2015 – Bettors World

Current NFC South Odds

Bettors World — Wed, 01 Apr 2015 16:26:00 +0000

Current

NFC South

Odds with Analysis

2015

The division with the worst odds to have a team win the Super Bowl? The NFC South. That’s what happens the year after no one in the division had a winning record. The Panthers made it to the playoffs (hosting and winning one Game) and they finished 7-8-1 in the regular season. Because of the recent pedigree of the Saints, they are oNCe again favorites for 2015, but not by much.

Odds to win NFC South

courtesy of 5dimes

New Orleans Saints +205
Atlanta Falcons +220
Carolina Panthers +230
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +775

Even with how disappointing the season went for the New Orleans Saints in 2014, they still finished just a half Game out of first place in the division, despite allowing 424 points. They’ll try and turn things around this season, but they didn’t make too many notable moves on the defensive side. The Saints added veteran depth for the most part, while guys like rookie Stephone Anthony and Brandon Browner are expected to go right into the starting lineup. A big problem remains with injuries, as Jairus Byrd is still out due to an issue unrelated to last year’s knee injury. This group may be improved, but don’t expect them to make a huge jump. The offense should keep on scoring with Drew Brees at the helm, but they look a little different. They added some bulk on the line in the offseason with Max Unger and Andrus Peat and may take up more of a running approach, more so than in the past. Brees won’t have Jimmy Graham to throw to and Marques Colston is still starting despite being 32 and looking beat up the last couple years. The pieces in the offense may be different, but it’s never safe to underestimate Drew Brees.

The Atlanta Falcons are an interesting prospect to win the division with new head coach Dan Quinn leading the way. With Brees getting older, Matt Ryan is slowly becoming the best quarterback in the division, but that won’t happen until the Falcons can actually with the South consistently. Julio Jones and Roddy White are still there for Ryan, while they also added Leonard Hankerson, Justin Hardy, Jacob Tamme and Tony Moeaki in the offseason. Throw in Tevin Coleman at running back and as long as these guys stay healthy (Coleman and Devonta Freeman started camp with hamstring issues), this could end up being one of Ryan’s best seasons, with new coordinator Kyle Shanahan. The line should also be better than a season ago, as almost every guy got hurt last year. And with Quinn taking over, there is a different air about the defense, although much like the Saints, still lack in plenty of areas. The biggest differeNCe may be at end where they drafted Vic Beasley and added Adrian Clayborn and O’Brien SChofield. New linebackers Justin Durant and Brooks Reed are also expected to be starters. The problem for the Falcons, much like in 2014, is that a lot of these guys are injury-prone. But if they can stay relatively healthy this season, this team could easily reach 10 wins.

The same might not be able to be said about the Carolina Panthers, although their odds are almost the same as the Saints and Falcons. Their defense took a big step back last year and that was the main reason for them being a worse team, though they still won the division. The Panthers still have the same front seven intact, while adding Shaq Thompson and David Mayo in the draft. The secondary should be improved though if Charles Tillman can make it through the whole season and a couple other guys improving. The biggest issue may be on offense oNCe again where the line didn’t get that much of an upgrade outside of Michael Oher. Cam Newton got beat up through the 2014 season and that could be the case again. The loss of Kelvin Benjamin is huge and Greg Olsen now becomes Newton’s top target, while Devin FuNChess, Jerricho Cotchery and Tedd Ginn are fighting for time at the receiver slots. Going into the season with Jonathan Stewart as the starting RB doesn’t seem like a good idea either, as he rarely has been through a full season even when splitting time with DeAngelo Williams. All of these teams should be better than a year ago, but for the Panthers to win the division a third straight year, the offense will need to take a step forward under Newton.

There isn’t much to say about the Tampa Bay Buccaneers after a terrible 2-14 season. They were expected to be better last year, but that wasn’t the case and now they’ll have Jameis Winston at quarterback, who will likely have his growing pains. While Winston has plenty of options and a slew of mediocre multi-dimensional running backs, the offensive line will still be a problem and that’s never good for a rookie quarterback. The defense has new faces all over the place, but that doesn’t always mean a good thing. Still, it would be a surprise if this group wasn’t better than a year ago, especially if Gerald McCoy can stay healthy the entire season. However, the Bucs are still a long shot to win the division.

