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NFL Weekly Look Ahead – Week 12


The NFL game of the week goes down on the East coast when Chicago travels to New England to take on the Patriots. The Bears come in at 9-1 after back-to-back wins in the Meadowlands over the Giants and Jets. New England routed the Packers on the road to makeup for two straight losses the previous weeks.

With just one loss the Bears have a vice grip lock on the NFC. The Pats still are fighting for home field in the AFC but are more likely to wind up in the playoffs as a divisional winner but without a bye in the wildcard round.

The Pats are uncharacteristically 2-3 at home while Chicago is 5-0 on the road this season.

Chicago Bears at New England Patriots 11/26 4:15 pm

Line: New England -3
Total: 36.5

Very similar numbers make you think this game will be tight until the very end. The Bears are scoring around four touchdowns a game while New England comes in at just under 24. Both teams are giving up fewer than 14 a game on defense and this one looks to be on the lower scoring side of things.

However, in Chicago’s last nine games the over is 7-1-1. This season the Bears have posted a 7-2-1 record for the over/under, but for the Pats the under has hit 21 of the last 29 times in November.

New England has won the past two meetings and five of the last six, but the teams have not met since 2003.

Chicago is an underdog for only the second time this year. Over their last four games the Bears have gone 4-0 ATS as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 points. Chicago is also 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

New England has covered only one of its last five games as a favorite in Foxboro. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five November games.

The Pats have hit the under the past five games after following a SU win.

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