RestEasy NFL Week 6

[resteasy]

Teasing this
Pitt+1, over 36.5

Do not trust the titans. They let the most points in the nfl and are 2nd worst on both sides of the ball on defense.

Steelers should win this but they are looking like that steeler team that wants to do just enough to win it. Grind out the game with long drives and settle for any points.

Which is why i take the teaser. I dont trust the steelers with that many points but thats a function of the steelers more than the titans.

Good luck!

[resteasy]

that 2nd half offense was exactly the steeler offense I expected. Didn't think their D would be good at all but also didn't expect chris johnson to do what he did nor did I expect mendenhall and linemen injuries.

Too bad that offense was too little too late. That last set of downs too many pass plays, playing for the field goal.... geez that blows.

[resteasy]

Another week in the NFL. Let's see what we can do.

Jets/Colts over 44
Andrew Luck is good. He'll get the ball to his receivers and the backup RB will move the chains on this terrible Jets defense. Don't let the monday night game fool you, they gave up 150yds on the ground and the texans came in with a conservative gameplan. Jets did play their hearts out though and they'll have to try to do that again. This time they'll get notable weapon Dustin Keller back (though colts are good against the TE) and WR Hill should help.
Colts also played their hearts out (as I thought they would last week) but now fly in a couple players short. Donald Brown and Mathis are notable losses. Still, I am not sure how the Colts travel as they've had only 1 away game so far @ chicago.

Colts +3.5
I think Luck is good enough and Jets are bad enough to keep it close or allow backdoor cover if need be.

Bengals -2
If the Browns win I would not at all be surprised. Haden coming back from suspension will give this defense a large boost and being at home are key factors. Still, I just can't pull the trigger on the browns to win outright. Bengals were due for a loss and had they not won last week I may be more tempted but not this week.

Tampa Bay -4
Bucs coming off a bye with their stout run D against the chiefs who's strength is their run and who will be led by backup QB Brady Quinn. The Chiefs have the pieces to be a good football team like they showed possible last year and it looked like maybe it was coming together last week. But cassell going down, crowd cheering, losing the close one and having to travel to a rested bucs I think it all takes a toll.

TB/KC over 40
I expect points, what's more to say?

Baltimore -3
I don't trust dallas and I do trust baltimore at home. If this were at cowboys I'd likely stay away but that's not how it is. Dallas is rested but could there be a worse place to have to travel to? (ok seattle but they don't have an offense)

Balt/Dallas over 44
Balitmore's D isn't what it used to be and I don't yet believe in the dallas D. They gave up a lot 27 to russell wilson and 20 to cutler (bears D scored 2 td's).

Miami -4
Steven Jackson is the Ram's offense and Miami's run defense is intense. Reggie Bush is playing hurt but he's effective and Tannehill is progressing each week. Rams just lost ammendola and even though they had 10 days to they couldn't grow a new receiving option. Plus this game away from st louis where I don't trust the rams traveling and I'll take the 4.

Vikings +1
I've seen that line somewhere but it's not showing up a lot of other places. RG3 looks to be a go. Ok. Shanahan will have to call a more protective gameplan. Designed RG3 runs shouldn't be quite so high especially considering the Viking's defense's strength is the run.
Christian Ponder is showing why the vikings too him and against this horrendous secondary of the redskins he'll have a very good day. Percy Harvin is playing outside himself, Kyle Rudolph is becoming a reliable tight end and the weaker part of this team at the moment surprisingly is the run game. But AP is still dangerous and can go off at any moment and you must gameplan for that. I don't see how the skins answer those threats.


Sunday Night

Houston -3
Because it's the popular choice.

haha no but really Cushing out for the year is very big. Still they have JJ Watt who is a beast. The offense is strong the defense is strong.
The pack is coming in with some injuries as well. Jennings still hampered by the hamstring and benson on IR. This packers team isn't the same dominant team of last year. It's hard to believe but they're not. They haven't shown what this texans team has shown so far this season.
I think they will have trouble with them as they had trouble with san fran and the result will be the houston texans winning by 3 or greater.

Monday Night

Denver Broncos pk
Neither team has proven much of anything. The broncos lost to 3 of the 4 best teams in the nfl. The chargers lost to 1 of the top 2 and a saints team celebrating a record setting evening. Neither have looked all that pretty.
Gaither out again and Rivers not completing the big plays downfield with the majority of his plays short dink and dunks. Gates isn't the domination he was and I think they miss Vjax and certainly Brown.
Peyton is playing better than we thought his reconstructed neck (or whatever) would allow him to. Thomas is an extremely dangerous big play option and decker a reliable option. 2 good te's and McGahee actually playing very well.
This is a game that with either team victorious provides no surprise. I lean broncos here.

Over 48
and the over as I think both defenses are pretty weak and both offenses will be able to score.

Teasers
bengals +8, Falcons +1, miami +6
Indy over 37, TB +3, dal/balt over 37
TB+3, Balt +4

[resteasy]

Like 2nd half Colts/Jets over 21

[resteasy]

sticking with that denver adding
Denver +8, over 40

props
Peyton Manning over 2tds
Decker over 5 receptions

I actually ended up playing pack +11, over last night as well as the over by itself and first half then had to deal with an emergency situation that kept me from posting it. Exhausted now hoping for an entertaining and distracting game.
Everyone is ok but was not fun.

Good luck guys, enjoy the game

[dragon1952]

I like the teaser. SD can be had through the air and I think Denver has a good chance at the SU win. Worst case no way SD wins easily.

[wisconsin5473]

I was hoping for a start like this. SD up 17-0. Denver has gotten themselves in a hole and half comeback in the 2nd half of 4 of their 5 games this year.

[resteasy]

well, special teams put them in the hole and denver not playing well. 2nd half denver tends to get things done.

2nd half den -4
over 22

[dragon1952]

woo hoo...never a doubt. Had the same teaser, took Den +6.5 when they were down 14-0 and then Den -5.5 2nd half.

[resteasy]

Good job dragon. It was such an easy call. I hit it pretty big for me. That first half by the chargers was an illusion by bad special teams and a miscommunication pick 6. Chargers had 1 good drive all game and it was obvious.
Denver 2nd half average 18.5 pts. Minimum 14pts. 2nd half team total or generally over is the play.

12-9-1