Its late but here is a few

[Dr Ray]

Ben Burns
BIG TEN GAME OF MONTH IOWA ---- MAIN EVENT FLORIDA STATE --- UNDERDOG GAME OF MONTH MIAMI FLORIDA ---- oregon

[Dr Ray]

Al McMordie

Cincinnati--3*
San Jose State--3*
Florida State--ACC GOY (3*)
Kansas State--Big 12 Underdog GOY (3*)
Tulsa--Conference US GOY

[Dr Ray]

Wayne Root


Indiana--Source
San Jose State--No Limit
New Mexico--Money Maker
Kansas State--Millionaire
UCLA--Chairman

[Dr Ray]

BRANDON LANG

50 DIME

Maryland


10 DIME

E.Carolina

Rice

San Jose St

Central Florida


Note:

Good to get back on track with some more Friday night magic with Central Michigan getting it done. Amazing what happens when a team does what you handicap them to do. YOU WIN.

Amazing concept isn't it? Doesn't matter the sport, just do what I handicap you to do and everything else will take care of itself.

Not worried about the slow start to the NBA. That will work itself out next week. Just you wait and see with that.

Big day today. Like what I see, what I am releasing and feel good about making you some money. Now let's go do it together.


MARYLAND

If things weren't bad enough for the Miami Hurricanes this season, it has flat out become a nightmare with one of your favorite players taking a bullet to the back of the head just 4 days ago.

Now, you go on the road, with an offense that has struggled all year long with a QB making his first start of the year.

This team was being held together by a string to begin with and now you ask these 18, 19 and 20 year old kids deal with this.

What impressed me most about this Maryland team is after beating Florida State at home 27-24, they went on the road and held the nations #6 rush offense and #13 total offense in the country to 12 points. In Clemson, one of the toughest places to play.

All this after beating Florida State at home. That is how good this team is playing.

Just because their was a death in Miami, Maryland could care less. They are staring the ACC Championship Game right in the eye. A win here and regardless of what they do at BC next week, it will all come down to the Wake game to end the year.

That is how much bigger this game is for Maryland and they are seeing a Miami offense that has never been worse.

Miami has the 76th rush offense in the country and the #78 total offense with a QB making his first ever start on the road.

Heck, if a better Florida State team couldn't get it done 2 weeks ago, how in the world is the Canes going to get it done after one of their just got murdered?

I am not buying into this hype that they will show up and rally around this death.

Are you serious? This team hasn't rallied all year. From the suspensions to start the year, to the brawl and now this, truth be told, this is a nightmare just waiting to end.

This team was a preseason Top 10 team and was supposed to compete for a National Championship. Now 5-4 they want to get bowl eligible? For what, to play in the Alamo bowl? This team is used to BCS. You think these players are motivated at all?

They have been a disgrace all year and now lets add murder to the formula. I am sorry people, but there is value here based on the Cane's past successes but that ends today.

At some point in this game today, when Miami has to dig down and make plays, REALITY will set in, on the road, in a hostile enviorment and that reality is "Our boy" is not here, he got shot in the back of the head and is one of us next?

Maryland, they will be digging all game long because they are playing for something big, the ACC Championship game. The Canes just want the season to end and any body who tells you different doesn't know what he is talking about.

Bottom line is this Miami team does not have the mental capacity to overcome something as horrific as this. They haven't shown it all year and it isn't going to all of sudden show up today.

I am confident Maryland will play well, just as they have in their last 5 games, going 4-1 both SU and ATS with the only loss at G'tech, a game they led late in the 4th before it was snatched away.

They are 5-0 at home and today it goes to 6-0 and I am very confident they win this game by 2 touchdowns.

50 Dime Winner on Maryland


EAST CAROLINA

This game starts with the 109th ranked pass defense trying to stop the pass offense of East Carolina. I don't think Marshall can do it.

Every team they have played has thrown for over 200 with exeception of West Virginia, who decided to run for 312. I wouldn't have passed either.

Now just as I used Byu and Central Michigan last 2 nights is one of the reason why I love this game today. Byu and Central Michigan are now 9-1 ATS this year and with a win, East Carolina will join them as the best college ATS run this year.

The other is Nevada who is 8-1 ATS as well but didn't feel like messing with a 30 number. You saw what Byu did easily. You saw what Central Michigan did easily. Now watch what East Carolina does coming back to home after back to back road wins and with a win, they become bowl eligible.

