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  • NFL - Facts and Stats only

    Facts - Figures - Simplistic - Truth - With no personnel opinions to cloud the issue.

    SanF is playing at Seattle this week.
    Using this game I show that:

    SanF gains 91 yds rush and Sea allows 102 yds rush = 193
    SanF gains 132 yds pass and Sea allows 231 yds pass = 363

    SanF's strength for this game is 556.

    Seattle gains 94 yds rush and SF allows 127 yrds rush = 221
    Seatle gains 243 yds pass and SF allows 209 yds pass = 452

    Seattle has an advantage in rushing and passing game.

    Seattle's strength for this game is 673.

    Now I compare the two strengths ---

    673 for home team
    556 for visiting team
    ---------------------------------
    My figure for this game is 117 points.

    This is a play for me this week as I use any advantage of 100 or more points on a home team to be a play for me. This is the second best point advantage this week.

    My top play this week will be Pitts over Cleveland.

    Cleveland 110 - 76 rush & 254 - 161rush = 186 + 415 = 601
    Pittsburgh 150 -135 rush & 201 - 276 pass =285 + 477 + 762

    Pitts has advantage in rushing and passing game.

    Difference is 158 in favor of Pitts.

    No other home team has an advantage of 100 or more points this week.

    10 home teams show an advantage this week of 1 to 158 points.

    4 visiting teams have higher figures than home teams with one being at 149 points.

    I have not backed any visiting team with a high rating yet but after looking back at my figures I see that they are at 6-4 with 1 push.

    This weeks game shows these figures:

    SanD 113 - 107 rush & 195 - 172 pass = 229 + 367 = 587
    Indy 133 - 125 rush & 248 - 230 pass= 258 + 478 = 736

    Indy has advantage in both rushing and passing game.

    Difference is 149 in favor of Indy.

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Will show the entire season's history from week 5 to week 9 in next post -

  • #2
    Seasons's results

    Facts and stats showing 100 points or more advantage.

    Week 5
    DEN AT +160 LINE +1 LOST 3-41 BAD START
    PATS AT +153 LINE -16 1/2 34-17 WON BY THE HOOK
    PACKS AT +121 LINE -3 20-27 LOST GAME

    RECORD 1-2

    WEEK 6
    BALT AT 143 LINE -10 22-3 WON EASY

    RECORD 2-2

    WEEK 7
    GIANTS AT 183 LINE -9 1/2 WON 33-15
    PHIL AT 134 LINE -5 1/2 LOST 16-19
    DALL AT 108 LINE 9 1/2 WON 24-14 WON BY HOOK

    RECORD 4-3

    WEEK 8
    PATS AT 131 LINE 14 1/2 WON 52-7 A WIPPIN

    RECORD 5-3

    WEEK 9
    PITTS AT 116 LINE -9 WON 38-7 EASY WIN

    RECORD 6-3

    WEEK 10
    PITTS AT 158 LINE -9 1/2
    SEAT AT 117 LINE -10

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