Ok, books are not dumb. In the long run they will always beat guys like me.
I like to play against the grain a lot, epecially in high profile games like the playoffs. Public loves overs, i like unders myself.
Looking at the hockey and hoops games the last couple nights.
The bulls-heat. total is at 181. Majority is all over the 'over' and the under wins. I was on that too. but played the under in game 1 and lost.
thunder-mavs. game 1 total is at 193. Soars over by 40 points, i was on the under, lost that.
Hockey...last game in boston/tb. scored ended up 6-5 on a total of 5.5. The line tonight is 5.5 with the under getting the juice at -120. Why is the book tempting us to take the over after it sailed over by 5 last game?
Sneaky. I am going to be stupid and play the under. Books do not give out free money but 75%+ is on the over right now.
mavs-thunder. total is rising but is now at 201. Why would anyone take the under in this one? I might and I might not, but if there was ever a contrarian play this is it.
Although books need to balance action, these lines do not make sense. I see 75% ob the over in the nba game. Probably more sharp money to deal with if they raise it too much to cover the public, but i feel a 210-212 line is more realistic. That OVER is screaming "FREE MONEY" and that just not happen in situations like this.
So to sum it up, I will probably play both UNDERS tonight, and probably lose, but maybe I will be the smart one tonight?? I bet that one of the unders will hit.
Anyone want to set me straight on this and tlak me into the OVERS?
I like to play against the grain a lot, epecially in high profile games like the playoffs. Public loves overs, i like unders myself.
Looking at the hockey and hoops games the last couple nights.
The bulls-heat. total is at 181. Majority is all over the 'over' and the under wins. I was on that too. but played the under in game 1 and lost.
thunder-mavs. game 1 total is at 193. Soars over by 40 points, i was on the under, lost that.
Hockey...last game in boston/tb. scored ended up 6-5 on a total of 5.5. The line tonight is 5.5 with the under getting the juice at -120. Why is the book tempting us to take the over after it sailed over by 5 last game?
Sneaky. I am going to be stupid and play the under. Books do not give out free money but 75%+ is on the over right now.
mavs-thunder. total is rising but is now at 201. Why would anyone take the under in this one? I might and I might not, but if there was ever a contrarian play this is it.
Although books need to balance action, these lines do not make sense. I see 75% ob the over in the nba game. Probably more sharp money to deal with if they raise it too much to cover the public, but i feel a 210-212 line is more realistic. That OVER is screaming "FREE MONEY" and that just not happen in situations like this.
So to sum it up, I will probably play both UNDERS tonight, and probably lose, but maybe I will be the smart one tonight?? I bet that one of the unders will hit.
Anyone want to set me straight on this and tlak me into the OVERS?
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