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The Black Cat's 128K Picks of 2015

2006: 58%
2007: 58%
2008: 62%
2009: 49%
2010: 60%
2011: 53%
2012: 43%
2013: 52%
2014: 45%

Week 2: 3-4 (Stars: 9-14)
Week 3: 4-3 (Stars: 14-9)
Week 4: 5-2-1 (Stars: 14-9)

Overall: 12-9-1 (Stars: 37-32) 57%

Favorites: 4-5
Dogs: 7-4-1
Pk'em: 1-0

Hilton Contest: 12-8 (60%)

GOW Contest: 2-2 (50%)

Comment: WINNING!

Week 4

16. Houston +5.5 Atlanta (GOW 5 Stars) LOSS
Atlanta is firing at a Superbowl level, which canít continue. And while their defensive numbers appear solid, they looked like they a paper sieve against the Cowboys for much of the game. The number from Vegas reveals a similar opinion that Atlanta isnít a couple levels above the Texans. The value here seems fair to me but I feel the Texans bring a little more to this contest and matchup well.

17. New Orleans -3 Dallas (4 Stars) **WIN**
Dallas has done an admirable job playing without talent thanks to that beast of a line, but they simply donít have enough to make me think theyíll beat a top-tier Qb, regardless of how poorly the Saints have started. It is another chance for defensive coordinator Ryan to get revenge for his firing 2 years ago. At some point the Saints defense needs to stop being a stain on humanity and if they canít do it against the talentless Cowboys, itíll never happen. The line says they are even yet only 1 team has a Qb.

18. Miami +2 Jets (4 Stars) LOSS
Another pendulum game as the Dolphins simply need to show up and play a game or go home. The Jets offense will cool down.

19. Cleveland +7 San Diego (3 Stars) **WIN**
Cleveland simply doesnít get respect and San Diegoís defense is lacking. Iím not convinced the chargers should be favored as the better team.

20. Minnesota +6.5 Denver (3 Stars) **WIN**
This could be a brutally low scoring game, so Iíll take the points.

21. Washington +3 Philadelphia (2 Stars) **WIN**
Could be a rainy slugfest but the Eagles donít understand time of possession. The Redskins have to make a few plays eventually, and the Eagles will allow some plays, so this is a pendulum game too. I think both Qbs have issues right now.

22. NY Giants +5.5 Buffalo (2 Stars) **WIN**
As well as Buffalo has been playing, this matches up very even and should come down to the wire inside the points.


15. Steelers +3 Ravens (3 Stars)

Can the Ravens go 0-4? Well, if they lose this game. On the road in hostile Pittsburgh, short week, with little time to game plan for what Vick might present, the situation does not favor them. After an ugly first week, the Steelers defense has rebounded and has eclipsed what the Ravens have presented this year. So home field and defense favors the Steelers. The Steeler O has made due with missing parts all season but they don't have to play their own defense, only the Ravens defense.
Steelers 23, Ravens 20


8. Falcons -1.5 Cowboys (5 Stars - GOW) **WIN**
Nobody to throw, nobody to catch, and nobody to run.

9. Steelers +1 Rams (4 Stars) **WIN**
The Rams upset of the Seahawks is starting to look skittish after the Seahawks fell flat again and we wonder how they lost to the Redskins. And now with LaVar Bell back?

10. Jets -1.5 Eagles (4 Stars) LOSS
The Jets look pretty solid, and the Eagles are suddenly reeling. We'll see how Bradford holds up against a rush.

11. Bills +2.5 Dolphins (3 Stars) **WIN**
I'm not sure why the Dolphins are favored, with the Bills looking like they can go toe-to-toe with anyone.

12. Chiefs +6.5 Packers (3 Stars) LOSS
Don't be shocked if this is a high scoring shootout.

13. Cardinals -6.5 49ers (2 Stars) **WIN**
The 49ers are who we thought they were: A pretty sucky 2015 team.

14. Colts -3.5 Titans (2 Stars) LOSS
Good 'get right' game for the Colts.


1. Rams -3 Redskins (GOW 5 Stars) LOSS
The Rams defensive line should eat up the skins and devour the Skins QB Cousins, who has won few starts. The Redskins do not come from behind late in the game.

2. Packers -3.5 Seahawks (4 Stars) **WIN**
This game figures big for the Packers and the Seahawks defense has a hole in the back of it.

3. Eagles -4.5 Cowboys (4 Stars) LOSS
Revenge will be served against a Cowboys team running out of bullets.

4. 49ers +6.5 Steelers (3 Stars) LOSS
The Steelers D looked very disorganized now that Dick LeBeau has moved on, and they still are hampered by the suspension of Bell.

5. Browns +1.5 Titans (3 Stars) **WIN**
While not a fan of Johnny Football, the Browns defense would have destroyed the Titans a year ago. While I fear the LeBeau factor to some degree, I think the Browns rebound and the Titans face some rookie reality.

6. Ravens -6 Raiders (2 Stars) LOSS
I think the Ravens win by double-digits, rebounding from their disappointing defeat last week.

7. Patriots PK Bills (2 Stars) **WIN**
I get the Bills make a popular upset, with that mammoth defensive line and Ryan's success against the Patriots. But offered no points, I still feel the Patriots have a >50% chance to get the W.

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