The odds for the top three teams are very similar this year for good reason after what happened last year. The Falcons may be the best play among them with a new coach and improvement on both sides of the ball. Ultimately, the Saints and Panthers have more question marks than the Falcons, which may be the only way to separate these teams.

Week 2 NFL Picks

Bettors World — Wed, 01 Apr 2015 16:26:00 +0000

Week Two

NFL Free

Picks and Analysis

9/20/15

We prefer to wait until week 5 before we get involved with the NFL in any serious way. However, in the spirit of the new NFL season, we’ll go Game by Game and offer an opinion on each.

Texans +3 over Panthers – Like the move from Hoyer to Mallett. In a Game that figures to see both defenses shine, we prefer to be taking points.

Bucs +10 over Saints – HUGE QB mismatch here which will be enough for a Saints win. However, laying double digits in week 2 in the NFL isn’t advised. Saints lines continue to be iNFLAted as a result of who they USED to be.

Steelers -6 over 49ers – 49ers appear headed in the wrong direction PLUS they have to travel cross country after playing Monday Night while the Steelers have had 10 days rest. If we used only the last 7 Games worth of data going back to last season, Our model has the Steelers on top by two TD’s.

Lions +2.5 over Vikings – Vikings in off a 3 point offensive effort going up against a Lions offense that has no trouble finding the end zone. Feeling here is the Lions are the better team.

Patriots -1 over Bills – Hate to be on the same side as the masses as 70 of the wagers coming in on this one are on the Pats, but those 70% may be right. Andrew LUck came up short last week but he doesn’t have the supporting cast Brady does. Prefer Tom Brady over Tyrod Taylor.

Cardinals -1 over Bears – Simply feel the Cards are the better team in this match up and at -1, we’re simply being asked to pick a straight up winner.

Browns +2 over Titans – Classic case of the public overreacting to last weeks results as the Browns fumbles and bumbles to a loss in New York while the Titans looked like Super Bowl Contenders. As a result, 85% of the wagers being taken here are on the Titans. What usually happens in these scenarios? The team drawing the 15% of the action wins!

Bengals -3 over Chargers – Two teams in off spectacular week one results should make this one of the better Games of the week. It’s a rematch of a 2014 playoff Game that saw the Chargers come away with a win. This time around, we’ll side with Cinci and the home field edge.

Rams -3.5 over Redskins – Really like Kirk Cousins at QB for the Skins. But like Nick Foles behind center in St Louis even more. Rams better on BOTH sides of the ball.

Giants -2.5 over Falcons – Extemely important for the Giants to pick themselves up off the floor after last weeks disastor in Dallas. Failing to do so could result in the season getting away. They get it dome at home here, as they did a year ago in the same spot.

Ravens -6 over Raiders – Only way to go after each teams openers.

Jags +6 over Dolphins – Very weak call here simply going against the public who is all over the Dolphins.

Cowboys +4,5 over Eagles – In Games that could go either way, we’ll fare better in the long run if we’re taking rather than laying, which is what we’ll do here.

Packers -3.5 over Seahawks – We’re not big on revenge Games in the NFL. Revenge is an angle that simply works better in with college kids. However, this is a spot where it could work in the NFL as the Packers desperately want this one after dropping two to Seattle a year ago. A win here could be a defining moment for the 2015 Pack.

NFC West Preview Odds

Bettors World — Wed, 01 Apr 2015 16:26:00 +0000

NFC West

Preview

Current Odds

2015

The odds for the NFC West have changed drastically since what they were at last season. The reasoning behind that is San Francisco losing about half of their team. After being at +155 last year, San Francisco is at +2000 to win the division, which in turn has pushed the Seahawks all the way to -300. Can any of these teams stop Seattle’s reign in the West?

