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B Lang sunday picks
40 DIME
Indy Colts
10 DIME
Steelers
Chargers
Panthers
Indy
A couple of weeks ago I said you couldn't ask for a better spot for the Jags to crush the Jets and they rolled 41-0. Well, the same exact thought process sides with the Colts here.
First of all, Indy is off a bye week needed to shore up its run defense. Now the whole world can rant and rave about Indy not being able to stop the run, but I pose this thought to everyone who is reading this right now: If Washington couldn't run the ball at home against one of the worst rush defenses in all the NFL last week - let along beat a winless team in the Titans with a rookie QB - what on God's earth makes you think the Skins are going to be able to go into Indy and stop Peyton Manning? Furthermore, the week before when Washington went into New York and faced the Giants, the Skins allowed them to march up and down the field, punting just once onthe day.
This is a bad Redskins' team. They have no secondary and what they do have is big and slow. They can't cover, and if they couldn't stop the Titans, what makes you think they're going to come up with something a week later to stop Indy - on the road no less?
Another thing amazing to me is the public is betting the Redskins, which I absolutely love. Don't be surprised to see Indy score over 40 in this game as the Colts do whatever they want offensively versus one of the slowest defenses in the NFL.
Throw out any ATS numbers you have because this game comes down to X's and O's and all the advantages are with the Colts at home. Washington is not good enough offensively to get the stops needed to cover this number and the Skins have too many breakdowns offensively to be able to keep up with what Indy is going to do to them.
I am all over the Colts today as they run away and hide from the Redskins, much the way Jacksonville did against the Jets two weeks ago. 40 Dime winner back on track with Indy.
Steelers
They got their swagger back last week and they will keep it this week. This game will come down to one thing" Michael Vick beating the Steelers with his arm. He won't be able to do it.
The Steelers will stop the Falcons' ground game; rest assured of that. Dick Lebeau is too good a coordinator to not know the key to beating Atlanta is to make Mike Vick think. I personally don't think Vick could spell the word "spot" if you spotted him the "s" and the "t". I also don't think Vick could hit a semi-truck on a consistent basis if it was parked 15 yards in front of him. His passing numbers for the year are 135 yards per game with 3 TD's and 3 INT's and 65.5 QB rating.
I have said this once and I will say it again: Vick is just a great athlete playing QB. His rating is this low because he can't read defenses, and if he struggled against a Giants defense last week, he will struggle against an even better defense this week.
As mobile as Vick is, he still got sacked 7 times by the Giants. That is flat-out embarrassing. Now here comes the Steelers who are undervalued in this game today because the linemaker thinks the Falcons are a good football team. Folks, they are not in the class of the world champs.
This is about Vick being beaten by a better defense and a better team. If you were dominated by the Giants at home, the Steelers will do the same. All over Pittsburgh today.
Chargers
I always say if you can't run the football and have an inexperienced QB who has to make plays when the run game gets stopped, you will be in trouble. Enter the Chiefs. Larry Johnson has been null and void because he has no offensive line and that unit is now facing a similar defense in the Chargers that they just saw in Pittsburgh. Only difference is San Diego is flat-out better.
San Diego is unstoppable right now, simple as that. The Bolts are taking no prisoners and furthermore, Schottenheimer has opened up the playbook for Rivers, which makes them even more dangerous.
I just don't feel the linemaker has caught up to the Chargers yet. They are 4-1 SU and ATS with the only blemish being the 4th quarter meltdown at Baltimore. Their 4 wins have been by margins of 27 at Oakland, 33 at home over Tennessee, 10 at home over the Steelers, and 29 at San Francisco. This team is a money-making machine on the road, covering 14 of their last 17 on the highway.
I am riding the Chargers as they roll along and once again beat up on a bad football team. It goes from bad to worse for Herm Edwards and somewhere Dick Vermeil is smiling knowing he got out at the right time for this horrific Chiefs' losing season. All Chargers today.
Panthers
It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out what Steve Smith means to the Carolina Panthers. Without him they were 0-2 SU and ATS, opening the season with losses at home to the Falcons and at Minnesota. Since he's returned, they have won 4 in a row.
Now I have preached to people that the way to make money with the Carolina Panthers is to go against them as a favorite and with them as a dog. Simply put people, the dog in Panther games is 5-1 ATS this year. Now, here is where it gets really interesting. If you make the Panthers a dog, well you can forget about it because they fla- out make you money. Including last week with an outright win over the Ravens as a 2 1/2 to 3 point dog, Carolina has covered 19 of its last 22 with a push when getting points. They are the best underdog play going in the NFL right now.
Today the Panthers face a Bengals' team with no offensive line going against arguably the best defensive front in the NFL and that spells doom for Carson Palmer. If the Bengals couldn't protect him last week versus the Bucs, they are going to have trouble protecting him here. Their defense couldn't stop the run last week in Tampa and they face just as good an offense here in the Panthers, if not better.
The Bengals are in trouble folks due to injuries and the team to exploit that is the Panthers. Lastly, Cincy is just 3-10 ATS its last 13 at home.
The Panthers are an incredible dog and I will count on them to get it done in another favorable spot right here. Don't be surprised to see the Panthers win the game outright.
