Taxman's Take: Random Thoughts Week1 (Favorites) and Teaser Buster Stats

[Taxman]

Here is the breakdown of favorites (home & away) for the last 5 years:

2011 9-7 SU (7-4 HF; 2-3 RF) 7-9 ATS (5-6 HF; 2-3 RF) 13-2-1 O
2010 10-6 SU (7-1 HF; 3-5 RF) 9-7 ATS (6-2 HF; 3-5 RF) 5-10-1 O
2009 13-3 SU (9-3 HF; 4-0 RF) 8-7-1 ATS (5-6-1 HF; 3-1 RF) 8-8 O
2008 11-5 SU (7-2 HF; 4-3 RF) 10-6 ATS (6-3 HF; 4-3 RF) 7-9 O
2007 12-4 SU (9-3 HF; 3-1 RF) 9-5-2 ATS (7-3-2 HF; 2-2 RF) 5-11 O

Summary of L5Y:
FAVORITES 55-25 SU (68.75%) 43-34-3 ATS
HOME FAV 39-13 SU (75%) 29-20-3 ATS (59.18%)
ROAD FAV 16-12 SU (57.14%) 14-14 ATS

SINCE 1978
FAVORITES 337-177 SU (65.56%) 246-252-16 ATS
HOME FAV 221-113 SU (66.17%) 162-159-13 ATS
ROAD FAV 116-64 SU (64.44%) 84-93-3 ATS

As you can see the last 5 years, home favorites win 75%, which has been a historical improvement of the years, while road favorites have been losing more frequently of the last 5 years.

On to the so a TEASER of home favorites is the way to go!?
6 point teasers home favorites are 38-13-1
6.5 & 7 point teasers home favorites are 39-13
13.5 point teaser home favorites are 46-6 (your teaser would have lost in 2007 if you picked OAK & or STL, 2008 IND, 2009 HOU, and 2011 KC and/or CLE)

A bunch of number crunching, sorry!