Odds to win NFC West

courtesy of Sportsbook.ag

Seattle Seahawks -300
Arizona Cardinals +440
St. Louis Rams +950
San Francisco 49ers +2000

There isn’t much of a surprise in the division odds as the Seattle Seahawks have been one of the best teams in the entire league the last few seasons. And while they lost some players, still have the bulk of their Super Bowl rosters intact, so not much of a drop-off is expected after a 12-4 campaign. Russell Wilson signed a new contract and he’ll have Jimmy Graham to throw to now in addition to Doug Baldwin and Jermaine Kearse still there. Marshawn LyNCh is getting older, but continues to beast through defensive lines, although a weaker offensive line might be troublesome. The issue for the Seahawks these days is depth on the defensive side. Not to mention Earl Thomas still isn’t healthy, and he may not even be ready for Week 1. Studs like Bobby Wagner, Richard Sherman and Michael Bennett still lead the group, but if injuries come about, there could be some issues.

Maybe the biggest news for the Arizona Cardinals in the offseason was the loss of defensive coordinator Todd Bowles to the Jets. Bowles was a huge part of this defense’s success so it’ll be interesting to see how things turn out this year with mostly the same roster minus Darnell Dockett. They’ll need to find ways to get to opposing QBs other than Calais Campbell and the secondary has to play better than in 2014, which means Patrick Peterson needs to get back to his former self. Most of the offense relies on the health of Carson Palmer because they didn’t sign anyone else worthwhile at quarterback. Other than that, the Cards boosted their offensive line and they’ll try and be a better team running the ball with the help of rookie David Johnson and veteran Chris Johnson. The Cardinals can compete with the Seahawks, but the defense can’t take a step back and Palmer has to stay healthy. Neither of those things are givens.

The St. Louis Rams could be a sneaky option this year, but that could’ve been said the past few years as well. While their front Four is probably the best in the league, they didn’t do anything to help a struggling secondary. But as long as the secondary is competent, the line will impose fear into offenses on every down. The Rams are still a mediocre to bad team on offense and Nick Foles isn’t expected to change that. If Todd Gurley can get back to full health, that may change this team’s outlook, but the passing Game will still be a problem. They didn’t add any new receivers and unless Foles can stay healthy and is suddenly a top-15 quarterback, not much should change with this offense besides a slightly better running Game with Gurley. Their odds are actually worse than they were a year ago when they were +850.

The San Francisco 49ers had the most turnover in the league and their odds to win the AFC West are an incredible +2000. The defense will still be solid, but in no way a dominant group as in year’s past. If Navorro Bowman can come in and be healthy, it would be a huge boost for this team to be somewhat competitive in the division. Of course, there’s also the possibility that Colin Kaepernick improves and this offense becomes elite, but that’s a long shot. Carlos Hyde and Reggie Bush step into bigger roles at running back, while Torrey Smith is there instead of Michael Crabtree. After Kaepernick went for only 20 total TDs and 10 interceptions last season, he has a big task on his hands. With a weaker defense, the success of the 49ers is on his shoulders.

It’s hard to see the Seahawks giving up this division, as it seems like every team took a hit in the offseason. The Seahawks may have depth issues, but they still have the best overall team and top players. Sure, the Cardinals, Rams and 49ers are all solid teams, but will it be enough to overtake the Seahawks? That looks unlikely at this point, which is why Seattle is a cool -300.

Week 3 NFL Free Picks

Bettors World — Wed, 01 Apr 2015 16:26:00 +0000

Week 3

NFL Free Picks

With Analysis

9/27/15

Here we take a look at the Week 3 NFL matchups with a prediction on each Game. We’d like to remind you that Our methods require at least 4 weeks of data before we can have full confideNCe in Our approach. Early season picks combine observations from the first couple of weeks along with results from a year ago.

Rams +1.5 over Steelers – 85% of the wagers taken on this Game have come in on the Steelers yet the line as moved the OTHER way. Generally a good sign that the “sharp” action is on the Rams.

Chargers/Vikings UNDER 44.5 – Heavy doses of Adrian Peterson may be enough to keep this one under the total.

Texans -6.5 over Bucs – As long as the number is reasonable we’re ready to bet against Winston over and over again this year. Each week he’ll be seeing things from NFL defenses he’s never seen before and should find the going quite difficult week in and week out. (true for any rookie QB).

