Widestrides NFL Picks Week 15

[widestrides]

6-6 last week
118-99 for the season on posted plays. (54.4%)
35.5-34.5 Mock Hilton (50%)
77-62-1 Carib Contest (55.4%)
7-6-1 BW GOW Contest (53.8%)

Teaser
Eagles +11 and under 50. Marvin Lewis likes to play it conservative and sit on leads.

Leans for this week
Giants/Falcons over 51
Giants +1.5
Browns +1 vs RGIII?
Rams -2.5 vs Viks
Saints -3.5 over Bucs
Bucs/Saints over 53
Denver -3 at Balty
Indy/Texans over 48
Seattle -5
Steelers -1 at Dallas (Bryant? Murray?)
Raiders -2.5 vs KC
Titans -1 vs Jets

[resteasy]

good luck man, hopefully he sits on it at 40 or higher though

yeah, looks like rg3 will play and dez will definitely and murray looks like he certainly will too.

Hope browns win

[widestrides]

Yeah, I sorta regretted this pick after making it, but I think all four sides have a chance to come in on the 6.5 teaser. Setting up that way, if the Eagles can get a backdoor. Marvin Lewis usually keeps that backdoor open.

[widestrides]

Already locked in:
Browns Even for 10 units b4 they ruled RGIII out. Will hedge out of most of that.
Rams -2.5 vs Viks. 2 units
Indy/Texans over 47. Bought the hook. 2 units
Seattle -4. Bought the hook. 2 units
Giants over 50. 2 units
Packers -2.5. 2 units.

Still to add?
Giants +2
Saints -3.5
Broncos if -2.5
Steelers -1.5. Why is this line going up?! Bryant is playing isn't he?
Raiders -3
Cards +7?
Niners +4.5

[resteasy]

good luck man.
what you mean you'll hedge out of browns even? That seems like a very good pick even if rg3 was playing. Likely it'll now be something like browns -3 or possibly higher. Nothing to hedge there.

and yes, Bryant said he was playing on friday or thursday. Though it's dumb for him and I doubt he'll be much more than a dummy target to account for.

[widestrides]

I booked 10 units on the Browns while a Book still had it at a pick. I like the pick, but not so much to bet 10 times my usual amount on it. I put that much on it to see if I can hit a middle with some of it after I get the Redskins +3 today for say 8 units. Then, if Browns win by 3, I win 10 units and push 8 units. Or if Browns can land on 1 or 2, I win 18 units! That Book STILL has Browns at a Pickem! Pinnacle and 5Dimes have it at 3!

[widestrides]

Already locked in:
Browns Even for 10 units b4 they ruled RGIII out. Will hedge out of most of that with Redskins +3.
Rams -2.5 vs Viks. 2 units
Indy/Texans over 47. Bought the hook. 2 units
Seattle -4. Bought the hook. 2 units
Giants over 50. 2 units
Packers -2.5. 2 units
Giants +2. 2 units

Still to add?
Broncos if -2.5
Steelers -1.5 Why is this line going up?! Bryant is playing isn't he?
Raiders -3
Saints -3.5?
Cards +7?
Niners +4.5?

[widestrides]

Just added the Redskins as it went to +3. For 8 units. Still have Browns at a pickem for 10 units. C'mon Browns by a Phil Dawson FG!

Damn, it went steaming to Redskins +3.5. That would have given me a REAL nice middle.

Damn, it went to +4!

[widestrides]

Added
Steelers -1 1 unit
Seattle -4 1 more unit

[widestrides]

Ugly early. Rallying again in the late games.

Add SF +10.5 and under 54 for 2 units.