05PM
Prediction: under
Grade: Push (0)
Reason: Take the Under in StL-NYM at 8:15 ET. Both teams go into the LCS pitching very well, with the Cards allowing just 2.6 R/G L7 and a minuscule opponent average of .228. The Mets have also gotten it done on the bump, with 2.9 R/G allowed in their last seven and a BAA of .245. The Cardinals send a resurgent Jeff Weaver out there, and Weaver has fixed the arm angle issues that plagued him earlier this season and made his breaking stuff flatten out. Weaver has a 3.24 ERA L3 and goes against Tommy Glavine, who hasn't allowed a run since September 25. Glavine has a 1.50 ERA L3. Take the under in NYM-StL.
ROB VENO'S LCS GAME OF THE YEAR: ROB VENO HAS RELEASED HIS most powerful LCS selection in a contest that goes tonight and owns a FUNDAMENTAL PITCHING SYSTEM that's gone a REMARKABLE 13-1 the past 4 post seasons. This PITCHING SUPER SYSTEM MUST win or you don't pay.
Game: St Louis Cardinals at New York Mets Oct 11 2006 8:05PM
Prediction: New York Mets
Grade: Push (0)
Reason: Mets veteran southpaw Glavine has been red hot down the September-October stretch recording a 2.25 ERA since Sept 13. Expect Glavine to force someone other than Cards run producing source Pujols to try and change the scoreboard here. Doubtful that any of the other Cardinal bats can do enough to overcome the New York offense which owns the Carlos duo that owns Weaver. Beltran & Delgado have combined to hit 7 homers and drive in 24 while hitting .375(30 for 80) against the lanky RH. Bullpens and especially the closer position favor the Mets who take game #1 by a ballpark number of 7-3.
Smart Money 45 Dime MLB Post Season Totals Blast: The Smart Money enters into Wednesdays MLB play off card having now converted on 19 of his L/25 premium packages here on this site. Join Alex again as he tests a 64% pro baseball overall run since Aug 1st via this evenings top rated post season Totals call.
Game: St Louis Cardinals at New York Mets Oct 11 2006 8:05PM
Prediction: under
Grade: Push (0)
Reason: Jeff Weaver the Cardinals starting pitcher is currently in top form having garnered a tidy 3.24 ERA in his L/3 starts and pitched extremely well in his only play off start this season . Midseason pickup Jeff Weaver, was 4-1 with a 4.03 ERA on the road as a Cardinal in the regular season. Tom Glavine the Mets starting pitcher is also in great current form with a stingy .1.51 ERA in his L/3 trips to the hill and owns a 2.71 ERA at home during his 2006 campaign. Final notes & Trends: The Under in games where the total is 9 to 9.5 in the league championship series is 38-10 L/48. The pitching matchup and historical statistics give an edge to playing the under here this evening. UNDER
JIMMY THE MOOSE'S GUARANTEED MLB DIAMOND SMASHER: The Moose looks to CRUSH THE BOOKS tonight with his BEST BET ON THE DIAMOND. Join the Moose for tonight's play that will take you right to the winner's circle. As always you must win or you don't pay!
Game: St Louis Cardinals at New York Mets Oct 11 2006 8:05PM
Prediction: New York Mets
Grade: Push (0)
Reason: The Cardinals have lost 24 of their last 33 games. In their last 11 night games the Cardinals are a money-draining 3-8. In Glavine's last 6 starts vs the Cardinals his team's record is 5-1. New York is 9-3 in their last 12 home playoff games. The Mets have won 4 of 6 meetings this season with the Cardinals. All three meetings played in New York this season were won by the Mets. play on the Mets -.
Robert Ross' NLDS Game 1 Prime Time Play!: Robert Ross looks to continue his hot MLB postseason run with a selection on the CARDS-METS NLDS Game 1 and also has a top-rated NHL selection on the Wednesday night card! Both are sold on a guaranteed basis: they win or you don't have to pay!
Game: St Louis Cardinals at New York Mets Oct 11 2006 8:05PM
Prediction: New York Mets
Grade: Push (0)
Reason: It's the Mets in this one. They've won eight straight, regular and post-season combined. They face Cards rightie Jeff Weaver and his 14 WHIP ratio or whatever it is: the Mets get a lot of people on base, steal, hit home runs and extra base hits and move runners. Can you imagine what they'll do to a guy who has trouble getting outs? Cards erratic offense can't keep up here. Take the New York Mets!
TEMPLE (+44') VS. CLEMSON 7:30 ET
Grab the healthy helping of points here as Clemson romps huge in the first half, then blast Phish's chalk dust torture and sit back as the Owls fight to stay within the number in the second stanza. Man this is a heaping load of points the Tigers are laying in this spot. I know they've been playing like the team to beat in the ACC of late, but that is a ton of chalk to have to lay in this spot. I can't foresee the 1st string to get many snaps in this one as HC Tommy Bowden would be wise to rest them up for next weeks Homecoming game against GTECH that is sure to be a battle. They're not at home, this is a non-conference sandwich game, and they're coming off a grueling game a week ago that saw them put forth a stunning 4th quarter comeback. I really don't see them getting up for the mighty Temple Owls in this spot. That being said, Temple is flat out atrocious, and Clemson might be able to cover this number against them while asleep. However, Temple has shown a pulse the last few weeks by covering their last two games ATS, and should put forth another solid effort under the big bright lights of an ESPNU telecast.