Jets/Eagles UNDER 45.5 – Jets defense has given up 10 and 7 points in their two Games thus far while the Eagles offense can’t seem to get on track. More of the same here.

Panthers over Saints – This Game off the board in most spots due to the status of Drew Brees. Might not matther whether he plays or not though. Saints on the way down, Willing to lay -3.

Jags +13.5 over Pats – Pats seem content to simply out Scoreopponents this year. That gets the “W” and gets them where they want to go, however it also leaves the back door open when laying double digits.

BeGAls +2.5 over Ravens – Many are suggesting it’s do or die already for the 0-2 Ravens. Perhaps. But the same can be said for the Bengals in general. Another one and done playoff appearaNCe this year simply won’t cut it and while it’s still early, no better way to kickstart the 2015-2016 season than by putting a few nails in a division rivals coffin.

Raiders +4 over Browns – Not ready to lay points with the Browns. This one figures to be a tight Game that goes to the wire, in which case, the +4 could loom large.

Colts -3 over Titans – Mariota certainly provong his worth thus far and by the looks of it, will be a super star in this league for many years to come. BUT, there HAS to be growing pains, so why not this week.

Cowboys +1 over Falcons – No Romo, so, Falcs favored and 78% of the action on this one is coming in on Atlanta. But football is played by 11 guys on each side of the line, not 1, and often times the loss of a starting QB creates tremendous value.

Cardinals -6.5 over 49ers – A year ago the Cards won 23-14 at home and lost by a FG at SF. This would appear to be a case of two teams heading in opposite directions so we’ll call for a repeat of last years results in Arizona. Not crazy about laying almost a TD but think Arizona is the side here.

Bears +14.5 over Seahawks – Taking more than two TD’s in an NFL Game is pretty much an automatic for us. Like it even more due to the fact that there’s one way action on the Seahawks and the line has moved the OTHER way.

Bills +3 over Dolphins – We didn’t buy in like the rest of the world on the Bills last week. But we’ll bite here. Bills own the better defense and the better running Game and face a Dolphins offense who can’t get going.

Lions +3 over Broncos – Another spot where we’ll go against the public, who LOVES to bet on Peyton Manning. This Lions team was an 11-5 playoff team a year ago and now faces the possibility of an 0-3 start. Expect their top effort of the year Sunday and a home win.

NFL Week 11 Picks

Bettors World — Wed, 01 Apr 2015 16:26:00 +0000

NFL

Week 11

Picks

against the Spread

11/22/15

Panthers -7.5 over Skins – Very tempting to jump on the Skins bandwagon after last weeks point outburst. But that was against the defenseless Saints. This is the undefeated Panthers. Percentages suggest that if you can pick the straight up winner of an NFL Game, you’ll likely get the cover as well. Gotta side with the Panthers.

Raiders +1 over Lions – Perfect spot for the Lions to get back to their losing ways after HUGE upset of Packers last week.

Cowboys -1 over Dolphins – Romo is back and a win keeps the Cowboys mathematically alive for the playoffs.

Colts +4.5 over Falcons – At beginning of year, the Falcons were the talk of the NFL. Now, they have lost 3 of 4 and those were to the Saints, Bucs and 49ers! Colts have won with Hasslebeck.

Rams +3 -120 over Ravens – Ravens one of the worst in turnover margin at -10. Rams own the better defense in this one.

Texans +3 over Jets – Just don’t trust the Jets as a road fav. Texans still alive for playoffs. Tight.

Vikings pk over Packers – Packers on 3 Game losing streak and only managed 16 points against Lions at home. Now they face one of the best defenses in the NFL.

Eagles -5.5 over Bucs – Eagles defensive yards per point number of 17.6 places them 6th overall in the NFL in that category. Lions def ypp number of 12.7 is DEAD LAST in the NFL. That’s enough for us here.

Bears +1.5 over Broncos – This Game comes up as a coin flip sing Our numbers. So, oddsmakers have it right. We’ll side with the home team who also has the better QB at this point.

Bengals +4.5 over Cardinals – Our numbers point towards the Bengals across the board in this one, winning straight up. Huge bouNCeback Game for Cinci if they are indeed for real. This would have to be Our top play of the week in the NFL.

