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Lines from BoDog as of 11:45 AM PST
Minnesota +2.5 vs New England - Two pretty even teams with the home team getting the points. I would buy the 1/2 pt to make it 3 just to be safe as this one is very likely to be decided either way by a FG. Both teams favor the running game and are averaging over 100 each but N.E. has both Maroney and Dillion sharing the load whereas Minnesota relies on Chester Taylor. Both teams also excel at stopping the run with Minnesota only giving up an average of 70 and N.E. only giving about 84. If it comes down to the passing game Johnson has the better completion ratio at 62.9% vs Brady at only 56%. Both spread it around pretty well. Minnesota has 6 recievers with double digit receptions and 3 receivers with over 200 yds, and Brady has 5 in double digits with his favorite by far being TE Ben Watson with 21 and 271 yds. The Vikings have the better defensive stats vs the pass with 6 different players totaling 7 picks while the Pats only have 4 picks between two players with 3 of those credited to CB Asante Samuel.
Both also have pretty good trends going for them. The Vikings have covered 9 out of the last 10 home games and 3 straight vs the Pats. They are also a stellar 5-1 ATS this year and 3-0 at home. The Pats are 4-2 ATS this year and 3-0 on the road as well as being 19-6-1 in their last 26 road games overall and 10-2-1 in their last 13 vs the NFC. The one negative against Minnesota being their 1-5 ATS record in theit last 6 vs the AFC which includes their 5 pt loss at Buffalo this year as well as ATS losses going back as far as 2004 to some pretty darn good teams including games at Baltimore and Cincinnati and home games vs Pittsburgh and Seattle.
I also like Minnesota and New England to go UN 40 tonite. Both are fairly conservative and I think both will try and make the running games work. Only 4 of their combined 12 games this year have gone over this number and the last 3 meetings between them have also gone under, for whatever that's worth.
Minnesota +2.5 vs New England - Two pretty even teams with the home team getting the points. I would buy the 1/2 pt to make it 3 just to be safe as this one is very likely to be decided either way by a FG. Both teams favor the running game and are averaging over 100 each but N.E. has both Maroney and Dillion sharing the load whereas Minnesota relies on Chester Taylor. Both teams also excel at stopping the run with Minnesota only giving up an average of 70 and N.E. only giving about 84. If it comes down to the passing game Johnson has the better completion ratio at 62.9% vs Brady at only 56%. Both spread it around pretty well. Minnesota has 6 recievers with double digit receptions and 3 receivers with over 200 yds, and Brady has 5 in double digits with his favorite by far being TE Ben Watson with 21 and 271 yds. The Vikings have the better defensive stats vs the pass with 6 different players totaling 7 picks while the Pats only have 4 picks between two players with 3 of those credited to CB Asante Samuel.
Both also have pretty good trends going for them. The Vikings have covered 9 out of the last 10 home games and 3 straight vs the Pats. They are also a stellar 5-1 ATS this year and 3-0 at home. The Pats are 4-2 ATS this year and 3-0 on the road as well as being 19-6-1 in their last 26 road games overall and 10-2-1 in their last 13 vs the NFC. The one negative against Minnesota being their 1-5 ATS record in theit last 6 vs the AFC which includes their 5 pt loss at Buffalo this year as well as ATS losses going back as far as 2004 to some pretty darn good teams including games at Baltimore and Cincinnati and home games vs Pittsburgh and Seattle.
I also like Minnesota and New England to go UN 40 tonite. Both are fairly conservative and I think both will try and make the running games work. Only 4 of their combined 12 games this year have gone over this number and the last 3 meetings between them have also gone under, for whatever that's worth.
He probably wanted to compliment me on my picks
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