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Baltimore Ravens

vs.

New England Patriots

Week 14

NFL Pick

12/12/16 

The Ravens have won 2 in a row and they are tied atop the AFC North with the Pittsburgh Steelers. They were stellar on both sides of the ball in their last game where they snapped the Dolphins 6-game win streak beating them 38-6. However, they have a tall task in this game on the road facing Tom Brady and the 10-2 Patriots. This game pits Baltimore and their tied for 2nd ranked defense, in terms of opponents' points allowed, against the Pats and their offense, which ranks 6th in the league in points per game.

The Patriots have won 3 in a row and there is a good chance they can wrap up the AFC East with a win in this game. While New England has kept up their winning ways their 3 wins in a row have come against some of the weaker teams in the league in the 49ers, Jets, and Rams. While New England is known for their offense they are the team that is tied with the Ravens for giving up the 2nd fewest points per game.

In an interesting betting trend the Ravens are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Patriots in New England.

In their last game Baltimore crushed the Miami Dolphins 38-6 at home where they easily covered the spread as a 3.5-point favorite.

In their last game the Pats beat the L.A. Rams 26-10 covering as a 13-point home favorite.

The Ravens dominated the Dolphins in their last game holding them to 277 total yards while racking up 496 yards. Joe Flacco had a big game passing for 381 yards with 4 TD and 1 INT and the rushing offense had 110 yards on the ground. Repeating those performances will be hard facing a New England D that has not given up more than 17 points in each of their last 3 games. Overall, the Pats rank 12th in the NFL in pass defense and 10th in run defense.

The Patriots totally stuffed the Rams' offense in their last game holding them to only 162 yards. Brady had another solid game passing for 269 yards with a TD, WR Julian Edelman had over 100 receiving yards, and RB LeGarrette Blount rushed for 88 yards and a TD averaging 4.9 yards per carry. These guys will be facing a Baltimore defense the ranks 1st in the league against the run and 7th against the pass.

Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games, and in their last 6 games the Under record is 4-1-1.

New England is 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 home games, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall, and in their last 10 games overall the posted total has gone Under 7 times.

Jason's Pick:
On Monday night the Pats will show they are still THE team to beat in the NFL. In their house on prime time they will crush the Ravens and easily cover the spread giving 7 points.    
 

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