COLORADO STATE (+6) VS. AIR FORCE 8:00 ET CSTV
If you asked any casual college football fan whom they thought would be in first place in the MT West right now, you'd most likely hear Utah, TCU, or BYU come out of their mouth. You certainly wouldn't hear Air Force after putting up a losing campaign for the second year in a row last season, but that's exactly the case. The Falcons find themselves atop the MWC standings with Utah and BYU, and HC DeBerry's men will be eager to get back on the field this Thursday night to rinse the bitter taste of the Navy loss out of their mouths. Colorado State picked up its first conference win of the season with a commanding effort against UNLV that saw them win by a 28-7 count. HC Lubick has done an excellent job with this club to date considering I felt they were in for a down year. That just hasn't been the case, and it's mostly been due to the stellar play of its defense. CSU is now second in the conference and 13th in the nation in run defense, allowing a mere 75 YPG. The pass defense is also second in the league and 22nd in the country, permitting just 162 YPG which in turn pushes the overall defense for the Rams to sixth in the nation, with a combined 237 YPG allowed overall. Points should be at a premium in the frigid air of Colorado Springs this evening, so I'm inclined to grab as many points as I can and watch as these two lock horns in a pivotal MWC battle.
Who is Virginia Tech to be laying points here. This is a team that trailed Cincinnati at home 13-12 starting the 4th quarter and if not for a INT they returned for a TD in that game, they were lucky to win it. They followed up that sub par effort with an outright loss to G'Tech laying close to double digits. You look further and you will see wins over the aforementioned Cincy, North Carolina, Duke and Northeastern. Are you serious here? I have been saying to people this Virginia Tech team is overrated and tonight you will get to see it in primetime. Boston College should never have lost to NC State but they did which will make them even more focused here because they can't afford another loss. This team beat Clemson and Byu both at home and as you can see, both of those squads are pretty damn good football teams. As I said last Saturday with Navy and Air Force, I truthfully feel the wrong team is favored here and wouldn't be the least bit surprised to Boston College win this game outright. They are 6-2 their last 8 as a home dog. I like this team and yes, I am aware they face Florida State next but they are at home against an overrated, over hyped Virginia Tech team. Great spot for BC to continue a solid season and for V'tech to be finished. I am tired of hearing about "Beamer Ball" and Virginia Tech being a national title team. This team is average at best and the right side of this game is without question Boston College tonight. 20 Dime on Boston College.
Mets -1 1/2 Runs
This team is the real deal offensively. Simple as that. They can beat you in so many ways. Tonight, Jeff Weaver has no shot. Now unlike his predecessor and moron Bruce Bochy, Willie Randolph will not let Pujols beat him. He will let the rest of this weak lineup do it and over a 7 game series, they won't be able to. Now Tommy Glavine was 9-3 at Shea this year with an era of 2.71. He pitched so well in New York. He is 1-0 in these playoffs shutting out the Dodgers for 6 innings and I laid a run and a half in that game and won. Tonight I will do the same again because I am confident Weaver won't last 5 innings in this game. They will hammer him just the way they did the last 3 times they have seen him. Weaver has been tagged for 15 runs his last 17 innings versus the Mets and although he is coming off 6 shutout innings against the Padres, I am very confident that this Mets lineup offensively is not the Padres. This is the best team in the National league, playing at home and that will be too much for this overrated Cards team. Glavine is working on 12 scoreless over his last 2 starts and has beaten the Cards 2 in a row including 7 shutout innings his last start at home against them. Let's lay 1 1/2 runs here and call for the Mets to get the game one blowout. You can also take the Mets in the series and lay whatever you want, I call that free money baby.
THURSDAY, OCT. 12, at Charlotte
TEMPLE vs. CLEMSON (-44)
Temple ranks last in the nation in scoring differential. The unfledged Owls -- who list an astounding 13 true freshmen on the 44-man two deep -- have been out-scored by an average of 34 ppg. However, we look for Al Golden's ragtag crew to notch a third straight cover.
This is a classic sandwich situation. Clemson is between ACC revenge games. The Tigers defeated an undefeated entity last week and presumably has one eye peeked at next week's homecoming tilt with Georgia Tech. While almost everyone in attendance will be a Clemson rooter, there figures to be a lot of empty seats. Hotel rooms in Charlotte are scarce and overpriced this weekend because of the big auto race in nearby Concord.
Temple's best player, RB Tim Brown, sat out all of last season rehabbing his grades and was suspended for his team's third and fourth games this year. Since returning to the lineup, Brown has rushed for 224 yards on 43 carries. Clemson has a bevy of fine backs wo figure to run wild against Temple's flimsy defense, but the Tigers' passing game is less formidable with Chansi Stuckey and Rendrick Taylor on the shelf. This duo has ccounted for 37 of the 71 grabs by Clemson's corps of wide receivers.
Golden had a smart game plan when he last matched wits with Tommy Bowden in 2004. Golden was then the DC of a Virginia team that spanked Clemson 31-10. Although this game is buried on ESPNU, it is yet a rare televised game for a Temple program roundly ignored by the Philadelphia media. The overmatched Owls will try hard.
RECOMMENDATION: Temple plus the points.
Big Al's Thursday Night Football Game of the Month
Al McMordie has crushed the books on his Thursday Night plays, and this week is releasing his 2nd strongest Thursday game of the season. It's Big Al's Thursday Night Game of the Month, and it's out of an awesome 27-6 system. If you enjoyed Big Al's Thursday Night Game of the Year on South Carolina over Auburn, you'll love this huge winner.
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