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Kansas -18 over Mizzou...Know a couple guys are reinstated here but see this as a classic Riock Chalk blow-out here. KU did not cover on the road at Colorado but see them winning by 20+ here on ESPN.
Loyola-Marymount +5.5 over San Fran...Going to try one more SF game here and go against them with a shitty team but who is at home.
ML parlay:
Sienna/Marquette
Think its a solid card today. Good Luck! I eyed a couple more but decided to pass.
I have noticed lately that when a team has been blown out by another in their reematch in the same season the other team seems to cover or get their revenge.
Teams fitting that tonight are:
Citadel +16 1/2 @ Charleston, charles beat them by 20 something
Chatt @ W.Carolina +5(B+1/2) Chatt won by 30 already but they just played their best 2nd 1/2 this season outscoring Davidson by 17 in a losing eforet o Davidson. I expect Chatt to be flat for tonight.
NC-Greensboro @ Georgia Southern-2 NC already beat them 13, I don't know if thats whipping ass enough to qualify, we will see.
LA Tech +17 @ Fresno State. Fresno already beat them by 17 at LATech
others i like
SD-4 @ Pepperdine Don't think Pepp can hang with SD.
Zags @ ST Marys-2(2 1/2 on my book, buy the 1/2) Zags just played OT on Saturday at santa clara, While STM had an EZ win at home with Portland. I will probally just watch this one and enjoy, but I think the Gaels pull out a close 1
woodee12
Veteran Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: Iowa
Posts: 3,548
Adding:
Kansas -18 over Mizzou...Know a couple guys are reinstated here but see this as a classic Riock Chalk blow-out here. KU did not cover on the road at Colorado but see them winning by 20+ here on ESPN.
Loyola-Marymount +5.5 over San Fran...Going to try one more SF game here and go against them with a shitty team but who is at home.
3 for 16 from 3 pt range. Portland was 7 for 21. That about sums it up. Brick city tonite for Santa Clara who was obviously still thinking about the Zags.
2-2 for me. Lots of tight lines last night with teams covering by 1-3 all over the board. Zaga lost by 4. LM lost by 5. a one point loss and a half point loss. KU covers by 1. Linesmakers are getting hot! Thats bad news.
One I like and played overnight is Texas A&M -6 (1/2 pt. buy) at Iowa State...Don't like they are on the road but ISU leading scorere, Johnson, is still out and he is ISU offense. Think this one gets ugly quick in an Aggie route.
4-1 overall yesterday, Revenge factors went 3-0-1 all dogs covering.
revenge factor worked on sunday too, with Fairfield winning outright against niagra as a 11 point dog, Niagra had won early by 12 this season. So this is on a nice run.
Only 1 Revenge factor play today.
Penn state +11 @ Purdue Penn state lost by 22 already.
The only thing that I see on the Penn State play is that PSU is possibly the worst team in the Big 10, but that is a great angle!
Another note on my A &M play, which I am liking more as I look at it, is the fact that home court may be diminished a bit for Iowa State tonight as we are expecting 8-10 inches of snow here in Iowa. A lot of the fans with season tickets have to drive 20-60 miles from Des Moines or surrounding areas to get to the game. I bet a lot will be kept home tonight so it will basically be just students at the game. The Hilton Magic that is usually present in Ames may be cut in half or more. FYI.
Johnson is said to be a gametime decision too but If he does play, hes not 100%.
NC State -2.5. Not playing this game as the margin is too low for me..but my numbers show NC state by 4..so -2.5 is pretty close but a small amount of value with NC State.
Penn State +11. Not likely going to play this game either because Penn State still seems like a horrendous team but they did just beat MSU so it could be that they have turned a corner and will be better the rest of the way. My numbers show Purdue by 8..so again small value with Penn State.
Staying away from OSU/Mich as the line is over 12...generally going to stay away from games like this..because there is no doubt OSU should win...I do like OSU to rebound at home after their loss to Iowa..plus its on ESPN. I like OSU by about 20...haven't run numbers on it..just my opinion.
All in all..not a great day for playing the Big 10/Acc...think i'll take another night off..just wanted to offer up my opinion because I did cap a few of these games.
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