40 DIME
Indy Colts
10 DIME
Steelers
Chargers
Panthers
Indy
A couple of weeks ago I said you couldn't ask for a better spot for the Jags to crush the Jets and they rolled 41-0. Well, the same exact thought process sides with the Colts here.
First of all, Indy is off a bye week needed to shore up its run defense. Now the whole world can rant and rave about Indy not being able to stop the run, but I pose this thought to everyone who is reading this right now: If Washington couldn't run the ball at home against one of the worst rush defenses in all the NFL last week - let along beat a winless team in the Titans with a rookie QB - what on God's earth makes you think the Skins are going to be able to go into Indy and stop Peyton Manning? Furthermore, the week before when Washington went into New York and faced the Giants, the Skins allowed them to march up and down the field, punting just once onthe day.
This is a bad Redskins' team. They have no secondary and what they do have is big and slow. They can't cover, and if they couldn't stop the Titans, what makes you think they're going to come up with something a week later to stop Indy - on the road no less?
Another thing amazing to me is the public is betting the Redskins, which I absolutely love. Don't be surprised to see Indy score over 40 in this game as the Colts do whatever they want offensively versus one of the slowest defenses in the NFL.
Throw out any ATS numbers you have because this game comes down to X's and O's and all the advantages are with the Colts at home. Washington is not good enough offensively to get the stops needed to cover this number and the Skins have too many breakdowns offensively to be able to keep up with what Indy is going to do to them.
I am all over the Colts today as they run away and hide from the Redskins, much the way Jacksonville did against the Jets two weeks ago. 40 Dime winner back on track with Indy.
Steelers
They got their swagger back last week and they will keep it this week. This game will come down to one thing" Michael Vick beating the Steelers with his arm. He won't be able to do it.
The Steelers will stop the Falcons' ground game; rest assured of that. Dick Lebeau is too good a coordinator to not know the key to beating Atlanta is to make Mike Vick think. I personally don't think Vick could spell the word "spot" if you spotted him the "s" and the "t". I also don't think Vick could hit a semi-truck on a consistent basis if it was parked 15 yards in front of him. His passing numbers for the year are 135 yards per game with 3 TD's and 3 INT's and 65.5 QB rating.
I have said this once and I will say it again: Vick is just a great athlete playing QB. His rating is this low because he can't read defenses, and if he struggled against a Giants defense last week, he will struggle against an even better defense this week.
As mobile as Vick is, he still got sacked 7 times by the Giants. That is flat-out embarrassing. Now here comes the Steelers who are undervalued in this game today because the linemaker thinks the Falcons are a good football team. Folks, they are not in the class of the world champs.
This is about Vick being beaten by a better defense and a better team. If you were dominated by the Giants at home, the Steelers will do the same. All over Pittsburgh today.
Chargers
I always say if you can't run the football and have an inexperienced QB who has to make plays when the run game gets stopped, you will be in trouble. Enter the Chiefs. Larry Johnson has been null and void because he has no offensive line and that unit is now facing a similar defense in the Chargers that they just saw in Pittsburgh. Only difference is San Diego is flat-out better.
San Diego is unstoppable right now, simple as that. The Bolts are taking no prisoners and furthermore, Schottenheimer has opened up the playbook for Rivers, which makes them even more dangerous.
I just don't feel the linemaker has caught up to the Chargers yet. They are 4-1 SU and ATS with the only blemish being the 4th quarter meltdown at Baltimore. Their 4 wins have been by margins of 27 at Oakland, 33 at home over Tennessee, 10 at home over the Steelers, and 29 at San Francisco. This team is a money-making machine on the road, covering 14 of their last 17 on the highway.
I am riding the Chargers as they roll along and once again beat up on a bad football team. It goes from bad to worse for Herm Edwards and somewhere Dick Vermeil is smiling knowing he got out at the right time for this horrific Chiefs' losing season. All Chargers today.
Panthers
It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure out what Steve Smith means to the Carolina Panthers. Without him they were 0-2 SU and ATS, opening the season with losses at home to the Falcons and at Minnesota. Since he's returned, they have won 4 in a row.
Now I have preached to people that the way to make money with the Carolina Panthers is to go against them as a favorite and with them as a dog. Simply put people, the dog in Panther games is 5-1 ATS this year. Now, here is where it gets really interesting. If you make the Panthers a dog, well you can forget about it because they fla- out make you money. Including last week with an outright win over the Ravens as a 2 1/2 to 3 point dog, Carolina has covered 19 of its last 22 with a push when getting points. They are the best underdog play going in the NFL right now.
Today the Panthers face a Bengals' team with no offensive line going against arguably the best defensive front in the NFL and that spells doom for Carson Palmer. If the Bengals couldn't protect him last week versus the Bucs, they are going to have trouble protecting him here. Their defense couldn't stop the run last week in Tampa and they face just as good an offense here in the Panthers, if not better.
The Bengals are in trouble folks due to injuries and the team to exploit that is the Panthers. Lastly, Cincy is just 3-10 ATS its last 13 at home.
The Panthers are an incredible dog and I will count on them to get it done in another favorable spot right here. Don't be surprised to see the Panthers win the game outright.
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