Tweet
Saturday:
5* MINNESOTA +13.5 over California
5* ARKANSAS -2 over Georgia
5* IDAHO +3.5 over San Diego State
2* ARMY -8 over Ball State
2* MICHIGAN -24 over Eastern Michigan
2* SYRACUSE +3 over Northwestern
2* BOSTON COLLEGE +7 over Clemson
MINNESOTA over California: Minnesota has yet to really impress as they struggled with Syracuse and then barely got by Air Force at home. Now, they play their first highly touted opponent of the season in California. California is off consecutive blowout wins, but this is their first road game of the season after opening up with two at home. California has never been a very good road favorite, and that’s especially true in this case as they are 1-10 ATS last 11 in the non-conference road favorite role. Take the points with the Gophers.
IDAHO: San Diego State is just 6-14-2 ATS over the years as single digit away favorites, and Idaho qualifies in a very strong 58-22 ATS system that is detailed in our handicapping vault. New head coaches don’t tend to have much success as away favorites in college football, and I look for SDST to struggle here in their first game in that role this season.
ARMY: It’s not common that we find a team that is off a seemingly blowout loss to Duke come back and be favored the next week. That’s the case here as Army fell to Duke 35-19 last week, but that loss was not as bad as the score might indicate as it includes two late TD interception returns by Duke. Ball State is horrible at defending the run allowing North Texas 296 rushing yards in week 1, and even New Hampshire ran for more than 100 last week against them. Army should easily reach 350 on the ground in this game, and I actually expect well over 400 rushing . I’ll lay the points here with Army to bounce-back from that loss last week in a big way.
ARKANSAS: These two have not met since 2005, but it won’t be lost on the Arkansas players and alum that Georgia has taken five straight in this series dating back to 2000. Georgia’s defense has certainly been less than stellar so far allowing an average 30 pts per game through its first two games. Not surprisingly, they failed to cover both games. Georgia is just 5-15 ATS last 3 seaspns away versus conference opponents if they are not getting 3 or more points, and Arkansas qualifies in a strong 64-26-2 ATS system that is detailed in our vault. Take the points with the Hogs!
MICHIGAN: Everyone will be thinking letdown here for the Wolverines, but I don’t think so. Eastern Michigan is a horrible road dog at just 7-25 ATS since 1992, and Michigan only has Indiana on deck so it shouldn’t be a case where they are looking ahead. I should also point out that home teams that come in at 2-0 SU/ATS are 10-1 ATS since 1980 if they are playing a non-conference opponent that is off a loss where they won against-the-spread as a dog. With that and Eastern Michigan’s historic record in today’s road dog role, I have no problem laying this big number with the Wolverines.
SYRACUSE: I said it earlier when I played Syracuse week 1 versus Iowa….Syracuse will be much better this year and will be competitive. Well, they nearly beat Minnesota at home, and then stayed within the number at Penn State. Now, they face their third consecutive Big-10 opponent in Northwestern, and I think they get their first win. Northwestern is 2-0, but they struggled with Eastern Michigan, and Towson can’t really be considered a game. Syracuse is 12-3 ATS last 15 as non-conference home dogs, and Northwestern struggled with Duke last year in the role of road favorite (their only such non-conference road chalk game last two years). I’m more than happy to take points here with a hungry Cuse team before the home crowd.
BOSTON COLLEGE: Clemson comes in here favored by almost a touchdown off a loss last week to Georgia Tech. Note that they are just 7-18-3 ATS over the last few years as conference favorites off a straight-up conference loss. Additionally, they beat Boston College as dogs last year in Boston, but prior to that had been beaten to the tune of 0-3 both SU/ATS the three prior years, including twice here at home. Boston College is 8-2 ATS as conference road dogs since joining the ACC. Look for them to improve on that number here today.
5* MINNESOTA +13.5 over California
5* ARKANSAS -2 over Georgia
5* IDAHO +3.5 over San Diego State
2* ARMY -8 over Ball State
2* MICHIGAN -24 over Eastern Michigan
2* SYRACUSE +3 over Northwestern
2* BOSTON COLLEGE +7 over Clemson
MINNESOTA over California: Minnesota has yet to really impress as they struggled with Syracuse and then barely got by Air Force at home. Now, they play their first highly touted opponent of the season in California. California is off consecutive blowout wins, but this is their first road game of the season after opening up with two at home. California has never been a very good road favorite, and that’s especially true in this case as they are 1-10 ATS last 11 in the non-conference road favorite role. Take the points with the Gophers.
IDAHO: San Diego State is just 6-14-2 ATS over the years as single digit away favorites, and Idaho qualifies in a very strong 58-22 ATS system that is detailed in our handicapping vault. New head coaches don’t tend to have much success as away favorites in college football, and I look for SDST to struggle here in their first game in that role this season.
ARMY: It’s not common that we find a team that is off a seemingly blowout loss to Duke come back and be favored the next week. That’s the case here as Army fell to Duke 35-19 last week, but that loss was not as bad as the score might indicate as it includes two late TD interception returns by Duke. Ball State is horrible at defending the run allowing North Texas 296 rushing yards in week 1, and even New Hampshire ran for more than 100 last week against them. Army should easily reach 350 on the ground in this game, and I actually expect well over 400 rushing . I’ll lay the points here with Army to bounce-back from that loss last week in a big way.
ARKANSAS: These two have not met since 2005, but it won’t be lost on the Arkansas players and alum that Georgia has taken five straight in this series dating back to 2000. Georgia’s defense has certainly been less than stellar so far allowing an average 30 pts per game through its first two games. Not surprisingly, they failed to cover both games. Georgia is just 5-15 ATS last 3 seaspns away versus conference opponents if they are not getting 3 or more points, and Arkansas qualifies in a strong 64-26-2 ATS system that is detailed in our vault. Take the points with the Hogs!
MICHIGAN: Everyone will be thinking letdown here for the Wolverines, but I don’t think so. Eastern Michigan is a horrible road dog at just 7-25 ATS since 1992, and Michigan only has Indiana on deck so it shouldn’t be a case where they are looking ahead. I should also point out that home teams that come in at 2-0 SU/ATS are 10-1 ATS since 1980 if they are playing a non-conference opponent that is off a loss where they won against-the-spread as a dog. With that and Eastern Michigan’s historic record in today’s road dog role, I have no problem laying this big number with the Wolverines.
SYRACUSE: I said it earlier when I played Syracuse week 1 versus Iowa….Syracuse will be much better this year and will be competitive. Well, they nearly beat Minnesota at home, and then stayed within the number at Penn State. Now, they face their third consecutive Big-10 opponent in Northwestern, and I think they get their first win. Northwestern is 2-0, but they struggled with Eastern Michigan, and Towson can’t really be considered a game. Syracuse is 12-3 ATS last 15 as non-conference home dogs, and Northwestern struggled with Duke last year in the role of road favorite (their only such non-conference road chalk game last two years). I’m more than happy to take points here with a hungry Cuse team before the home crowd.
BOSTON COLLEGE: Clemson comes in here favored by almost a touchdown off a loss last week to Georgia Tech. Note that they are just 7-18-3 ATS over the last few years as conference favorites off a straight-up conference loss. Additionally, they beat Boston College as dogs last year in Boston, but prior to that had been beaten to the tune of 0-3 both SU/ATS the three prior years, including twice here at home. Boston College is 8-2 ATS as conference road dogs since joining the ACC. Look for them to improve on that number here today.