I can't see Baltimore losing another one to Cinci...even in Cinci. Baltimore's D has been looking better the last couple weeks...although the offense has not been as dominant as earlier this year. I think they put it all together and take Cinci to the woodshed.
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Baltimore -3
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My strength of opponent system has Cincinnati winning 22-20.5
My points per yard system (combined with my ratings) has Batimore winning 23.5-23
My ratings have Baltimore at 98.5 Cincinnati at 94.5
After feeding the last 4 games info the computer comes out with the following ratings:
Baltimore 97
Cincinnati 99
Looks like the spread is about right.
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