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Cowboys

vs.

Chargers

NFL Pick

9/29/13

The Chargers host the Cowboys Sunday in San Diego. Much has been expected from both of these squads in recent years and neither has delivered. Pick the straight up winner of this game and you'll likely get the money. The Cowboys are -1.5 point road favorites at 5 dimes sportsbook. The total is 47.

The Chargers are 1-2 with their win coming against the Eagles. They lost to the Titans and the Texans. The Cowboys have beaten the Giants and Rams and lost a 1 point game to the Chiefs. So, not a heck of a lot to go on here 3 games into the season. The Cowboys have the more impressive resume, but barely.

As you know, we like to use yards per point numbers as a measuring stick. As you also know, if you read us regularly, it takes at least 4 games of stats to rely on those numbers and we're only at game 3. However, when looking at the numbers here, they show a couple of teams that have been even to date in terms of translating yards gained and given up into points for and against. The Cowboys numbers are 12.5 on offense and 18.6 on defense. The Chargers are 13.8 and 17.4. The Cowboys have been a tad better on both sides of the ball.

The Cowboys are also +3 in turnover margin compared to -3 for the Chargers. That's generally the difference between a 2-1 team and a 1-2 team. Turnovers.  So, it's early yet and each game will be a piece to the puzzle for both of these teams. We're going to go out on a small limb in this one and go against the public, who, by the way, it backing the Cowboys to the tune of 77% at sportsbook.com when looking at their betting trends. The home field may be the difference in this one. Chargers +1.5

 

COWBOYS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego

CHARGERS
San Diego is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of San Diego's last 21 games at home
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas

 

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