Thanks for Giving

[BuckOrTwo]

Looking for some info or thoughts into the turkey day trifecta...Would love to put a parlay together just to add some spice.My early thoughts are GB going in and doing damage to that horrible defence in detroit. Understanding Detroit usually saves the best for turkey day Im even leaning towrds the over. As far as the other two how could you not lay the 12 with Indy going into Atlanta. I just dont think Atlanta has any emotion nor anything to play for and Manning to langhorne is good for atleast 7-10 points. Kinda on the fence on the Dallas game. Like Dallas but.....these Jets might not win many more games but they have a way of hanging around.

[daddyd]

I always bet Dallas Detroit on turkey day will take Indy as well good luck to you.

[Boone Moone]

Myself, I like DALLAS , DETROIT , and the USC TROJANS for the trifecta.........I can't mess with the Colts at this stage........They're just not the same team without Marvin Harrison...........JMO........Good Luck Buck.

[Pegboy]

Make it a 4-teamer

USC minus anything under a touchdown. People are reading the standings and the polls too much. USC's only losses were with Booty either out or hurt. His experience plays a great part. ASU's only decent opponent that they beat was a Cal team that has already quit on the season.

[bluejeansguy]

Detroit and USC sounds like a good combo to me. Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

[cowboyfan2]

sorry for crashing this thread but the whole Detroit Thanksgiving thing drives me crazy....you know Detroit is 33-32-2 all-time on turkey day and the last 5 years they are 1-4 SU and ATS

the whole Lions being good on Thanksgiving is nonsense just like you NEVER bet against the Raiders on Monday night - you never bet against Denver at home....these myths may have been accurate at one point but years had gone by before the general public questioned it

anyways, sorry for the rant....i think GB crushes them....the other two games dont offer much value as far as i am concerned....too many points for the favs and not willing to back the dogs either

CF2

[wisconsin5473]

You don't see your Cowboys crushing the Jets like they did Tampa Bay last year, Especially off of a big Jets win?

[cowboyfan2]

wiscy...i dont know...

14 pts is a lot of lumber....now Cowboys are coming off a pretty lame effort against Wash and a short week as well...not only that but Cowboys may be looking ahead to following Thurs game vs GB which could decide home field for the playoffs (getting ahead of myself here a little)

i try not to put too much into the previous week's result but damn it if Jason Campbell of all people lights up the Cowboys secondary for 350yds and Santana Moss who hasn't done a thing all year has a huge day...i just dont know....i hear the Laverneus Coles is not going to play

so yeah, in the flip-flop NFL you may expect the Jets to come up lame and Dallas to have a big game....its just a lot of points and i would worry about backdoor cover...i feel better about laying 4 with GB

CF2

[woodee12]

yeah, that Detroit on Turkey thing does get old and I fell into it the past few years but this year I think they do keep it close. Think the line is right on but love getting the 3.5 at home with them epecially off a loss to the Giants.

If this were a sunday game and not turkey day, I'd still be on the Lions.

The other games don;t really interest me as much. See 2 of the favs covering, but don't know which ones. Right now its Dallas and Indy in my eyes.

[celticjm]

Green Bay Rolls

I love the Green Bay play.

The others are too close to call.

PS I like LSU on Friday to contain Mr. McFadden

[dragon1952]

Dallas is coming off of a trifecta of huge divisional/rivalry games (Philly, Giants, Redskins), on a short week now with, as someone mentioned, a possible look ahead to Green Bay next week. Green Bay is their only current roadblock to home-field advantage and first round bye in the playoffs. The Jets come in with a little mo after a huge win as a 10 pt dog vs the Steelers. The Jets racked up 151 yds rushing, although Clemmens completed less than half of his passes. Coles, who is doubtful, only had 1 catch but it was a biggee for 56 yds and a TD. If Dallas takes a little 'break' and the Jets put forth a similar effort, then 14 pts is too many. As well as Dallas has done, they still only have a 2 game lead over the Giants though. The Jets have nothing to lose which can be dangerous for the opposing team. Dallas is 7-3 ATS but only 3-2 ATS at home. The Jets are 1-3 ATS away.

Green Bay has a little more incentive to concentrate on the task at hand as they are playing in the division vs their closest threat. Their 3 game lead could dwindle to 2 with a loss. Plus, Detroit currently has the divisional game lead at 3-0 vs G.B.'s 2-1 record. Looking back over the past 3 years, the Pack are 5-1 vs Detroit (2-1 at Detroit). Head to head, the home team is 15-4-1 ATS in their last 20 meetings. The Packers are 8-1-1 ATS this year, 4-0 ATS away. The Lions are 3-1-1 ATS at home. Farve could have a big day here. The line is currently -3 @ -130 at sports.com.

Indianapolis is 3-0 vs the NFC South this year beating New Orleans 41-10, Tampa Bay 33-14 and Carolina 31-7. And they haven't even played the worst team yet. They'll be playing in their element (a dome) against one of the worst teams in the NFL. They do have a huge game coming up the following week vs division rival Jacksonville, who is only one game behind the Colts. Indianapolis is coming off of 2 lackluster efforts in a row following the draining New England experience. They need to suck it up and quit moping. They were lucky to not have lost a 3rd game in a row last week vs K.C. They need a good performance to gain some momentum going into that Jacksonville game. As bad as Atlanta has been they have only lost by more than 10 three times this year, however, the Colts will be the best they've faced so far. The Falcons lost two DT's last week in the blow-out loss to Tampa Bay and have had to bring in someone from the street and practice squad to shore up the roster. Indianapolis will probably be missing their biggest offensive star in WR Marvin Harrison and possibly his 'understudy' Anthony Gonzalez as well as arguably their biggest defensive force in Dwight Freeney. Indianapolis is 10-4 ATS their last 14 games overall. Atlanta is 2-7 ATS their last 9 home games.

If I had to pick right now I would lean towards,
Green Bay -3 (to go up 4 in the division. GB has better offense, better defense)
N.Y. Jets +14 (in thinking that for Dallas at this point, a win is a win. Small let down after 3 division games)
Indianapolis -12 (need a decent performance after the N.E. loss and two straight dismal showings. Atlanta hurting on 'D' line)


What does everyone else think?

[woodee12]

Like that Dallas angle you are hitting on and the Jets looked like a team on sunday against Pitts.

[cowboyfan2]

Patrick Crayton sprained ankle in Redskins game and hasn't practiced this week....short week with Jets so its possible that TO and Sam Hurd are starting WRs for this game

CF2

[hart attack]

got to love the colts as long as manning has langhorne

[BuckOrTwo]

Perfect

Thanks for the input all. Sounds good. Dragon seems to have a nice feel for both the Indy and the Dallas game and thanks for the breakdown Dragon. After some reading and some deliberation Im going with the Packers, which I still think is a gimme. I really feel like a battered Indy team is still 3 TD's better than a heartless Atlanta. This leaves the Dallas game. ughhhh....nevermind there..Going

Green Bay -3.5
Indy -12
GB / Detroit over the 46.5

Good luck to all and HAPPY T-DAY