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Bears

vs.

Steelers

Sunday Night

NFL Pick

9/22/13

The 0-2 Steelers host the 2-0 Chicago Bears in the Sunday Night game this week with the Bears currently a -2.5 point away favorite at 5 Dimes sportsbook with a total of 40.5 points. The Bears got by the Vikings by 1 and the Bengals by 3 while the Steelers were beaten by both the Bengals and Titans. This will be the Bears first road game this year.

Take a wild guess which way the public went on this one? Can't blame them here. 88% of the action on this one at sportsbook.com has come in on the Bears. Although, the public also likes the over to the tune of 77% and we have to wonder if perhaps they feel the Bears will be the ones doing all the scoring as the Steelers certainly haven't shown they can put points on the board, scoring just 9 and 10 points in two games.

Going against the public can be a profitable strategy. Especially in the NFL. However, it takes guts. Because let's face it, if you handicap a game like this one, and focus on the merits of each team, there's no way on earth you'd come up with the Steelers being the better team or the logical choice here. There's nothing to like. They have been in a steady decline going back to last season and have been simply pitiful this year. An average of 9.5 points per game isn't going to beat too many NFL teams.

You could almost imagine the Steelers starting 0-8 and their decline being the talk of the NFL by the midway point. Big Ben is unlikely to even make it to the midway point this year, at which point the wheels will really fall off. As mentioned above, it takes guts to buck the public. We're gong to do it here and tell you straight up this play is 100% an against the public play as there's not one iota of sound handicapping that could possibly point to the Steelers here. Close your eyes and plug your nose. Steelers +3 buying the half point.

 

BEARS
Chicago is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road

STEELERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago

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