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FOOTBALL

KEY RELEASES

2018-2019

 

 

RATINGS

1* Opinion Only

2* 1/2 unit

3* Our Normal Unit

4* 1.5 Units

5* 2 Units

 

2017-2018 Record

5* 1-0
3* 33-17
2*   9-6
-----------
43-23 Overall  65%

CLICK HERE TO VIEW 2017 PICKS

 

2018-2019 NFL Record

5* 0-0
3* 1-0
2* 10-11

**Note 1* Opinions not tracked

 

2018-2019 College Record

5* 0-0
3* 21-28
2*
8-9

 

 

 

1/20

3* Chiefs -3

 

1/13

2* Chargers +4 over Patriots L

 

1/12

2* Rams -7 over Cowboys W

 

1/7

3* Clemson +6 over Alabama W

 

1/5 + 1/6

2* Teaser 6pt Colts +7.5 and Bears pk L
3* Chargers +3 over Ravens W
2* Bears -5.5 over Eagles L

 

1/1

3* Kentucky +6.5 over Penn  State W
3* Central Florida +7.5 over LSU L
3* Washington +7 over Ohio State W

 

12/31

3* Cincinnati -5.5 over Virginia Tech L

 

12/30

NO NFL

 

12/29

2* Florida +6 over Michigan W
3* Alabama -14 over Oklahoma L
3* Notre Dame +13 over Clemson L

 

12/28

2* Syracuse -1 -113 over West Virginia W

 

12/27

2* Miami Fla -2.5 -115 over Wisconsin L
2*
Vanderbilt -4 over Baylor L

 

12/26

1* Minnesota +6.5 over Georgia Tech W
1* Cal -1 over TCU L

 

12/23

2* Seahawks +3 -115 over Chiefs W

 

12/22

2* Army -5 over Houston W

 

12/21

1* BYU -12.5 over W Mich W - Note Western Michigan's defense ranks 129th out of 130 teams using yards per point to rank.

 

12/20

No Opinion Sfla/Marshall

 

12/19

1* Ohio U -2.5 over San Diego St W

 

12/18

1* Northern Illinois +2.5 L

 

12/17

2* Saints -6.5 over Panthers L

 

12/16

2* Cowboys +3 -105 over Colts L
2* Bears -5.5 over Packers W
2* Seahawks -3.5 over 49ers L
2* Steelers +3 -115 over Patriots W

 

12/15

Bowl Update for today........

1* Fresno St -6 W  - Love the season Fresno has had. Using yards per point to grade the defense, they rank #1 in the nation. Sure, weak schedule compared to top teams, however, a ypp number on D of 23.7 is spectacular regardless of schedule strength! The number didn't cooperate with us though. At -3 or better Fresno is a 3* play.

For the rest of the early garbage bowls,  Utah State looks appealing but due to the coaching situation, we're staying away.

For the rest, all of the underdogs are probably worth a look. Anything can happen in these early Bowls and we usually see some surprises.

 

12/10

2* Seahawks -3 over Vikings W

 

12/9

2* Saints -9.5 over Bucs W
2* Broncos -3.5 -105 over 49ers L
2* Cowboys -3 -120 over Eagles W
2* Steelers -10 -105 over Raiders L

 

12/2

2* Colts -4 over Jags L
2*
Bears -3.5 over Giants L
2* Broncos -4 over Bengals W
2* Rams -10 over Lions W
2* Chiefs -14 over Raiders  L
2* Seahawks -10 over 49ers W

 

12/1

3* Fresno St +2.5 over Boise St W

2*
Central Florida -3 over Memphis W
2* Texas +8 over Oklahoma L
2* Northwestern +14.5 over Ohio St L
2* Cal +3 over Stanford L

 

11/24

2* Pitt +4.5 over Miami Fla L
2* Syracuse +7 over BC W
2* LSU +3.5 over Texas AM W
2* Michigan -4.5 over Ohio State L
2* Northwestern -16 over Illinois L

 

11/23

2* Central Fla -14 over South Fla W
2* Virginia -4 over Va Tech L
2* West Virginia +3.5 over Oklahoma W

 

11/17

3* Cincinnati +7 over UCF L
3* Syracuse +10.5 over Notre Dame L
3* Boston College +1 over Florida State P
3* Iowa St +3 -115 over Texas L
3* Northwestern +3 over Minnesota W
3* West Virginia -5 over Oklahoma State L
 

 

11/10

3* Kentucky -5 over Tennessee L
3* Cincinnati -14 over South Florida L
3* LSU -12 over Arkansas L
3* Michigan St +4 over Ohio State L

 

 

11/9

3* Fresno State -2.5 over Boise St L


 

 

11/3

3* LSU +14.5 over Alabama L
3* Iowa +3 -113 over Purdue W
3* Kentucky +8.5 over Georgia L
3* West Virginia +2 over Texas W
3* Georgia Southern -7 over UL Monroe L

 

 

10/28

No NFL Opinions this week

 

10/27

3* Florida +7 over Georgia  L
3*
Kentucky +7 over Missouri W
3*
Iowa +6 -105 over Penn State P
3* Cincinnati -9 over SMU L


 

10/20

3* Kentucky -11 over Vandy L
3* Cincinnati +3.5 over Temple  L
3* Army -7.5 over Miami Oh L
3* Georgia Southern -9.5 over New Mexico St W
3* Fresno St -13 over New Mexico W
3* Colorado +17.5 over Wash W
3* Utah -6 over USC  W

 

10/13

3* Colorado +7.5 over USC (sent to email list Thurs) L
3* LSU +7.5 over Georgia (sent to email list Thurs) W
3* Central Florida -4.5 over Memphis L

*** Please Note - if there is going to be an additional update, it will be posted Saturday morning by 9am est. If nothing is posted by that time, we are done.

 

10/5

3* Georgia Southern -11 over South Alabama W
3* Syracuse -3 -120 over Pitt L
3* NC State -6 over BC L
3* Cincinnati -7 over Tulane W
3* Eastern Michigan +4 over Western Michigan W
3* Fresno State -15 over Nevada W
3* Kentucky +6 -115 over Texas A&M PUSH
3* Texas +7 over Oklahoma W

***Note - These games released Friday afternoon. This will be the only update this week. You may be able to better on some lines by waiting.

 

9/29

3* Penn St +3.5 over Ohio St W
3* Florida +7 over Miss St W
3* Stanford +5 over Notre Dame L

Adding one additional play

3* BYU +18 over Washington L

\

 

9/22

3* Stanford -2 over Oregon W
3* Iowa +3 over Wisconsin L

 

 

9/15

Look for the Key Releases to begin next Saturday. Again, not playing the first couple of cards, is NOT uncommon for us.

 

9/8

No Plays this week. It's not uncommon for their to be no plays the first 2 to 3 weeks.

 

9/1

No Plays
 

 

 

 

Most plays (possibly all) will be College Football Plays

 

The Key Release record over the last 20+ years hovers right around 56% which is a record I'm very proud of and includes a few seasons like 2017's 65%. (for those that think 60% or better over the long haul is a realistic goal, you're severely misinformed).

 

The best way to make sure you get all of the Keys is to sign up for our email list right here.

 

Remember, there will be lots of game write ups that our writers do each week that are NOT Key Releases. Any Key Release will be clearly defined as such!

 

Looking forward to another successful football and hoops season!

 

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