Nice feather in the cap for Lou Holtz son Skip, you has been a covering a machine since arriving at E.Carolina

My dollars says the passing attack of Skip Holtz is the difference here and just like their buddies above, East Carolina moves to 9-1 ATS for the year and joins Byu and C.Michigan for the best mark out there.

Marshall has lost 3 out of 4 this year SU and coverd just beating a very bad Uab team. Smu beat them by 10, Tennessee by 26, Kansas St by 16 and W.Virginia by 32.

I feel comfortable that East Carolina wins this game by 10 points and that my friends will get us another winner.

10 Dime East Carolina



RICE

How good was this team to me last week? Double digit dog wins outright for me at Utep. That is how well they are playing behind QB Clement.. With him in the lineup, they are 5-1 ATS and the offense is averaging over 440 yards total offense.

Now they go into Tulsa, which by the way is school Tulsa head man, Todd Graham left to be head coach here at Rice. He was their defensive coordinator for 3 years and recruited all lot of these kids and still talks to them daily.

Tulsa off the loss to Houston, which essientially ends they whole ball of wax for the conference title game and it would suprise me to see them a little flat.

Rice has great balance their last 4 ballgames winning 3 of them with the run and the pass. This plays right into the weakness of this Tulsa team.

Rice is a pesky dog here and they will not back down to anybody or no one. You saw them go into Utep and hammer that team.

They have all the momentum in the world going into this game catching 14 points and that is way too much for how this team is playing

10 DIME Rice is the play.

[Dr Ray]

ppp


STEAMROLLERS

4% OKLA ST

4% BOISE ST

3% CLEMSON

PRIVATE PLAYS

3* S. FLA

3* UTAH

PENTHOUSE

5% FSU

5% NOTRE DAME

5% ARKANSAS

4% NAVY

4% NEW MEX

3% N'WESTERN

3% T-TECH

TOTALS

4% UNDER WISC / IOWA

3% OVER KENT / VANDY

3% UNDER COLO / ISU

3% UNDER TCU / NEW MEX

3% OVER MEMPHIS / C. FLA

[Dr Ray]

HSW Early Phones
5* Navy
4* Wisconsin
3* Central Florida, LSU Clemson

New York Steam
Tulane
Clemson

GD West
Clemson
Hawaii

L&M Group
5* Wisconsin

[Dr Ray]

Northcoast Totals

3* Hawaii over, MTS under
4* Kentucky over

Northcoast Sides
4* boise st, florida st, texas, houston(top play)
3* ohio st, notre dame

[Dr Ray]

northcoast small college
4-navy
3-kent st ,flor atlantic

[Dr Ray]

Dr. Bob

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Rotation #306 Rutgers (+6 1/2) 3-Stars at +5 or more, 2-Stars from +3 1/2 to +4 1/2, 4-Stars at +7 or more.
Rotation #311 UTEP (+2) 2-Stars at pick or better.
Rotation #326 Boston College (-28) 2-Stars at -28 or less.
Rotation #352 SMU (+5) 3-Stars at +4 or more, 2-Stars at +3 or +3 1/2.
Rotation #372 New Mexico (+8) 4-Stars at +7 or more, 3-Stars from +4 to +6 1/2, 2- Stars at +3 or +3 1/2.
Rotation #376 San Jose State (+14 1/2) 4-Stars at +14 or more, 3-Stars from +12 to +13 1/2, 2-Stars from +10 to +11 1/2.
Rotation #387 Central Florida (+1) 2-Stars at -1 or better, 3-Stars at +2 or more.
Rotation #390 Kansas State (+17) 3-Stars at +16 or more, 2-Stars from +14 to +15 1/2.
Rotation #392 San Diego State (-7 1/2) 2-Stars at -9 or less, 3-Stars at -7 or less.
Rotation #383 Pittsburgh 2-Stars at -7 or less.
PItt did go to -7 and has stayed there at most places, so it will count as a 2-Star officially.


