Monday night

[JD9587]

well, i made the mistake of drinking alot at a local chuys while watching the patriots game. had them BIG at -5 and watched the clock tick away for a big loss. Came home on tilt and threw my balance at over 36 for tonights game. Any thoughts on the game? I also took Steelers -9 for 1 unit before sinking the rest into the over.

enjoy the game!

Jeff

[RAW]

I also like the over in tonight's game but, Sunday was bad, luckily the over in the Browns came in.

[dragon1952]

From USAToday

Baltimore:

* BAL are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
* Under is 20-8-3 in BAL last 31 road games.
* Under is 17-7-5 in BAL last 29 vs. AFC.

Pittsburgh:

* Under is 7-1 in PIT last 8 games in Week 9.
* PIT are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
* PIT are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Starting CB Samari Rolle out for the Ravens and their other starting CB McAllister is questionable to doubtful, depending on where you look.

Pittsburgh has the edge in both offensive categories and has one of the top running games. Roethisberger is ranked slightly ahead of Manning in QB ratings. Defenses are pretty close and both really good vs the run. Advantage to Pittsburgh because of Baltimore injuries in the secondary, although Baltimore does get to the QB better.
Big home field advantage for the Steelers as they have won all 3 home games by 21 or more. Baltimore won both meetings last year handily, so Pitt has revenge also, but the Steelers lead the series 13-9.
Baltimore coming off of a bye so could either be nice and rested or a little rusty? Who knows. Huge division game here though so both defenses will be fired up.
Baltimore has been pathetic ATS this year.
There is a little rain in the forecast for this evening, so likely a little wet out there.
Pittsburgh has the better QB, better running game, home field advantage, revenge, ATS advantage and injury edge. Defenses equal with Baltimore better at getting to the QB.
I like Pittsburgh and not sure Baltimore can score more than 13 or 14. Of course a special teams or defensive score can blow that and with a wet football anything likely to happen. The Steelers should be good for 24-27 or so.
Those 'under' stats above are kind of scary but if both CB's out for Baltimore that might help the cause for the over. If Pitt gets the passing game going it could loosen up things for the run.

[garister]

Steelers got smacked twice last year by these Damn Birds.
27-0 and then 31-7.
Blitzburg gets Revenge tonight.

[khandor]

I'm on Baltimore tonight +9.5.

[khandor]

If this driving rain keeps up ... it's gonna end up 13-9 ... for somebody!

[garister]

Looks like Pitt is getting that REVENGE!!! 28-0 and still 6 minutes to go in just the first half. F' them Birds

[dragon1952]

well, i made the mistake of drinking alot at a local chuys while watching the patriots game. had them BIG at -5 and watched the clock tick away for a big loss. Came home on tilt and threw my balance at over 36 for tonights game. Any thoughts on the game? I also took Steelers -9 for 1 unit before sinking the rest into the over.

enjoy the game!

Jeff

Congrats JD! The drunken stupor pays off big time

[jpehl]

nice call..... maybe i should hit the bottle before i pick.....
jpehl

[Boone Moone]

Laugh if you must, but I also tend to get luckier -- the more stupid and drunk I get.............I think it's because you're in a more relaxed state of mind and you're not thinking about your past losses and the shape of your wallet !! LOL.............You're thinking with true feelings, and the best lubricant for the truth has always been alcohol.

[JD9587]

weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee