Dinger 2007 NFL Picks of the Week

[Dinger]

Like many, I have developed my own system crunching numbers into a computer. I develop my own line and look for best bets. If successful
I plan on entering the Las Vegas hilton contest next year.

Week 1
Dings Pick of the Week
Buffalo +3 4*

Best of the rest
NYJ +6.5 3*
Dal -5.5 2*
Bal +3 1*
GB +3 1*

[Dinger]

Week 2

3-2 last week

5* 0-0-0
4* 1-0-0
3* 0-1-0
2* 1-0-0
1* 1-1-0
total 3-2-0

This weeks picks
Mia +3.5 3*
AZ +3 2*
KC +12 2*
NE -3.5 1*
Ten +7 1*

[Dinger]

Week 3

Week two: 4-1

Season (7-3-0)
5* 0-0-0
4* 1-0-0
3* 0-2-0
2* 3-0-0
1* 3-1-0


Week Three Picks (Not feeling any strong plays this week...but here we go)

Buffalo +16.5 2*
Jacksonville +3.5 1*
Green Bay +4.5 1*
Atlanta +3.5 1*
Washington -3.5 1*

[Dinger]

Week 3 Change 1

Loooking at the injury report, I no longer like Green Bay.

Remove GB from my picks and add

Pittsburgh -9

[Dinger]

Week 4

Week Three: 2-3

Season (9-6-0)
5* 0-0-0
4* 1-0-0
3* 0-2-0
2* 3-1-0
1* 5-3-0

Week 4

Detroit +3 3*
St Louis +13 3*
Miami -4 2*
Minnesota +1.5 1*
Atlanta +3 1*

[Dinger]

Week 5

Week Four: 2-3

Season (11-9-0).....not so good
5* 0-0-0
4* 1-0-0
3* 1-3-0
2* 3-2-0
1* 6-4-0

Week 5

Buffalo +10 3*
Pittsburgh -6 2*
NY Jets +3.5 2*
San Diego +1.5 1*
Green Bay -3 1*

[Sovrano]

Just curious why you don't think the Giants will cover against the Jets?

[Boone Moone]

If I can jump in with 2-cents worth here, the 3 1/2 points looks good here for a 2-word reason......Tom Coughlin.............This is a celebrated rivalry that will be a home game for each............The Jets can't stop the run, but the intangibles might come into play here..........The Jets are not as bad as they have looked, and the Giants are not as good as they have looked (against Philly)......This will be a good game believe it or not...........And if the Jets are ever going to get off the floor, this is where they'll do it............I'm not saying to plunge in on these guys, but if I play this one, I'll play the Jets myself..............JMO..........Good Luck.

[Dinger]

Computer program

I developed my own system crunching numbers from many catagories.
(I.e strength of schedule, injuries, rushing/passing yards, turnovers, just to mention a few).

Using those factors it spits out a power rating that I use as my own point spread...to include home field adjustment.

My system actually shows NY Jets -1.5.
I don't think the sytem like the Jet's, but has the Giants rated very low.

Now I don't always agree with my computer system, but sticking with it.
For example it likes Buffalo +10. One reason is Dallas strength of Schedule
beating teams with a combined record 3-13. Personnely I think Dallas will blow them out, but sticking with the system I developed for the last 4 years. Every year I tweak it hopefully to find a majic potion.

[Sovrano]

That's cool. I didn't mean to be an ass. I just looked at your picks this week and was surprised because those are probably the hardest games to play this week.