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Recap of Monday - Went 1-2 in the straight bets for -100. I hit the 2-team parlay for +120.
Tuesday - Aug 12
straight bets
Pittsburgh -105 vs Cincinnati - (Karstens 2-0, 0.00 vs Volquez 13-5, 2.93) - Karstens hasn't given up a single run in his only 2 starts so far, giving up just 7 hits in 15 innings. Last start was a complete game 2 hit shutout at Arizona. This will be his first home start. Volquez has hit a rough spot since his All-Star game appearance, as have the Reds. The Reds have won just twice in their last 16 games and are just 1-3 in Volquez' last 4 starts, where he has given up 19 runs (15 earned) on 30 hits, including 5 HR, over just 20.1 innings.
Minnesota +123 vs NY Yankees - (Blackburn 9-6, 3.60 vs Mussina 15-7, 3.27) Blackburn is 6-2 with a 2.54 ERA in 10 home starts this year. The Twins have won in 8 of those 10 home starts. With last night's 4-0 victory, the Twins are now 3-2 vs the Yankees at home this year. The Twins are 21-5 in their last 26 home games overall. Blackburn has faced the Yankees once this year taking the road loss and giving up just 3 earned runs in 6 innings, but a couple of errors and shoddy relief pitching made the result look a lot worse. The Yankees are just 2-6 on their current road trip and have lost the last 4 in a row. Mussina is 6-1 with a 2.94 ERA on the road and 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA vs the Twins this year. The Yankees are 6-2 in all of his road starts combined. I'll still take a shot with the home dog Twins based on their recent home performance and stellar 40-21 home record.
Dodgers +103 vs Phillies - (Kershaw 2-3, 3.71 vs Hamels 9-8, 3.35) - Kershaw may finally be living up to expectations as he has gone 2-0 with a 0.47 ERA over his last 3 starts, giving up just 1 run total on 11 hits and with 15 K's over 20 innings of work. The Dodgers are 8-3 in their last 11 home games and 3-1 in home games since acquiring Manny Ramirez. Can't really say much bad about Hamels or the Phillies. I just like the new-look Dodgers today, as home dogs, with the way Kershaw has pitched lately.
2-team parlay
Tampa Bay -139 @ Oakland - (Kazmir 8-5, 3.20 vs Gonzalez 0-1, 6.00) Oakland is an astoundingly horrible 3-21 in their last 24 games, and 1-12 in their last 13. Kazmir is 2-0 vs Oakland this year with a miniscule 0.64 ERA, going 14 innings and giving up just a single run on 6 total hits and with 17 K's. Gio Gonzalez going for Oakland in just his 2nd career start. In his first start, vs Toronto last week, he took the 5-1 loss giving up 4 runs on 4 hits over 6 innings, the killer being a 3 run HR by Rod Barajas in the 1st inning. Oakland certainly can't lose every time out, but considering Kazmir's dominance of the A's this year I gotta go with the Rays, even with a couple starters out.
Milwaukee -113 @ San Diego - (Suppan 7-7, 4.70 vs Baek 4-5, 4.90) - Baek is 0-6-1 with a 6.33 ERA in 7 home starts where opposing hitters are batting .310 against him. Milwaukee has won 6 games in a row and are 13-3 in their last 16 road games. Suppan is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last 2 road starts.
Leans -
Angels/Mariners UN 9.5
Yankees/Twins UN 8.5
Pittsburgh/Cincinnati UN 8.5
Tuesday - Aug 12
straight bets
Pittsburgh -105 vs Cincinnati - (Karstens 2-0, 0.00 vs Volquez 13-5, 2.93) - Karstens hasn't given up a single run in his only 2 starts so far, giving up just 7 hits in 15 innings. Last start was a complete game 2 hit shutout at Arizona. This will be his first home start. Volquez has hit a rough spot since his All-Star game appearance, as have the Reds. The Reds have won just twice in their last 16 games and are just 1-3 in Volquez' last 4 starts, where he has given up 19 runs (15 earned) on 30 hits, including 5 HR, over just 20.1 innings.
Minnesota +123 vs NY Yankees - (Blackburn 9-6, 3.60 vs Mussina 15-7, 3.27) Blackburn is 6-2 with a 2.54 ERA in 10 home starts this year. The Twins have won in 8 of those 10 home starts. With last night's 4-0 victory, the Twins are now 3-2 vs the Yankees at home this year. The Twins are 21-5 in their last 26 home games overall. Blackburn has faced the Yankees once this year taking the road loss and giving up just 3 earned runs in 6 innings, but a couple of errors and shoddy relief pitching made the result look a lot worse. The Yankees are just 2-6 on their current road trip and have lost the last 4 in a row. Mussina is 6-1 with a 2.94 ERA on the road and 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA vs the Twins this year. The Yankees are 6-2 in all of his road starts combined. I'll still take a shot with the home dog Twins based on their recent home performance and stellar 40-21 home record.
Dodgers +103 vs Phillies - (Kershaw 2-3, 3.71 vs Hamels 9-8, 3.35) - Kershaw may finally be living up to expectations as he has gone 2-0 with a 0.47 ERA over his last 3 starts, giving up just 1 run total on 11 hits and with 15 K's over 20 innings of work. The Dodgers are 8-3 in their last 11 home games and 3-1 in home games since acquiring Manny Ramirez. Can't really say much bad about Hamels or the Phillies. I just like the new-look Dodgers today, as home dogs, with the way Kershaw has pitched lately.
2-team parlay
Tampa Bay -139 @ Oakland - (Kazmir 8-5, 3.20 vs Gonzalez 0-1, 6.00) Oakland is an astoundingly horrible 3-21 in their last 24 games, and 1-12 in their last 13. Kazmir is 2-0 vs Oakland this year with a miniscule 0.64 ERA, going 14 innings and giving up just a single run on 6 total hits and with 17 K's. Gio Gonzalez going for Oakland in just his 2nd career start. In his first start, vs Toronto last week, he took the 5-1 loss giving up 4 runs on 4 hits over 6 innings, the killer being a 3 run HR by Rod Barajas in the 1st inning. Oakland certainly can't lose every time out, but considering Kazmir's dominance of the A's this year I gotta go with the Rays, even with a couple starters out.
Milwaukee -113 @ San Diego - (Suppan 7-7, 4.70 vs Baek 4-5, 4.90) - Baek is 0-6-1 with a 6.33 ERA in 7 home starts where opposing hitters are batting .310 against him. Milwaukee has won 6 games in a row and are 13-3 in their last 16 road games. Suppan is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last 2 road starts.
Leans -
Angels/Mariners UN 9.5
Yankees/Twins UN 8.5
Pittsburgh/Cincinnati UN 8.5
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