Widestrides NFL Picks Week 6

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8-8.5 last week on posted plays
37-38.5-1 for the season on posted plays. (49%)
13-12 Mock Hilton (52%)
25-25 Carib Contest (50%)
2-3 BW GOW Contest
Jets -3 vs Colts. Letdown for Colts and needed game for Jets. Jets played better vs Texans and now 2nd at home.

Bengals/Browns over 42.5. Check weather, but Browns have some holes in their D and they'll be airing it out playing catch up.


Dolphins -4 vs Rams. I'm finally a believer in the Fins. Rams not the same on the road.

Bucs -4 vs KC. Off a bye and desperate against the Chiefs and a replacement QB.

Cardinals -4 and over 43.5 vs Bills. Cards should bounce back vs the fading Bills. Both teams looking to get their offenses back on track.

Cowboys +3.5 at Ravens. Just expecting a close game and Cowboys off a bye and an embarrassing game worth the 3 and the free hook.

Cowboys/Ravens over 44. Banking on a close game, Ravens no-huddle and mistakes by both wacky QBs.

Lions +4 and over 47.5 at Eagles. Lions undisciplined and Stafford schizo, but they've had the bye week to get their heads on straight so we'll gamble with the points and expect a shootout.

Giants under 46 at SF. Big game. Conservative play calling on both sides. Or just high caliber D.

Packers/Texans under 48. Banking on a slow start and Texans D and loud crowd. Kubiak will sit on any lead.

Chargers +1 vs Broncos. SD D playing better and Broncos over rated and over valued because of Peyton. Chargers should be able to score vs Broncs D.

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Locking in:
Jets -3
Bengals/Browns over 42.5
Dolphins -4
Bucs -4
Cardinals -4 and over 43.5
Cowboys +3.5
Cowboys/Ravens over 44
Giants under 46
Seahawks +3.5
Packers/Texans under 48
Chargers +1
Chargers/Broncos under 49

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7-3 on the early games, but it will take a miracle to keep this GB game under. Unless the Texans just go for TDs and don't get 'em and GB runs it out.

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7-4 with Chargers +1 to go.

Hedging my under 49 with an over 47.

GL

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Adding:

Will either team score three unanswered times? No +150!

I see a back and forth kind of game. Can't see one team scoring three times without the other getting something. I'm surprised this is a + money bet. I doubt that it is free money!

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Oops! Well in 9 of the 13 games so far this week, there were 3 unanswered scores.

I still say this one tonight will be back and forth. Halftime can sometimes give a team the ball for two consecutive possessions, so that can be trouble. There is NO free money. +150 is about right.

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Well, that didn't take long. Chargers get 3 unanswered scores - all because the Broncs' Eric Decker trips over his feet and the 45 yard line! Gimme a break! Well, at least the Chargers bet looks pretty solid.

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Unreal meltdown by the Chargers. Gruden was ready to anoint them as bonafide SB contenders. Not after that performance. They showed they are not of that heart and caliber or intelligence.

Lost my last 3 to turn a nice 7-3 start into a ho-hum 7-6 weekend. Beats losing, but . . .

Yeah, it was a back and forth game alright - one big back and one big forth. 4 unanswered scores followed by 5 unanswered scores. No more prop bets.

[resteasy]

sorry you missed those props, get it all back next week.

One thing to note from that game especially that was noted before. Rivers does not throw a deep ball. He's I think 31st in yards per attempt. Maybe even 32nd after this weekend. They are an illusionist team. It's certainly noteworthy.

Good luck man and good job on picking the games.
GMEN!