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UCF

vs.

Penn State

College Football

Free Pick

Betting Trends

9/14/13

Penn State hosts Central Florida Saturday in what will be the first big test for UCF. Penn State has wins over Syracuse and Eastern Michigan while UCF has blown out Akron and Florida International. Penn State is currently a -5.5 point favorite at 5 Dimes Sportsbook, which shows a huge amount of respect to UCF. The total is 50.

The betting trends offered by sportsbook.com are always fascinating to look at as it gives you insight into the betting publics thinking. There are other sportsbooks that offer betting trends, but none can come close to sportsbook.com as far as using them as an actual tool to wager with. That is because sportsbook.com is a monster sportsbook. Huge. With a large "public" clientele. The numbers they offer as far as betting trends can be invaluable and they are available to anyone with an account at sportsbook.com. Those trends in this game show that 73% of the action on this game has come in on the Penn State side. No surprise there. The public will always back a major school like Penn State over a little known small school like UCF.

If we look back to last season, UCF actually had better yards per point numbers than Penn State. Both teams had solid ypp numbers, but you also have to factor in the schedule strength. Penn State played a schedule that was at least a touchdown more difficult than UCF's.

Knowing that UCF is a good solid team with a good defense, and knowing that Penn State is likely not a huge offensive threat, combined with the "go against the public" angle using our betting trends as a guide, UCF may be worth a good look in this spot. We'd suggest watching the line on this game. If by chance the line continues to rise and you could grab a +7 on game day, you'd have some nice value with your wager. So, no play right now, but if the line reached 7, grab it. UCF only at +7 or better.

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