Grind it Out-Baseball plays and discussion

[woodee12]

Not much of a card on Monday-Almost want to jump on the Nats since everyone is all over LAA.

May pass today but looking it over one more time.

[dragon1952]

Tuesday June 24

Angels RL -1.5 +105 @ Washington - (Garland vs Hill) Washington has been run-challenged, unless they happen to be playing Seattle. 18 runs in the past 7 games, or about 2.5 per game.

[woodee12]

Having a hard time fiding anything tonight too. Heres what I have so far--

Cinnci/Toronto OVER 8.5...Arroyo/Burnett...One of those that has under on it too, but think both of these starters are over guys lately.

Rockies +135 over Royals...Going against Greinke here with warming up rockies. Nice price for a decent team.

Cards +140 over Tigers...Have to take a shot at them at this price like Jeff said on the homepage. Looper is solid enough to go with too.

TB/Florida UNDER 9...Just have a feeling this one is 4-3 type of game.

Also looking at Houston, Atlanta and will probably play them later.

[woodee12]

Adding-

Braves -135 over Brewers

Mets/Indians Parlay for 1/2 unit

[woodee12]

flipping pathetic!

I feel like I nailed that TB/Fla game but then they go and score 5 runs in the last 2 innings.

Rockies...No comment.

[woodee12]

Going to go back on the Braves this afternoon at -135.

[woodee12]

Total play-

Dodgers/White Sox UNDER 8...Floyd/Stults...My favorite play on the board today. I like this Stults kid and Floyd has been solid too. Plus at Doger Stadium unders always fly well.

[dragon1952]

Tuesday recap -
Won with my only play yesterday, Angels -1.5 over Washington. I'll try the RL again today.

Wednesday June 25
Toronto RL -1.5 +115 vs Cincinnati - (Halladay 8-6, 2.90 vs Harang 3-10, 4.33) - Cincinnati dealing with some injuries and going with hard luck Aaron Harang. Toronto may be coming out of their funk with 22 runs last 2 games. Cincinnati has only averaged 2.5 runs per game last 10 and have scored 1 or less in half of those.

3 team parlay -
Colorado -116 @ Kansas City - (Cook 10-4, 3.57 vs Hochevar 4-5, 4.86) - Will look for Colorado with Aaron Cook going to avoid the sweep vs the hot Royals.
L.A. Angels -155 @ Washington - (Santana 9-3, 3.17 vs Redding 6-3, 4.12) - Angels and Santana over run-challenged Washington again.
Boston -144 vs Arizona - (Wakefield 4-5, 4.17 vs Johnson 4-5, 5.09) - Randy Johnson has got slammed for a total of 14 runs, 22 hits and 2 HR his last 2 starts over 12.1 innings and with only 4 K's.

[dragon1952]

Recap of yesterday-
Toronto loses 6-5 in 10 innings
parlay -
Boston wins 5-0
Angels lose in bottom of 9th 5-4
Colorado was never in it and loses 4-2

Thursday June 26
Texas +130 @ Houston - (Millwood 5-3, 4.61 vs Rodriguez 2-3, 2.81) - Not sure Houston has turned the corner on their recent slump even though they've won 3 of the last 5. All 3 wins were by a single run and they didn't score more than 4 in any of them. Now they appear to have some personnel issues. Not sure how that will affect things, if at all, but obviously some people are not real happy right now. Texas has played them competitively in inter-league play.
Phillies +163 @ Oakland - (Eaton 2-5, 4.94 vs Harden 4-0, 2.44) - Philly going through some hard times but they are a first place team and are still a dangerous team. Worth a shot at +163.
Minnesota +104 @ San Diego - (Baker 3-2, 3.47 vs Banks 2-1, 1.62) - Going with hot Twins who have won 8 in a row and 11 of 13. Padres have lost 9 of last 11.

Parlay -
Cleveland -156 vs San Francisco - (Lee (10-1, 2.45 vs Cain 4-5, 4.31)
Yankees -137 @ Pittsburgh - (Mussina 10-5, 3.93 vs Maholm 5-5, 4.41)
Twins +108 @ San Diego - (Baker 3-2, 3.47 vs Banks 2-1, 1.62)

[dragon1952]

typo on parlay - Twins +104, not +108

[dragon1952]

Recap of Thursday -
Went 1 and 2 with the straight picks but won the parlay, which was shortened to a 2-team parlay due to Yankees/Pirates being postponed (with the Yanks up 3-1)

Friday - June 27

Florida -128 vs Arizona - (Nolasco vs Owings) - Florida has won in 6 of Nolasco's last 7 starts and 3 in a row. Arizona 1-5 on current road trip and have lost in 5 of Owings last 7 starts.

Seattle +126 @ San Diego - (Washburn vs Wolf) - Two teams very familiar with each other as they share spring training sites. Have to go against the cold Padres who have now lost 5 in a row and 9 of 10.

St. Louis +111 @ Kansas City - (Piniero 2-3, 3.86 vs Meche 5-8, 4.91) - Pujols back in the lineup for the Cards so not good news for the Royals who are on fire. Not real hot on Meche but he has pitched better last few starts. Piniero has pitched very well lately and held KC to just 1 run on 7 hits over 7 innings 10 days ago.