Sea/SF UNDER 40 – Seahawks far from their prime, However, they face the WORST offense in the entire NFL in the 49ers this week. Under seems logical.

KC/SD OVER 45 – Not interested in a side here and frankly, not really interested in the total. Our model suggest this one goes over, so we’ll take a stab at it.

Week 3 NFL Picks

Bettors World — Wed, 01 Apr 2015 16:26:00 +0000

Week 3

NFL Picks

against the Spread

with Analysis

10/4/15

Here we take a look at Week 3 in the NFL. We oNCe again urge you to use caution with these picks. After this week, we will have 4 weeks in the books which means we will then have 4 weeks of data, which Our methods require. Starting next week, we’ll have more confideNCe in Our NFL picks!

Jets -1 over Dolphins – Any time an NFL team gets hammered the way the Dolphins did last week, you expect a complete reversal the following week. But while the Dolphins will likely play much better and make this a good Game, the Jets look to be the much better team on both sides of the ball.

Jags +9.5 over Colts – This line more a reflection of the past then the present as BOTH teams have looked horrible thus far. We’re only 3 Games in and really require a little more data to make coNCrete judgments but the data we do have suggest this one is close to a toss up.

Falcons -6 over Texans – Texans offensive yards per point number of 19.8 suggest they won’t be able to go toe to toe with Matty Ice and company.

Panthers -3 over Bucs – Speaking of yards per point numbers, the Bucs have just about the worst in the NFL on both sides of the ball. Our model agrees picking the Panthers by about 10. We tread lightly here though as 87% of the wagers taken on this one have come in on the Panthers and NOTHING is ever THAT easy in the NFL.

Giants +5.5 over Bills – Game opened 6 and we’d suggest watching the board in hope of grabbing +6. Giants are just a couple of points and a bad decision or two from being 3-0. The numbers we like to use back that up. In other words, if we were to look at those numbers not knowing the Giants were 1-2, the numbers would suggest they are a pretty good football team and would suggest this Game is a toss up. the opponents each has

Bears +3 over Raiders – Based strictly on the stats after 3 Games, all signs point towards the Raiders. Not to mention QB Jay Cutler likely not playing for the Bears this week. However we have to consider WHO each team has played and when doing so, have to coNClude that the Bears Schedules been much more difficult. We’ll take a shot with the home dog here.

Redskins +3 over Eagles – Demarco Murray is questionable for this Game but frankly, the jury is still out on the Eagles whether he plays or not. We’ll take a shot with another home dog in this spot.

Bengals -4 over Chiefs – Could this be CiNCy’s year? Too soon to tell. No shame in the Chiefs losses to Green Bay and Denver but we think the Bengals at home are the right side in this one. Should be a close one though, so tread lightly here.

Browns +7 over Chargers – Browns look to be an improved team while the Chargers seem to be headed in the opposite direction and are banged up.

Packers -8 over 49ers – At first glaNCe the number seems high, but these 49ers are horrendous while the Pack looks to oNCe again be a contender.

Vikings +7 over Broncos – an against the public special as the majority of the action is on the Broncos while the line has nudged the opposite direction.

Cards -6.5 over Rams – Are the Cards that good, or is their success the result of playing bad teams early? We’ll find out this week, but even if it’s the result of bad teams, this is still the NFL and the Cards offense looks to be rolling!

NFL Week 14

Bettors World — Wed, 01 Apr 2015 16:26:00 +0000

NFL

Week 14

Picks

against the Spread

12/13/15

Steelers/Bengals UNDER 50 and Bengals -2.5 -120 – Yeah, these two have put up some points recently however these are two of the better defensive units in the NFL as their ypp numbers show us (Cinci 20.7 and Pitt 18.3). Also expect the cream to continue to rise to the top with playoff bound Cinci grabbing a win and cover over the Steelers who will be home for the holidays.