4 Star Selection****TCU (-8.0) 24 NEW MEXICO 2002:30 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
New Mexico has always started slowly and improved as the season progresses under coach Rocky Long and this season is no different. The Lobos started the season with a home loss to Division 1AA Portland State and were 2-4 straight up and 2-3 ATS in their first 6 games before running off 3 straight wins and spread wins with talented freshman Donovan Porterie at quarterback. New Mexico is 19-27 straight up and 15-25-1 ATS in the first 6 games of the season under Long since 1999 and the Lobos are now 29-13 straight up and 32-10 ATS in from game 7 on (regular season), including an incredible 24-1 ATS in their last 25 late season games when not favored by 3 points or more (as favorite of less than 3 or dog). The Lobos’ offense has improved in those 3 games with Porterie at quarterback, averaging 5.5 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 5.4 yppl to an average attack. That is much better than the -0.9 yppl rating that they had in their first 6 games with two other starting quarterbacks. New Mexico has a solid defense that has allowed 5.0 yppl to teams that would average 5.0 yppl against an average stop unit, so they are about average overall from the line of scrimmage and better than average in special teams. TCU is a good team, rating at 0.1 yppl better than average on offense and 0.8 yppl better than average on defense, but the Horned Frogs are certainly not good enough to be favored by as many points as they are against the improved Lobos. In fact, my math model favors TCU by just 1 ½ points in this game and New Mexico has had an extra week to prepare, which is very advantageous late in the season. The Lobos actually apply to a 40-10-1 ATS late season team off a bye angle and TCU is not that great on the road, going just 7-14 ATS in conference road games under coach Patterson and 2-9 ATS as a road favorite of more than 7 points (0-5 ATS in conference). This one looks good every way you look at it, as we have a strong general situation, supporting team trends and good line value. I’ll take New Mexico in a 4- Star Best Bet at +7 points or more, for 3-Stars from +6 ½ to +4 points and for 2-Stars at +3 ½ or +3 points.

4 Star Selection
****SAN JOSE ST. 24 Boise St. (-14.5) 27
03:00 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
There is a lot of pressure on unbeaten teams late in the season and usually those teams tend to play not to lose rather than playing to win big. In fact, unbeaten road teams that are 7-0 or better, are just 93-132-4 ATS since 1980 and Boise State actually applies to a very negative 10-48-2 ATS subset of that situation that is 0-17 ATS since 2000. The Broncos applied to that same subset in their lackluster 42-26 win as a 21 point road favorite at Idaho a few weeks ago. San Jose State, meanwhile, applies to a 55- 19-2 ATS late season home underdog momentum situation and the record is a perfect 11-0 ATS if both angles apply to the same game. There are a few other situations favoring San Jose State as well and the Spartans are a pretty decent team. San Jose State has a great running back in Yonus Davis, who has 861 yards at 7.4 ypr this season, and a better than average veteran quarterback in Adam Tafralis (7.1 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 6.8 yppp to an average quarterback). Overall the Spartans are 0.4 yards per play better than average offensively and they are average defensively, allowing 5.1 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.1 yppl against an average defense. Boise State is obviously better on both sides of the ball, rating at 0.8 yppl better than average offensively (with QB Zabransky in the game) and 0.3 yppl better than average defensively. You may notice that San Jose State has a slight advantage on offense over Boise State’s defense, which is important when backing a big home underdog. Overall, my math model favors Boise State by just 10 points in this game and the Spartans lost by just 5 points at Washington earlier this season (when the Huskies had their starting quarterback and were playing well), so they have proven that they can compete with better teams. The Spartans have a very profitable 65% chance of covering at +14 points and I’ll take San Jose State in a 4-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more, for 3-Stars from +12 to +13 ½, and for 2-Stars from +10 to +11 ½ points.

