Originally posted by wisconsin5473
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Shoebox betting system for the NHL during shortened season:
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At last, back down to earth as the Capitals and Penguins failed to deliver the goods, so we lose 241 dinero on Super Bowl Sunday.
The System is now 17-9, with a margin of +2135 won versus -1466 lost for +669 credits.
YT is 8-4 with NHL picks this season +735 earned v -476 down the crapper for a +259 credit winnings.
More picks to come!
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Welcome back!
Sorry but I was swamped with work this week and could not post updates, the good news there were only 2 plays this week; the bad news it was a split:
2/5 Toronto went on the road off a game and beat Washington, costing us -155 bones;
then
2/7 Buffalo covered against Montreal, cashing us in +100
The System is now 18-10, with a margin of 2235 won versus -1621 lost for +614 credits.
Since I did not make any official selections, YT remains 8-4 with NHL picks this season +735 earned v -476 down the crapper for a +259 credit winnings.
The only plays this weekend are Anaheim @ St. Louis, and on Sunday Edmonton @ Colorado and Tampa Bay @ New Jersey; no money lines have been released yet, so no official feared selections as of this post! Thanks for reading, and God Bless Hockey.
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Originally posted by Krichinsky View PostWhat a gutsy game by Anaheim tonight. They were cheated on
a few calls in Dallas last night, so it was a great effort to come
back tonight. MP let's see how it goes, but I think this system
really kicks in when we hit March.
The System is now 18-11, with a margin of 2235 won versus -1801 lost for +424 credits.
YT is now 8-5 with NHL picks this season +735 earned v -656 down the crapper for a +79 credit winnings. DAMMMN DOG!!!!
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Ok, MP and All, I went over the whole hockey season earlier this week( did I actually say that). I don't know much about hockey, but I am a numbers and trends guy, so stick with me while I explain all of this. Ok, the trend we have been looking at is away on the 2nd game of back to back. Going into the week it was 16-8. It went 2-1 this week and sits at 17-10. Looking closer at these games, if they away team won the 1st game of the B2B then this bet rises to 9-2, if they lost the first game then it is 8-8, so if you are following this thread and betting it you might want to bet only the 9-2 trend or bet more on those. Now the totals for these games started low scoring, but since Jan 25 the matches have scored more than 5 nine times, went under 5 once and landed on 5 eight times. Does anyone know if it is possible to buy a 1/2 goal for a total in hockey( like I said, don't know much about hockey), but if you can this is a pretty strong trend.
If the home team is the team on a B2B they have gone 8-6, so nothing special there, but the total has hit at a 10-4 pace which makes sense because the home team is the tired team.
If both teams are on a B2B the over has hit at a 4-1 pace which also makes sense because both defenses are tired. If the home team has been home 2 games in a row they are 2-0, if they are away to home then they are 1-2, so kind of a small sample to look at.
Now these are my favorites in almost any sport, the B2B against the same teams. It has happened twice this year. Carolina and Buff where Car won both games and Pho and Dall where they split. I do believe if you bet on the team that lost the first game you would come out a winner on the year. Also, it seems if the first game comes in under, the second comes in over, that is 2-0 so far.
So, with all of that said, there are a few plays today. I am betting these, but maybe you can just track them from here and see how they rate.
My bets for Sunday:
Pitt -165
Pitt over 5
Nash under
Buff under
Det under
Cls + 105
Again, I love trends, but track these trends and make your own choice. I think there is a lot of value in hockey this year as MP has explained. Good Luck everyone
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Originally posted by wisconsin5473 View PostOk, MP and All, I went over the whole hockey season earlier this week( did I actually say that). I don't know much about hockey, but I am a numbers and trends guy, so stick with me while I explain all of this. Ok, the trend we have been looking at is away on the 2nd game of back to back. Going into the week it was 16-8. It went 2-1 this week and sits at 17-10. Looking closer at these games, if they away team won the 1st game of the B2B then this bet rises to 9-2, if they lost the first game then it is 8-8, so if you are following this thread and betting it you might want to bet only the 9-2 trend or bet more on those. Now the totals for these games started low scoring, but since Jan 25 the matches have scored more than 5 nine times, went under 5 once and landed on 5 eight times. Does anyone know if it is possible to buy a 1/2 goal for a total in hockey( like I said, don't know much about hockey), but if you can this is a pretty strong trend.
If the home team is the team on a B2B they have gone 8-6, so nothing special there, but the total has hit at a 10-4 pace which makes sense because the home team is the tired team.
If both teams are on a B2B the over has hit at a 4-1 pace which also makes sense because both defenses are tired. If the home team has been home 2 games in a row they are 2-0, if they are away to home then they are 1-2, so kind of a small sample to look at.
Now these are my favorites in almost any sport, the B2B against the same teams. It has happened twice this year. Carolina and Buff where Car won both games and Pho and Dall where they split. I do believe if you bet on the team that lost the first game you would come out a winner on the year. Also, it seems if the first game comes in under, the second comes in over, that is 2-0 so far.
So, with all of that said, there are a few plays today. I am betting these, but maybe you can just track them from here and see how they rate.
My bets for Sunday:
Pitt -165
Pitt over 5
Nash under
Buff under
Det under
Cls + 105
Again, I love trends, but track these trends and make your own choice. I think there is a lot of value in hockey this year as MP has explained. Good Luck everyone
My suspicion this week is that because there were so much fewer plays, that the schedule may have eased up; in other words, is a B2B easier if it is proceeded by 3-4 days rest? What if I adjusted the system to play on ONLY teams who play a road B2B off a win in Game one, off only 2 days rest?
If it doesn't pan out, lets try one day . . . . the only danger, of course is in the NHL sometimes too much rest equals too much rust.
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There's another hockey system that worked for many years. I Haven't tracked it for several years. When I had first heard of it, I was naturally very skeptical. But It won for at least 5 years straight from the time I originally heard of it which was probably back in, maybe 2003 or so. I stopped tracking it.
The system was to simply bet against a team coming home from a road trip of 4 games or more.....bet against then their first game back.
Again, no idea how it's done lately, but if any of you numbers and trends guys wants to check........
At the very least, it's probably worth incorporating into your current hockey handicapping..........
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Originally posted by Bettorsworld View PostThere's another hockey system that worked for many years. I Haven't tracked it for several years. When I had first heard of it, I was naturally very skeptical. But It won for at least 5 years straight from the time I originally heard of it which was probably back in, maybe 2003 or so. I stopped tracking it.
The system was to simply bet against a team coming home from a road trip of 4 games or more.....bet against then their first game back.
Again, no idea how it's done lately, but if any of you numbers and trends guys wants to check........
At the very least, it's probably worth incorporating into your current hockey handicapping..........
It happened to the Hawks on Tuesday night, they lost in a shootout to Anaheim.
It is hard to understand why it happens, but even the announcers prior to the game was mentioning this issue.
I have the database on another hard drive. I'll bring it back and post soon.
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