Bills -1 over Eagles – The feeling here is that the Eagles losses of 45-14 to the Lions and 45-17 to the Bucs is a better representation of who this team is than their recent upset of the Pats. Our model also has the Bills on top by 7+

Panthers -7 -120 over Falcons – Last weeks result vs. the Saints shows the Panthers are beatable, giving up 38 points in that one and lucky to get out with a win. But that Panther defense should look much better this week against a Falcon squad that has lost 5 in a row and averaged just 17 points per Game in that stretch. Also note that these two meet again in two weeks.

49ers +1.5 over Browns and UNDER 38 – Ugly Game. Two poor offenses should combine to go under the total here and the 49ers have the better defense which has us leaning their way.

Bears -3 -125 over Redskins – Both teams are pretenders. Neither could get it done when it counted last week. Redskins still tied for 1st in NFC East. Bears help change that this week. We have the Bears on top by 7+.

Lions +1 over Rams – The wheels have come off the Rams train with 5 straight losses, 3 of them blowouts.

Chiefs -10 over Chargers – 10 is a HUGE number to lay in the NFL and something we’ll rarely do. However, after starting the season 1-5, the Chiefs have rattled off 6 straight wins by an average score of 32-13 and have become a top 10 team in many statistical categories. Also note turnover differential here of Chargers -8 and Chiefs +13.

Bucs -3.5 over Saints – Have to think the Saints left it all on the field last week coming up short against the Panthers. Can’t have much left in the tank. Bucs are the better team right now.

Jets -7 -115 over Titans – Weak call. Don’t have a ton of faith in the Jets ability to extend a margin, but if they are going to be a legitimate playoff team, they’ll get this one and if they get this one, odds are, they’ll cover.

Pats -3 -125 over Texans – Pats off back to back losses. The Texans “D” is legit (#3 against the pass) however it’s the offensive side of the ball where they might have trouble as their 17.1 yards per point number shows (Pats off ypp 12.9). Gronkowski is doubtful, but still like Our chances with the Pats. Beware though……Our model, when using only the last 7 Games worth of data, suggest the Pats win this one but just by a nose (2 pts).

Broncos -7 over Raiders – Broncos defense won the first meeting and may have to do so again. But this “D” is #1 against the pass and #4 against the run and no doubt up for the task at home. We repeat this often, and will do so for the next couple of weeks….the cream rises to the top down the stretch and the Broncos fit the bill.

Packers – 6.5 over Cowboys – Both teams won last week. The Pack stumbled through the month of November and are 2-1 in December. They have at least shown signs this season of being respectable. Meanwhile, blame it on the Romo injury if you want, but the Cowboys haven’t been a very good team since the get go. Even when only using recent data, Our model still likes the Packers by 7+

Ravens +11.5 over Seahawks – All signs point towards Seattle, especially now that Jimmy Clausen gets the nod for Baltimore. But a -11.5 road fav in the NFL? Nah. Can’t do it.

Week 4 NFL Picks

Bettors World — Wed, 01 Apr 2015 16:26:00 +0000

Week 4

NFL Picks

against the Spread

with Analysis

10/4/15

Here we take a look at Week 4 in the NFL. We oNCe again urge you to use caution with these picks. After this week, we will have 4 weeks in the books which means we will then have 4 weeks of data, which Our methods require. Starting next week, we’ll have more confideNCe in Our NFL picks!

Jags +9.5 over Colts – This line more a reflection of the past than the present as BOTH teams have looked horrible thus far. We’re only 3 Games in and really require a little more data to make coNCrete judgments but the data we do have suggests this one is close to a toss up.

Falcons -6 over Texans – Texans offensive yards per point number of 19.8 suggest they won’t be able to go toe to toe with Matty Ice and company.

Giants +5.5 over Bills – Game opened 6 and we’d suggest watching the board in hopes of grabbing +6. Giants are just a couple of points and a bad decision or two from being 3-0. The numbers we like to use back that up. In other words, if we were to look at those numbers not knowing the Giants were 1-2, the numbers would suggest they are a pretty good football team and would suggest this Game is a toss up.

Browns +7 over Chargers – Browns look to be an improved team while the Chargers seem to be headed in the opposite direction and are banged up.

Packers -8 over 49ers – At first glaNCe the number seems high, but these 49ers are horrendous while the Pack looks to oNCe again be a contender.