3 Star Selection
***RUTGERS 25 Louisville (-6.5) 21
04:30 PM Pacific, 09-Nov-06
Another battle of unbeaten teams in the Big East and the home team should come out on top again after Louisville beat West Virginia at home last Thursday. Unlike last week, when neither team could stop the other from scoring, Rutgers has a defense that can slow down the Cardinals. The Scarlet Knights have allowed just 4.1 yards per play this season to teams that would combine to average 5.1 yppl against an average team. Louisville has averaged 7.5 yppl (against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average attack) and the Cardinals are obviously the best offensive team that Rutgers has faced this season. However, the Knights did limit a potent Pitt attack to just 10 points on 236 total yards and 4.5 yppl in Pittsburgh, so they are certainly capable of slowing down Louisville today at home. Rutgers isn’t much offensively, averaging just 5.3 yppl (against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average team), but Louisville is just 0.2 yppl better than average defensively (5.0 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.2 yppl), so Rutgers should do a decent job of moving the ball. Where Rutgers has a real advantage is in special teams, which should give them good field position in this game. Overall, my math model favors Louisville by just 2 ½ points in this game and another mathematical tool favors the Cardinals by 4 points. What makes Rutgers a play is not the marginal line value, but rather the situation. Louisville applies to the same negative 9-41-2 ATS unbeaten road team situation that West Virginia applied to last week in their loss at Louisville. Rutgers, meanwhile, applies to a very strong 48-13-1 ATS home underdog momentum situation at +5 or more and a 40-12-1 ATS home dog momentum situation. Also, unbeaten home underdogs (5-0 teams or better) are 24-12-1 ATS since 1980, including 12-5 ATS against an unbeaten visitor, and Rutgers will be playing with a lot of confidence in this game. Louisville hasn’t played nearly as good away from home under coach Bobby Petrino (11-12-1 ATS) as they have at Papa John’s Stadium (15-6 ATS) and the Cardinals are just 2-6 ATS as a favorite away from home against a team with a winning record. Rutgers, meanwhile, is 18-7-1 ATS as an underdog the last 4 years, including 3-0 ATS this season. I’ll take Rutgers in a 3-Star Best Bets at +5 points or more (4-Stars at +7 or more) and for 2-Stars from +3 ½ to +4 ½ points (strong opinion at +3).

3 Star Selection
***SMU 28 Houston (-5.0) 2412:00 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
Houston’s big win last week over Tulsa was certainly impressive, but the Cougars were in a very high percentage situation. This week the Cougars are not in a good situation going on the road as a favorite after their upset win over the Hurricanes last week. Houston applies to a negative 95-186-7 ATS road letdown situation while SMU applies to a solid 84-46 ATS situation that plays on dogs coming off a win and a bye week. SMU has had two weeks to prepare for this game and their confidence is no doubt running high given their recent success at home and 5-2 record in their last 7 games overall. The Mustangs have won 6 consecutive home games in which the defense has allowed an average of just 11.2 points and SMU is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 lined games as the host. Not only is SMU in a good situation, but they are also undervalued due to their recent history of bad play. Those days are gone. The Mustangs have an efficient freshman quarterback in Justin Willis, who has completed 71% of this passes with 20 going for touchdowns against just 4 interceptions. Willis doesn’t throw the ball downfield very often and he actually rates as below average on a yards per pass play scale, but the Mustangs’ attack is only 0.3 yards per play worse than average. That unit should perform well against a Houston defense that has been 0.9 yppl worse than average (5.9 yppl allowed to teams that would average just 5.0 yppl against an average team) in 7 games since the Cougars lost their best defensive player, SS Schwartz, in their second game. Houston’s offense makes up for their poor defense by averaging 6.9 yppl (against teams that would allow 6.0 yppl) and senior quarterback Kevin Kolb has thrown just 3 picks in 317 passes this season. The Cougars actually rate even higher on offense now that they’ve converted shifty receiver Anthony Alridge to running back. Alridge has averaged an incredible 11.2 ypr on 51 carries this season and the Houston offense currently rates at 1.2 yppl better than average. SMU is among the best in the nation at defending the run and they’re decent against the pass and the Mustangs rate at 0.3 yppl better than average defensively. SMU has a 2.8 points edge in special teams and my math model favors the Mustangs by ½ a point in this game. The situation favoring SMU only applies for underdogs of 3 points or more, so I’ll take SMU in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more and for 3-Stars at +4 points or more.

