Idaho +15 at Nevada

[woodee12]

Whats up with this line?

Idaho is having a good season and is 6-0 ATS this year.

Saragin's ratings have them 74-67 over Nevada and SOS pretty equal. They are not usually that far off the vegas line.

What am I missing??

Isn't Idaho the play?

[RAW]

It's funny you mentioned this particular game Woodee. When my friend and I were first looking at the Saturday slate on Wednesday, this was the first game we talked about, and just as you said, we have Idaho winning outright and yet the line is heavily on Nevada and early services took Nevada. It will truely be an interesting game. I just thought is was cool, the first thing I thought was, "what's up with this line?" Have a good weekend.

[laxsfo99]

FWIW. Two weeks ago in the Bettorsworld Xbigpappa weekly college game I selected Idaho at +3 over San Jose St. In the real world, I had them at +4.5 and at game time the line had moved to +6. The points were not needed as they won outright 29 – 25 over San Jose St. Similar to this week's Nevada contest, Saragin had them at a higher rating than San Jose St.

Go figure - who moved the line – the squares or the sharps? Whatever, I don’t give a d@mm, I won.

This week, not going to touch this game, it looks to fishy.


laxsfo99

[woodee12]

maybe they are still flying under the rador for one more week.

Saragin is never really that far off from the line as they use his numbers for some lines. Hes not always right, but always pretty damn close, epecially as the weeks roll on.

I don't know...I may throw them in a my 1 big parlay that I usually do for the week for the hell of it just in case.

But still, one to watch and see whos right, and who is not on this Idaho team. I have cashed a few times on them already and thought the value had been sucked dry, and it may be true.

[dragon1952]

A few weeks ago, Sagarin had Hawaii rated way ahead of LA. Tech, like by around 10 pts or so, and the betting line had Hawaii actually getting 6 pts. Hawaii lost by 21. Careful using those ratings.

[RAW]

Screw it, I'm definitely playing on Idaho. If there is something that we are not seeing, so be it but, this is the biggest line difference for Saturday. I'm not a Wayne Root follower but I do use his logic in that when the line is going only one way and the services are on that side, it usually goes the other way. That's why Vegas makes the money and most betters lose. Besides it's only one game and I can't help but play it.

[samter]

I'm with Idaho also. Watched Idaho QB play and he is probably the best QB right now in WAC. Also dragon, hard to compare rating as Hawaii was 2-1 at the time playing pretty good defense prior to La. Tech. Lost by 1 at UNLV or would have been 3-0. Starting QB Alexander was one of top QB in nation passing and averaging 30+ points. Probably should have been rated there. Alexander went down early in the game and was replaced by 4th string QB Moniz.

[woodee12]

Yeah, I rarely if even take those rating to heart but sometimes check them out when I am really looking at a game.

I don't know guys, but its a line thats begging for Idaho money I think which is scary!


Anyone else like Navy +3 over Wake?

[Krichinsky]

Navy should win by TD+.

Also, I may be one of the few, but I think Oklahoma (-8) covers easily.

[garister]

Note on Navy

QB Dobbs is out, so it'll be a newbie running the option in the rain today, The line has flipped from Navy -3 to +3 even though 66% are on midshipmen.

[Krichinsky]

Proctor and gamble..... lol.

[Carpet]

70-45

You knew some thing was wrong good call
for alerting me woodee ty

I always will play the opposite side when smart
players talk about whats wrong with this line

A thank you woodee for your keen insight
of this hidden gem of a game

Carpet