Astros +141 vs Red Sox - (Runelvys Hernandez 0-0, 0.00 vs Matsuzaka 8-1, 3.46) - Astros have now won 4 of 6 and may be back on track. Hernandez has pitched well in Triple-A and Matsuzaka got shelled his 1st start off of the disabled list so he may not be in form yet? Don't know, but Red Sox pretty lame on the road and no DH tonite so a good home dog in the Astros possibly.


3-team parlay
Baltimore -136 @ Washington - (Cabrera 5-3, 4.46 vs Perez 2-5, 4.09) - Washington has won it's game for the week.
L.A. Angels -118 @ L.A. Dodgers - (Saunders 11-3, 3.03 vs Park 2-2, 2.83) - Hot Angels 5-1 on current inter-league road trip. Saunders has only given up 2 runs and 11 hits over his last 2 starts totaling 14 innings. This will only be the 3rd start for Chan-Ho this year as he has worked primarily out of the bullpen.
Detroit -120 vs Colorado - (Bonine 1-0, 5.84 vs Jimenez (2-7, 4.52) - Bottom line, Detroit is hot (4 -1 last 5 and 14-4 last 18), Rockies aren't (lost 4 in a row and 5 of 6).

[woodee12]

Missed Friday on posting plays but did manage to rack up a loser on the Cards as they cannot beat KC at all!

Going to go back with them today as a dog.

Also
Cubs/Sox OVER 9.5...Gallager is piss poor for the cubs.

[dragon1952]

Well, I've kind of been treading water here lately hovering around even for the past week with some real close losses. Split yesterday's straight bets coming out + $26, and lost on the parlay. Time for a good-luck streak.

Saturday June 28

Chicago Cubs +128 @ Chicago White Sox - (Gallagher 3-3, 3.97 vs Vazquez 7-6, 4.24) - Good underdog shot for the Cubs with Gallagher vs Vasquez. Vazquez has given up 18 runs, 12 BB, and 6 HR over his last 4 starts totaling 23 innings. Cubs have won 9 of the past 11 games in this series.

Baltimore -110 @ Washington - (Olson vs Lannan) - Washington has had exactly one 3 game winning streak in the past 52 games, and that was against Seattle. Lannan has probably been their most consistent starter, but unfortunately Washington does not produce much run support. They are last in the N.L. in team batting average, runs scored, hits, total bases, RBI and are 14th of 16 in HR, and have been out-scored by the largest margin with a deficit of 107 runs.
Minnesota -102 vs Milwaukee - The Twins are the hottest team in MLB and have now won 10 in a row. Livan Hernandez, after a series of shaky starts, has put together 2 solid outings in a row, both resulting in W's. Parra is 6-0 with 3 no-decisions in his last 9 starts thanks to some decent run support. But hard to pass up the hot Twins as a home dog.

[dragon1952]

Had to get that one in before the start of the Chicago game.

More ....

Saturday June 28

Tampa Bay -125 @ Pittsburgh - (Jackson 4-6, 4.35 vs Taubenheim 0-0, 0.00) - Almost a no-brainer taking the hot Rays who have won 4 in a row on the current road trip and 10 of their last 13 games. Especially considering that the Pirates (4-8 last 12 games) are going with Ty Taubeheim who has not proven a thing at the ML level (1-5, 5.40 career over 8 starts).

Florida +119 vs Arizona - (Miller vs Webb) - Nice home dog vs a still floundering Arizona team who has only won 3 of their last 12 games. Take away the 11 run explosion vs Oakland on the 18th and they've only averaged 1.9 runs per game over a 12 game period. After starting the season 9-0 (vs a weak schedule), Webb has gone 2-4 (one of those losses to Florida) with 1 no-decision over his last 7 starts that has seen his ERA jump a bit from 2.56 to 3.23.

3 team parlay -
Seattle/San Diego OV 8 runs -105 (Silva 3-9, 5.92 vs Baek 0-1, 5.40) - In his last 10 starts, totaling only 50 innings of work, Silva has given up 48 runs on 82 hits and has seen his ERA climb from 2.79 to 5.92. In his only start this year, Baek gave up 6 runs over 8 innings. Baek has worked primarily out of the bullpen, but he has faced the Mariners 4 times this year for a total of 16 innings and has given up 9 runs on 11 hits.
Tampa Bay -125 @ Pittsburgh - (see above)
Royals -114 vs St. Louis - (Davies 3-0, 3.12 vs Boggs 2-0, 5.40) - Boggs has been the recipient of decent run support obviously. The Cards have scored 24 runs in his 4 starts. He may be hard pressed to get that support vs Davies. Especially the way the Cards have been playing, and considering that the Royals are arguably the hottest team in MLB having won 11 out of their last 12 games.

[dragon1952]

Brutal day ...1 win and 2 very close ones that went the wrong way, which seems to be happening lately.

Sunday - June 29

Cards +107 @ Kansas City - Looper vs Bannister - Looper pitched a great game vs KC 10 days ago giving up only 1 run and 5 hits over 7 innings, but lost 3-2.....to Bannister who also pitched a pretty good game. Pujols did not play in that game.
Houston +160 vs Boston - Moehler vs Beckett - Big fat home dog who are starting to come around. Moehler has had two great outings in a row and 3 of 4.