3 Star Selection
***KANSAS ST. 21 Texas (-17.0) 29 05:00 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
Texas has only played two true road games all season long and they barely won both of those games (by 2 points at Nebraska and by 4 points at Texas Tech). Texas has been inconsistent with their effort on the defensive side of the ball and this is a game in which I expect the Longhorns to letdown. Texas applies to a negative 17-57-3 ATS road letdown situation while Kansas State has played well in consecutive victories and they qualify in a very good 48-13-1 ATS momentum home underdog situation. There is also a more general 186-95-7 ATS home momentum situation that favors the Wildcats, who are now 69-31 ATS at home since 1990 (4-2 ATS this season). Kansas State has been hit with costly injuries to their secondary, losing top CB Baldwin in game 4 and then S Watts a couple of weeks ago, so the Wildcats have gone from a very good defensive team early this season to a slightly worse than average defense currently. However, Kansas State’s offense has improved in their last 5 games with Josh Freeman at quarterback and Leon Patton as the main running back (413 yards at 6.1 ypr in 5 games as the main back). In those 5 games the Wildcats have averaged 5.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl to an average team. Kansas State has been without their top receiver, Jermaine Moreira the past 2 ½ games, but the pass attack has actually posted better numbers during that span so I felt no need to make an adjustment for that. Texas has only been 0.4 yppl better than average defensively this season, allowing 5.1 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.5 yppl against an average defensive team, and the Longhorns have allowed an average of 429 yards at 6.7 yppl in their two games as the visitor (against Nebraska and Texas Tech offensive units that would combine to average 6.6 yppl at home against an average team). My math model favors Texas by 14 ½ points and the Longhorns are due for a letdown. I’ll take Kansas State in a 3-Star Best Bet at +16 points or more and for 2-Stars from +15 ½ to +14 points.

2 Star Selection
**Texas El Paso 27 UAB (-2.0) 2105:00 PM Pacific, 10-Nov-06
The Miners have now lost 3 straight games, the last of which was an upset home loss as an 8 ½ point favorite against Rice last week. That loss should result in a turnaround this week as UTEP applies to a very strong 57-10 ATS road bounce-back situation - as long as they are pick or an underdog. It helps that UTEP is the better team in this game, as the Miners rate considerably higher on both sides of the ball. El Paso is 0.2 yards per play better than average on offense (5.9 yppl against teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average team) and 0.2 yppl worse than average on defense (5.6 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.4 yppl against an average defense). UAB, meanwhile, is 0.7 yppl worse than average with quarterback Chris Williams in the game and the Blazers are 0.6 yppl worse than average defensively (5.7 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.1 yppl against an average team). My math model favors UTEP by 5 points in this game and the situation favoring the Miners applies at pick or dog, so I’ll take Texas El Paso in a 2-Star Best Bet at pick or as an underdog (3-Stars at +3 or more).

2 Star Selection
**BOSTON COLLEGE (-28.0) 42 Duke 6
04:00 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
Boston College is coming off a loss at Wake Forest and the Eagles will be looking to take out their frustrations on the lowly Blue Devils today. Boston College is 21-9 ATS after a conference loss in 10 years under coach Tom O’Brien (19-5 ATS last 24) and O’Brien rarely shows mercy at home against out-manned conference foes, going 10-1 ATS hosting conference opponents with losing records during his tenure. Boston College also applies to a 60-23 ATS big home favorite bounce-back situation as long as they are favored by 28 points or less and my math model favors the Eagles by 36 ½ points. The Eagles are 9-3-1 ATS as a favorite of 20 points or more, so they usually get the money as a big favorite, but I’ll only play BC as a Best Bet if the 60-23 ATS situation applies. I’ll take Boston College in a 2-Star Best Bet at -28 points or less and I’ll consider the Eagles a Strong Opinion at -31 or less.

2 Star Selection
**Central Florida 34 MEMPHIS (-1.0) 26
05:00 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
I’ve been going against both of these teams this season but Central Florida is improving while Memphis is getting worse. UCF coach George O’Leary has started Kyle Israel at quarterback the last 3 games and the offense has responded by averaging 5.9 yards per play in those games (against teams that would allow 5.9 yppl to an average team). An average attack is an improvement for the Golden Knights and Israel should have a huge day attacking a Memphis secondary that has allowed 8.0 yards per pass play this season (to teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppp against an average defense). The Tigers were without 3 time All-Conference S Wesley Smith for 2 of those games, including last week, but Smith is expected to play this week and Memphis is a bit better when he’s been in (but still 2.4 yppp worse than average). Overall the Tigers are 1.2 yppl worse than average defensively, so Central Florida should move the ball very well. The Memphis offense is only 0.4 yppl worse than average and they have an advantage over a Central Florida defense that is 0.8 yppl worse than average (6.4 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.6 yppl against an average team). However, that 0.4 yppl advantage by the Memphis offense is far less than the 1.2 yppl advantage that the Knights have over the Tigers’ defense. Central Florida also has better special teams and my math model favors the Knights by 7 points in this game. UCF would also apply to a solid 51-26-2 ATS bounce- back situation if they are an underdog or pick and I’ll take Central Florida in a 2- Star Best Bet at -1 or better and for 3-Stars at +2 or more.