Vikings +7 over Broncos – an against the public special as the majority of the action is on the Broncos while the line has nudged the opposite direction.

NFL Week 9 Picks

Bettors World — Wed, 01 Apr 2015 16:26:00 +0000

11/8/15

This is the spot where each week we go Game by Game thru the NFL card and offer a pick and a brief analysis of each Game on the board.

However, as mentioned earlier this year, we are somewhat pressed for time this year and won’t always be able to offer Our complete NFL Game by Game coverage.

With that in mind, this week, we are going to post the Score predictions from Our model, for each Game.

You can get Our models predictions for just $49 for the rest of the football season. That inludes ALL the NFL thru the Super Bowl and ALL of the college bowl Games.

It’s the best deal in the entire sportsbetting industry as you’ll see as there is nothing quite like it anywhere. Arm yourselves with this powerful model and start cashing in during the 2nd half of this football season.

Here’s this weeks NFL scores:

Team Cleveland 16 Cincinnati 35 Oakland 17 Pittsburgh 27 Jacksonville 17 NY Jets 35 St. Louis 17 Minnesota 15 Miami 21 Buffalo 32 Tennessee 18 New Orleans 33 Washington 18 New England 36 Green Bay 22 Carolina 22 Atlanta 21 San Francisco 19 NY Giants 35 Tampa Bay 27 Denver 25 Indianapolis 17 Philadelphia 20 Dallas 21 Chicago 26 San Diego 31

Week 5 NFL Pick

Bettors World — Wed, 01 Apr 2015 16:26:00 +0000

Week 5

NFL

Free Picks

against the Spread

10/11/15

Last weeks NFL Picks went 11-1 against the spread! Not a bad week. Tough act to follow, but we’ll sure as hell try! We’re at least at a point in the season where teams are starting to show their hands and we can get a better grasp of who the contenders are and who the pretenders are.

Jags +3 over Bucs – Seriously? The Bucs favored? That’s an automatic go against. When you field the 30th ranked rush defense in th NFL, you’re not going to win many Games.

Bills -2 over Titans – At anything less than -3, have to favor the Bills. Both teams have had some offensive success this year but it’s the Bills defense that stands out in this one. Bills come in with a very respectable 16.4 defensive yards per point number while the Titans defensive number a very poor 12.

Browns +7 over Ravens – May have to lay a little extra juice to get the +7. Just think there’s some value going against the Ravens these days as they are still getting respect from the betting public based on what they used to be rather than what they are now.

Falcons -7 over Redskins – The Redskins offensive yards per point number of 19.6 shows an inability to move the ball and turn yards into points. Compare that to the Falcons number of 11.8, one of the best in the league. No way the Skins trade points here. Also check the turnover differential, Skins -4 and Falcons +6. Falcons look like a winner.

Bears +9 over Chiefs – So far, neither team much to write home about. That being the case, we’d prefer to be taking points in a Game between two teams desperately seeking win #2

Eagles -5.5 over Saints – matchup between two 1-3 teams. Nice win for the Saints last week at home over Dallas. But this one is on the road and Philly is playing only it’s 2nd home Game and looking for it’s first home win.

Packers -8.5 over Rams – No question the Packers are the better team. The feeling here is that only the margin is in doubt. Wouldn’t be shocked to see the Rams keep it close but we’re going to lay the points here.

Bengals -3 over Seahawks – This is the week we find out of Cinci is for real. This Game is being handed to them on a silver platter. A chance for them to send a message to the rest of the NFL. The numbers say Bengals.

Cards -2.5 -115 over Lions – Lions have scored 16, 12 and 10 in their last 3 Games. Cards have no trouble putting points on the board. Sure, have to consider who each team has played thus far, but Monday nights finish may have put the final nail in the Lions coffin.

Cowboys +8.5 over Pats – Willing to take a shot here with the big home dog. Pats first two wins by 7 and 8 prior to blowing out the Jags.

Raiders +4.5 over Broncos – Game opened -5.5 and went to -4.5 despite 77% of the action coming in on the Broncos. Just the scenario we look for when going against the public.

Giants -7 over 49ers – Good team vs. Bad Team. This one looks too easy, so be careful!