Survivor Pool - Gun to your head

[wisconsin5473]

So, both of my picks made it through, with the Jets being the easiest game of the day. The total is now down to 400 left. I had planned to use both picks on New England this week. I am guessing that around 320 of the 400 will be on NE, so I am looking at options for 1 of my 2 picks. I am listing these in the order that I like them at this point. I am still waiting for injury reports and other info. Minn over Ariz, Oak over Jack, Buff over Tenn and Ind over Clev. What does anyone think on these games? Are any of them even worth the risk of 440,000. I usually don't like the risk with below mediocre teams like Oak, Buff and Indy. Is Minn still for real? All thoughts and advice are greatly appreciated.

[The Guesser]

Have you used SF yet? Unfortunately I have in my pools, but they would be the best non NE pick. After that Buff, Oak, Giants, Minn, Chic in that order.

[Taxman]

I am NFC North fan, IMO, the Vikings are mediocre and RG3 and the 'Skins showed that. They were driving 3 times early in the 1Q and only made 3 FGs. Arizona's D is much better than the 'Skins. Don't forget were a 3-13 team last year. Other than the SF game, they have not played anyone at home (Jacksonville is bad and Tennessee is bad on the road).

There has to be something better out there.

[wisconsin5473]

The Guesser, I agree,but this pool is different. I am saving SF for week 14. I don't know if you have looked ahead, but it is a tough week. In this pool if you aren't below a certain number of picks you have to start picking 2 teams in week 12. The number for week 14 is 120. We will probably be below it, but I am keeping SF for then. In previous years I have had to make 2 picks from week 12-17. Is anyone else still alive in their pools?

[resteasy]

I wouldn't pull that trigger on san fran just yet. Seem likely to win but divisional games can be scary. And the 9'ers are showing a weakness against good defenses.
Oak and buff seem like good candidates.
I do like minny over AZ so far. I think the vikes are better at home and not sure about az on the road. Can't compare what washington did at home with RG3 to how the vikes would play against the cards at home. That's not at all a good comparison.
Need to look at Skelton though here because Kolb may be out I think.

good luck

[wisconsin5473]

Yeah, not sure what is going on with Kolb yet, but I think Skelton is the better QB. I don't know how healthy he is yet. I didn't get to see Skelton play yesterday. I know he threw a pick in OT. My friend said he looked stiff. I don't know if that's from the injury or from coming in at the end of the game. If he is not that mobile then Minn could be a good pick against Ariz O line. Somebody liked them because the line opened at 4 and was immediately bet up to 6.

[wisconsin5473]

So, Kolb is out and Skelton is in. Is Skelton mobile enough after his injury to avoid Minn's defense? Ariz has given up 22 sacks in the last 3 games. I looked back to last year and Skelton finished Ariz's season 7-2. 4 of those games were OT wins at home. The road games were losses at SF and Cinn with 2 road wins against St Lou by 3 and Phil while they were in their downward spiral. Ariz is using their 3rd string running back, while Minn counters with APeterson. Spiller averaged 7 yds a carry in Ariz last week. Ariz is a little banged up on defense. I know Minn is a little overrated right now, but can Ariz overcome all of it's injuries right now? I need some more input on this game!!!

[Boone Moone]

The 49er's and Pats are the easiest choices this week of course......and they'll both win and cover........after that, it's a real grab bag on the games you mentioned.

The Vikings and Cardinals are both in-and-outers so far this year.....That's why the the spread is as tepid as it is despite Kolb being on the shelf for the next 5 or 6 games.......The Raiders play the good teams good, and the bad teams bad.....So they're also far from a lock........and Cleveland doesn't play the same football away from the Dog Pound as they do in it, and will most likely play without #1 RB Trent Richardson as well.

I guess Indy might be the least of all evils when all is said and done........I think they bounce back at home and handle the Browns in this spot...........Good Luck Wisky.

[dragon1952]

Minnesota has played very well at home (3-0) with a huge win over the 49ers. Even in their 2 losses they out-yarded and out-1st downed the Colts and Redskins. They are only giving up an avg of 313 ypg and the Cards are only averaging 283 ypg in offense and have no running game to speak of. Arizona has played well on defense and have capitalized on some TO's but they were a little lucky early on and are now on a 2 game slide where they've only scored 19 pts total. I don't think they beat the Vikings on the road. Of course there's the Skelton factor. Who knows what he might spark but they still don't have the running game and they've been sacked 28 times, the most in the NFL by far. Jared Allen may have a field day.