2 Star Selection
**SAN DIEGO ST. (-7.5) 32 UNLV 1606:00 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
San Diego State was horrible early in the season under new coach Chuck Long, but the Aztecs are showing signs of life on both sides of the ball lately. The offense has averaged only 4.8 yards per play this season (against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average team), but the Aztecs rate at 0.4 yppl better than average with their current offensive lineup. The difference is having Atiyyah Henderson at tailback since their 3rd game (601 yards at 5.1 ypr in 6 games as the main back) and having redshirt freshman Kevin Craft at quarterback the last 4 games, in which he’s averaged 6.1 yards per pass play against teams that would combine to allow just 5.6 yppp to an average quarterback. Craft replaced the ineffective Darren Mougey, who took over in game 2 after veteran starter Kevin O’Connell was injured in the opener. O’Connell returned last week and threw 6 passes for 94 yards and has completed 16 of his 20 passes this season. O’Connell and Craft will both play and I expect both to have success against a porous UNLV secondary that has allowed 7.8 yppp this season to teams that would average 6.5 yppp against an average team. UNLV is 0.6 yppl worse than average overall defensively, and my math model forecasts 414 yards at 6.6 yppl for the Aztecs in this game. UNLV will have a tough time keeping up with an attack that rates at 1.0 yppl worse than average with Rocky Hinds behind center (the much more effective Shane Steichen was hurt a few weeks ago and is out for the season). San Diego State’s defense has allowed only 4.5 yppl in their last 3 games and they are now just 0.2 yppl worse than average for the season on defense, so the Aztecs have a huge edge when UNLV has the ball too. The Rebels do have a 1.5 points edge in special teams but the math favors San Diego State by 16 ½ points. I’ll take San Diego State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less and for 3-Stars at -7 or less (strong opinion at -9 ½ or -10).

2-Star Best Bet
**Pittsburgh (-7) 28 CONNECTICUT 1412:30 PM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
Pittsburgh has lost two consecutive games to good defensive teams Rutgers and South Florida, and those losses have led to some line value on their side entering this game. The Panthers are still a very good team that has averaged 6.5 yards per play on offense (against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team) while allowing just 4.6 yppl (to teams that would combine to average 5.0 yppl against an average defense). Connecticut, meanwhile, is 0.6 yppl worse than average on offense and 0.1 yppl worse than average on defense and the Panthers have beaten mediocre teams pretty easily this season. My math model favors Pitt by 16 points in this game but conference road favorites of more than 7 points that are coming off back-to-back losses are not good bets historically against a team with the revenge motive (45-76-2 ATS), so I will insist on only making Pitt a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less. The situation against Pittsburgh is not strong enough to keep me from favoring the Panthers to cover in this game. Strong Opinion
Navy (-14.0) 32 Eastern Mich 14 (at Detroit)
10:00 AM Pacific, 11-Nov-06
Navy has always been a good bet away from home and the Midshipmen are now 35-8-1 ATS in regular season road or neutral games against teams with losing records after whipping Duke last Saturday. Navy can’t throw the ball at all out of their option without injured starter Brian Hampton, but the Middies should have no trouble running their option attack against an Eastern Michigan defense that is decent defending the pass (which means very little in this game), but are horrible against the run (5.4 yards per rushing play allowed to teams that would combine to average 4.6 yprp against an average defensive team). My math model favors Navy by 14 points, so there really isn’t much line value, but I’ll consider Navy a Strong Opinion at -14 points or less based on their very profitable history in this role

[Dr Ray]

trace fields:

314 MARYLAND -3 MIAMI FLORIDA
329 CINCINNATI +19 AT WEST VIRGINIA
353 GEORGIA +12.5 AT AUBURN
357 ALABAMA +18 AT LSU
368 AIR FORCE +11.5 NOTRE DAME
380 OKLAHOMA STATE -16 BAYLOR
382 OKLAHOMA -9 TEXAS TECH
394 CONNECTICUT +8.5 PITTSBURGH
390 KANSAS STATE +17 TEXAS
397 OREGON +8 AT USC

[Dr Ray]

LT PROFITS:

2* Kansa State, Air Force, Oklahoma

[Dr Ray]

pointwise phone plays:

4 mia.fl. navy
3 haw. okla.st. flor.st. uconn. mich.st. nev. san jose st

[Dr Ray]

Joe Gavazzi GOY FSU